Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T12:27:38+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

C0
0xc04a…d16c
crypto · 183 markets active 0h ago
1.5score
+$12 +5%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$11 · open +$1
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$8
Realized+$11
Unrealized+$1
Win rate (resolved)40%
Wins / losses72 / 108
Est. fees paid−$0
Open positions3
Markets (closed)180 / 183
History coverage4d
Avg bet$1
Trades / day92.9
Drawdown49%
Kalshi-fit99%
Chart Positions 3 History 180 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$9
7 days+$11
14 days+$11
30 days+$11
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Counter-Strike: B8 vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 FUT Esports 91¢ 100¢ $3 $3 +$0 (+10%)
Map Handicap: FAL (-1.5) vs Monte (+1.5) Monte 50¢ 48¢ $3 $3 −$0 (-3%)
Map Handicap: NAVI (-1.5) vs TheMongolz (+1.5) TheMongolz 60¢ 100¢ $1 $2 +$1 (+67%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 7AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7AM ET Jun 13 $1 +$1 +75%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 7AM ET Jun 13 $1 +$1 +91%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 6AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 6AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 6AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET Jun 13 $1 +$1 +57%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET Jun 13 $1 +$1 +77%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET Jun 13 $1 +$1 +88%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET Jun 13 $1 +$1 +116%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET Jun 13 $1 +$4 +346%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 5AM ET Jun 13 $1 +$1 +112%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5AM ET Jun 13 $1 +$2 +204%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET Jun 13 $1 +$1 +77%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET Jun 13 $1 +$1 +84%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET Jun 13 $1 +$1 +102%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 4AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 4AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET Jun 13 $1 +$1 +78%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET Jun 13 $1 +$1 +116%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET Jun 13 $1 +$2 +204%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET Jun 13 $1 +$6 +522%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET Jun 13 $2 +$7 +320%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 10PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 10PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET Jun 13 $1 +$2 +170%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET Jun 13 $1 +$1 +88%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10PM ET Jun 13 $1 +$1 +62%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET Jun 13 $1 +$1 +143%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 91% +$1
sports 8% +$12
weather 0% −$1
other 0% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Map Handicap: FAL (-1.5) vs Monte (+1.5) BUY Monte 50¢ $3 27m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7AM ET SELL Up 100¢ $2 30m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 7AM ET SELL Up 99¢ $2 32m
Counter-Strike: B8 vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY FUT Esports 91¢ $3 55m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET SELL Up 99¢ $2 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET SELL Up 99¢ $2 1h
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET BUY Down 26¢ $1 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 7AM ET BUY Down 56¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET BUY Down 33¢ $1 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET BUY Up 61¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7AM ET BUY Up 55¢ $1 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET BUY Up 54¢ $1 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 7AM ET BUY Up 50¢ $1 1h
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET SELL Down 99¢ $2 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET SELL Down 99¢ $2 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET SELL Down 99¢ $5 1h
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 6AM ET BUY Down 2¢ $1 1h
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET BUY Down 51¢ $1 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 6AM ET BUY Down 4¢ $1 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET BUY Down 44¢ $1 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET BUY Down 21¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET BUY Up 57¢ $1 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 6AM ET BUY Down 15¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6AM ET BUY Down 4¢ $1 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 5AM ET SELL Down 99¢ $2 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5AM ET SELL Down 99¢ $3 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET SELL Up 99¢ $2 2h
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET BUY Up 10¢ $1 2h
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET BUY Up 38¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET BUY Down 54¢ $1 2h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +37%
net ROI/market (all)-7.7%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 180 +2.0% -7.7% 40% 37% -4.9%
≤30d 180 +2.0% -7.7% 40% 37% -4.9%
≤90d 180 +2.0% -7.7% 40% 37% -4.9%
all 180 +2.0% -7.7% 40% 37% -4.9%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover92.9 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -7.7% 37% -4.9%
10% ← realistic here -16.5% 37% -14.0%
15% -24.6% 34% -22.3%
20% -32.0% 27% -30.0%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $7.87 · official $7.87 (match) · 399 history records