Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T22:41:49+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

C0
0xc044…2d08
crypto · 796 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$596 -2%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$596 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$596
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)70%
Wins / losses557 / 239
Open positions0
Markets (closed)796 / 796
History coverage40d
Avg bet$35
Trades / day42.6
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit98%
Chart Positions 0 History 796 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$143
7 days−$256
14 days−$354
30 days−$642
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET Up 50¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET Up 59¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET Up 66¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET Up 52¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET Up 91¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET Up 66¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET Up 46¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 10AM ET Up 60¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET Down 45¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET Up 72¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET Down 99¢ 0¢ $16 $0 −$16 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET Up 85¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET Up 9¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Down 54¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET Up 87¢ 0¢ $47 $0 −$47 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET Up 8¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET Up 59¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET Up 76¢ 0¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET Down 96¢ 0¢ $56 $0 −$56 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET Down 37¢ 0¢ $11 $0 −$11 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET Down 80¢ 0¢ $30 $0 −$30 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET Up 24¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET Up 85¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET Up 67¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET Up 44¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET Jun 12 $57 +$1 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET Jun 12 $56 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET Jun 12 $50 +$1 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET Jun 12 $137 −$14 -10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET Jun 12 $2 +$1 +26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET Jun 12 $20 −$20 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5PM ET Jun 12 $81 +$6 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET Jun 12 $10 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET Jun 12 $40 +$3 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET Jun 12 $10 +$1 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET Jun 12 $10 +$1 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET Jun 12 $75 +$1 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET Jun 12 $10 +$1 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET Jun 12 $60 +$14 +24%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET Jun 12 $10 +$1 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET Jun 12 $7 −$3 -40%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3PM ET Jun 12 $19 −$12 -60%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET Jun 12 $18 +$1 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET Jun 12 $15 +$3 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET Jun 12 $13 +$2 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2PM ET Jun 12 $204 −$117 -57%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET Jun 12 $21 +$14 +66%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET Jun 12 $101 −$56 -55%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET Jun 12 $20 −$20 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET Jun 12 $10 +$2 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5AM ET Jun 12 $235 +$7 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET Jun 12 $18 −$18 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET Jun 12 $111 +$7 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down on June 12? Jun 12 $34 −$15 -45%
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on June 12? Jun 12 $52 −$20 -38%
SPY (SPY) Up or Down on June 12? Jun 12 $51 −$12 -24%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET Jun 12 $10 +$4 +35%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET Jun 12 $10 +$2 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET Jun 12 $3 +$1 +32%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET Jun 12 $21 +$10 +47%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET Jun 12 $100 $0 -0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET Jun 12 $14 +$6 +44%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1AM ET Jun 12 $68 +$32 +48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET Jun 12 $30 −$15 -50%
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on June 12? Jun 12 $28 −$5 -20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12AM ET Jun 12 $10 +$2 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET Jun 12 $21 −$20 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET Jun 12 $20 +$1 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET Jun 12 $10 +$3 +33%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET Jun 12 $21 +$14 +68%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET Jun 12 $33 +$7 +21%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7PM ET Jun 12 $20 +$2 +8%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 83% −$591
finance 10% +$69
other 7% −$74
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET SELL Down 94¢ $59 2m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET BUY Down 91¢ $57 7m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET BUY Up 100¢ $1 14m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $50 14m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET BUY Up 97¢ $5 16m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET BUY Up 97¢ $10 18m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET BUY Up 97¢ $40 19m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET SELL Up 70¢ $55 32m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET BUY Up 88¢ $71 33m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET SELL Up 82¢ $68 36m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET BUY Up 78¢ $2 38m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET BUY Up 77¢ $5 40m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET BUY Up 77¢ $10 40m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET BUY Up 77¢ $51 40m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET BUY Up 97¢ $10 42m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET BUY Up 98¢ $10 42m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5PM ET SELL Up 95¢ $87 43m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5PM ET BUY Up 87¢ $71 45m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5PM ET BUY Up 86¢ $10 47m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET SELL Down 94¢ $11 47m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET BUY Down 89¢ $10 49m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET BUY Up 98¢ $10 58m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $10 58m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET SELL Up 88¢ $23 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET BUY Up 77¢ $20 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET SELL Up 99¢ $12 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET BUY Up 86¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET BUY Up 87¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET BUY Up 98¢ $75 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET BUY Down 94¢ $10 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +31%
net ROI/market (all)-13.1%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 235 -5.4% -14.4% 69% 31% -12.2%
≤30d 688 -4.2% -13.3% 71% 30% -11.7%
≤90d 796 -3.9% -13.1% 70% 31% -11.3%
all 796 -3.9% -13.1% 70% 31% -11.3%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover42.6 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -13.1% 31% -11.3%
10% ← realistic here -21.4% 20% -19.8%
15% -29.0% 13% -27.5%
20% -35.9% 8% -34.6%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 2080 history records