Wallet analysis

2026-06-17T17:12:23+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
C0 0xc036…8c3f crypto 138 markets active 2h ago coverage 2d
BOTnot copyable crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
✗ bot/MM pace (95 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ only 2d of captured history — unreliable✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ 90-day edge negative — edge has died
Total PnL −$21 (-4%) realized −$21 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -6% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -28% what you keep after slip
Net edge-28%after slip
Net WR59%break-even
Win rate62%85W / 53L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$4per market
Trades / day95.1pace
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
Not enough resolved history to chart — analysis covers only 2d (hyperactive wallet — we see only the tail of its trades). A “Total PnL” curve will appear once daily tracking accumulates.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% −$32
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (95 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +59%
net ROI/market (all)-15.1%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 138 -6.1% -15.1% 62% 59% -14.5%
≤30d 138 -6.1% -15.1% 62% 59% -14.5%
≤90d 138 -6.1% -15.1% 62% 59% -14.5%
all 138 -6.1% -15.1% 62% 59% -14.5%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover95.1 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -15.1% 59% -14.5%
10% ← realistic here -23.2% 59% -22.7%
15% -30.6% 21% -30.2%
20% -37.4% 4% -37.0%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 3% · top 2 6% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -6% edge died — 90d negative
Fragile wins
4% wins margin < slip solid win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -6% · $-wt -6% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early -4% → late -8% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
1.0 add-ons/market flat bettor — clean entries
Win / loss size
+$1 vs −$3 · ×0.49 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.78 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

2d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized−$21
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)62%
Wins / losses85 / 53
Open positions0
Markets (closed)138 / 138
History coverage2d
Avg bet$4
Trades / day95.1
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 138 Trades
no open positions (23 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET Jun 17 $4 −$4 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET Jun 17 $4 +$1 +36%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET Jun 17 $4 −$4 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET Jun 17 $4 +$1 +38%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Jun 17 $4 −$3 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Jun 17 $4 +$1 +42%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET Jun 17 $4 +$1 +33%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Jun 17 $4 −$4 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET Jun 17 $4 +$1 +38%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET Jun 17 $4 −$3 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET Jun 17 $4 +$1 +31%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Jun 17 $4 +$1 +33%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Jun 17 $4 −$4 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Jun 17 $3 +$2 +50%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Jun 17 $4 −$3 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Jun 17 $4 −$4 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Jun 17 $4 +$1 +31%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET Jun 17 $4 +$1 +23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET Jun 17 $4 −$4 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET Jun 17 $4 +$1 +31%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET Jun 17 $4 +$1 +28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET Jun 17 $4 +$1 +33%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET Jun 17 $4 +$1 +33%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET Jun 17 $4 +$2 +44%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET Jun 17 $4 −$3 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET Jun 17 $4 +$1 +36%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET Jun 17 $4 +$1 +25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET Jun 17 $4 −$4 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET Jun 17 $7 +$3 +48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET Jun 17 $8 +$2 +29%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET Jun 17 $8 +$3 +40%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET Jun 17 $8 −$8 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET Jun 17 $7 +$3 +46%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET Jun 17 $8 −$8 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET Jun 17 $7 −$7 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET Jun 17 $7 +$4 +55%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET Jun 17 $8 −$8 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET Jun 17 $8 +$2 +26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET Jun 17 $4 +$2 +40%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET Jun 17 $4 +$1 +36%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET Jun 17 $4 +$2 +42%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET Jun 17 $4 +$1 +28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET Jun 17 $4 +$1 +28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET Jun 17 $4 +$1 +23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET Jun 17 $4 +$1 +25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET Jun 17 $3 +$2 +48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET Jun 17 $4 −$4 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET Jun 17 $4 +$1 +26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET Jun 17 $4 −$4 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET Jun 17 $4 +$1 +30%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET BUY Up 71¢ $4 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET BUY Down 68¢ $4 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET BUY Down 72¢ $4 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET BUY Up 68¢ $4 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET BUY Down 71¢ $4 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET BUY Down 69¢ $4 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET BUY Up 78¢ $4 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET BUY Up 74¢ $4 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET BUY Down 65¢ $4 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET BUY Down 71¢ $4 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET BUY Down 75¢ $4 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET BUY Down 69¢ $4 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET BUY Up 74¢ $4 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET BUY Down 69¢ $4 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET BUY Up 65¢ $3 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET BUY Down 68¢ $4 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET BUY Down 75¢ $4 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET BUY Up 80¢ $4 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET BUY Up 73¢ $4 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET BUY Down 75¢ $4 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET BUY Up 77¢ $4 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET BUY Up 74¢ $4 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET BUY Up 74¢ $4 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET BUY Down 68¢ $4 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET BUY Down 68¢ $4 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET BUY Down 72¢ $4 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET BUY Up 79¢ $4 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET BUY Down 73¢ $4 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET BUY Up 76¢ $8 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET BUY Up 70¢ $8 5h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 276 history records