Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T16:34:04+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

C0
0xc030…0098
crypto · 7 markets active 2h ago
3.5score
+$2 +24%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$2 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ Small sample
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized+$2
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)71%
Wins / losses5 / 2
Open positions0
Markets (closed)7 / 7
History coverage1d
Avg bet$1
Trades / day8.0
Drawdown36%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 7 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$2
7 days+$2
14 days+$2
30 days+$2
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET Up 47¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET Down 70¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET Jun 13 $2 +$2 +78%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET Jun 13 $1 +$2 +205%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -96%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% +$2
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET SELL Up 99¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET BUY Up 88¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET BUY Up 88¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET BUY Down 87¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET BUY Down 70¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET BUY Up 54¢ $2 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET BUY Down 31¢ $1 11h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET BUY Up 47¢ $1 11h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
trap: profits on perfect fill only, loses on real
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +57%
net ROI/market (all)+5.4%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 7 +16.5% +5.4% 71% 57% +13.9%
≤30d 7 +16.5% +5.4% 71% 57% +13.9%
≤90d 7 +16.5% +5.4% 71% 57% +13.9%
all 7 +16.5% +5.4% 71% 57% +13.9%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover8.0 tr/day
realistic slip~7%
edge survives to5%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here +5.4% 57% +13.9%
10% -4.7% 29% +3.0%
15% -13.9% 29% -6.9%
20% -22.3% 29% -16.1%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 12 history records