Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T23:09:13+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

C0
0xc02b…f986
sports · 10 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$14 -40%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$14 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialist⚠ Small sample
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$2
Realized−$14
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)22%
Wins / losses2 / 7
Est. fees paid−$0
Open positions1
Markets (closed)9 / 10
History coverage54d
Avg bet$3
Trades / day0.2
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit80%
Chart Positions 1 History 9 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days$0
7 days$0
14 days$0
30 days−$0
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Brazil vs. Morocco end in a draw? Yes 30¢ 36¢ $2 $2 +$0 (+18%)
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. FC Bayern München end in a draw? Yes 25¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs South America Rejects (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stage Xtreme Gaming 44¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Will US Lecce win on 2026-04-20? Yes 10¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-04-28? Yes 37¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Dota 2: GamerLegion vs Heroic (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stage GamerLegion 52¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League? May 25 $7 $0 -3%
Spread: Paris Saint-Germain FC (-1.5) Apr 28 $2 −$2 -87%
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. FC Bayern München end in a draw? Apr 28 $2 −$2 -98%
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-04-28? Apr 28 $5 −$5 -98%
Dota 2: South America Rejects vs MOUZ (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stag Apr 28 $1 +$1 +109%
Dota 2: GamerLegion vs Heroic (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stage Apr 22 $2 −$2 -99%
Will US Lecce win on 2026-04-20? Apr 20 $5 −$5 -97%
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Vici Gaming (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stage Apr 20 $5 +$4 +73%
Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs South America Rejects (BO3) - PGL Wallachia G Apr 20 $3 −$3 -98%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 71% −$4
other 29% −$10
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Brazil vs. Morocco end in a draw? BUY Yes 30¢ $2 54m
Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League? SELL Yes 57¢ $7 19d
Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League? BUY Yes 58¢ $1 29d
Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League? BUY Yes 58¢ $7 29d
Spread: Paris Saint-Germain FC (-1.5) SELL Paris Saint-Germain FC 3¢ $0 46d
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. FC Bayern München end in a draw? BUY Yes 25¢ $2 46d
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-04-28? BUY Yes 37¢ $5 46d
Spread: Paris Saint-Germain FC (-1.5) BUY Paris Saint-Germain FC 22¢ $2 46d
Dota 2: South America Rejects vs MOUZ (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stag BUY South America Rejects 47¢ $1 52d
Dota 2: GamerLegion vs Heroic (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stage BUY GamerLegion 52¢ $2 52d
Will US Lecce win on 2026-04-20? BUY Yes 10¢ $5 54d
Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs South America Rejects (BO3) - PGL Wallachia G BUY Xtreme Gaming 44¢ $3 54d
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Vici Gaming (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stage BUY Team Liquid 57¢ $5 54d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +22%
net ROI/market (all)-50.5%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d no closed markets
≤30d 1 -3.0% -12.3% 0% 0% -12.3%
≤90d 9 -45.3% -50.5% 22% 22% -49.0%
all 9 -45.3% -50.5% 22% 22% -49.0%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover0.2 tr/day
realistic slip~5%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -50.5% 22% -49.0%
10% -55.2% 22% -53.9%
15% -59.6% 22% -58.4%
20% -63.5% 22% -62.4%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $2.37 · official $2.37 (match) · 15 history records