trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| United States vs. Paraguay: United States O/U 0.5 | Over | 76¢ | 76¢ | $3 | $3 | +$0 (+1%) |
| Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 5¢ | 5¢ | $2 | $2 | −$0 (-1%) |
| Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 9¢ | 8¢ | $2 | $2 | −$0 (-12%) |
| Spread: Milwaukee Brewers (-1.5) | Milwaukee Brewers | 52¢ | 64¢ | $1 | $1 | +$0 (+24%) |
| Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? | Yes | 54¢ | 0¢ | $1 | $0 | −$1 (-100%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread: United States (-1.5) | Jun 12 | $3 | $0 | -3% |
| Libema Open: Nuno Borges vs Marin Cilic | Jun 12 | $2 | −$2 | -100% |
| Will United States win on 2026-06-12? | Jun 12 | $1 | $0 | -6% |
| Canada vs. Bosnia-Herzegovina: Canada O/U 0.5 | Jun 12 | $8 | +$1 | +14% |
| Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? | Jun 12 | $1 | −$1 | -99% |
| Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag | Jun 12 | $1 | $0 | -2% |
| Stuttgart Open: Mattia Bellucci vs Taylor Fritz | Jun 12 | $1 | $0 | -6% |
| Tucuman: Matheus Pucinelli de Almeida vs Johan Alexander Rodriguez | Jun 12 | $1 | $0 | +39% |
| Spread: Mexico (-1.5) | Jun 12 | $8 | −$8 | -100% |
| Stuttgart Open: Ben Shelton vs Marcos Giron | Jun 12 | $1 | +$1 | +61% |
| Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 | Jun 12 | $1 | $0 | +40% |
| Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 | Jun 12 | $1 | +$1 | +60% |
| LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 1 Winner | Jun 12 | $1 | +$1 | +83% |
| Spread: Korea Republic (-1.5) | Jun 12 | $5 | +$1 | +18% |
| Korea Republic vs. Czechia: Korea Republic O/U 0.5 | Jun 12 | $5 | +$2 | +34% |
| Tucuman: Nicolas Kicker vs Nick Hardt | Jun 12 | $6 | −$2 | -38% |
| Seattle Mariners vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 8.5 | Jun 12 | $1 | $0 | -27% |
| Seattle Mariners vs. Baltimore Orioles | Jun 11 | $1 | $0 | -7% |
| Spread: Seattle Mariners (-2.5) | Jun 11 | $1 | $0 | -1% |
| Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Pittsburgh Pirates | Jun 11 | $3 | $0 | +13% |
| Mexico vs. South Africa: O/U 2.5 | Jun 11 | $3 | $0 | -4% |
| Korea Republic vs. Czechia: O/U 2.5 | Jun 10 | $3 | $0 | -4% |
| Will Iraq win on 2026-06-09? | Jun 10 | $2 | +$1 | +33% |
| Will DR Congo vs. Chile end in a draw? | Jun 09 | $1 | +$1 | +73% |
| Will Mexico vs. South Africa end in a draw? | Jun 09 | $2 | $0 | -9% |
| Will South Africa win on 2026-06-11? | Jun 09 | $2 | $0 | -14% |
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 26 | +1.8% | -7.9% | 42% | 42% | -17.8% |
| ≤30d | 26 | +1.8% | -7.9% | 42% | 42% | -17.8% |
| ≤90d | 26 | +1.8% | -7.9% | 42% | 42% | -17.8% |
| all | 26 | +1.8% | -7.9% | 42% | 42% | -17.8% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -7.9% | 42% | -17.8% |
| 10% | -16.7% | 31% | -25.7% |
| 15% | -24.8% | 23% | -32.9% |
| 20% | -32.1% | 15% | -39.4% |