Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T18:44:23+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

C0
0xc003…f609
sports · 73 markets active 1h ago
5.0score
+$260 +1%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$383 · open −$123
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP Fading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$1,011
Realized+$383
Unrealized−$123
Win rate (resolved)69%
Wins / losses50 / 22
Whale WR (big bets)71%
Est. fees paid−$106
Open positions1
Markets (closed)72 / 73
History coverage21d
Avg bet$243
Trades / day8.4
Drawdown72%
Kalshi-fit96%
Chart Positions 1 History 72 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$395
7 days+$395
14 days+$550
30 days+$383
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
HSBC Championships: Elena Rybakina vs Katie Boulter Elena Rybakina 82¢ 73¢ $1,133 $1,011 −$123 (-11%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET Jun 12 $35 −$35 -100%
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026? Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Morocco vs. Madagascar: O/U 3.5 Jun 12 $101 −$101 -100%
Spread: Las Vegas Aces (-11.5) Jun 12 $132 −$132 -100%
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: Czechia O/U 0.5 Jun 12 $168 −$168 -100%
T20 Series England vs. India, Women: England vs India Jun 12 $209 −$209 -100%
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: O/U 1.5 Jun 12 $285 −$285 -100%
Stuttgart Open: Jiri Lehecka vs Frances Tiafoe Jun 12 $490 −$68 -14%
Ilkley: Keegan Smith vs Jacob Fearnley Jun 12 $500 +$20 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET Jun 12 $115 +$2 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET Jun 12 $171 +$14 +8%
HSBC Championships: Iva Jovic vs Amanda Anisimova Jun 12 $170 +$39 +23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET Jun 12 $902 −$36 -4%
Ben Shelton vs. Marcos Giron: Total Sets O/U 2.5 Jun 12 $80 +$48 +59%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET Jun 12 $617 +$40 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET Jun 12 $99 +$20 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET Jun 12 $392 +$23 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET Jun 12 $237 +$24 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET Jun 12 $201 +$55 +27%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET Jun 12 $86 +$27 +31%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET Jun 12 $141 +$44 +31%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET Jun 12 $304 +$61 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET Jun 12 $97 +$24 +25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET Jun 12 $444 +$44 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET Jun 12 $118 +$97 +83%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET Jun 12 $110 −$91 -83%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET Jun 12 $231 +$77 +33%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET Jun 12 $172 +$33 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET Jun 12 $100 +$26 +26%
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? Jun 12 $477 +$94 +20%
Will Korea Republic vs. Czechia end in a draw? Jun 12 $302 −$222 -74%
Tucuman: Nicolas Kicker vs Nick Hardt Jun 12 $726 +$54 +8%
ITF Cuiaba: Luiza Fullana vs Marjorie Souza Jun 11 $599 +$231 +38%
Mexico vs. South Africa: O/U 2.5 Jun 11 $1,308 −$2 -0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET Jun 11 $212 +$143 +68%
Mexico vs. South Africa: Both Teams to Score Jun 11 $34 +$7 +20%
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? Jun 11 $652 +$163 +25%
Stuttgart Open: Ben Shelton vs Marcos Giron Jun 11 $379 −$178 -47%
ITF Decatur: Zuzanna Pawlikowska vs Jaedan Brown Jun 11 $284 +$49 +17%
Tucuman: Guido Justo vs Hernan Casanova Jun 11 $231 +$53 +23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET Jun 11 $102 +$30 +30%
ITF Nice: Masha Lazarenko vs Alina Granwehr Jun 11 $201 +$46 +23%
ITF Decatur: Ana Grubor vs Olivia Lincer Jun 11 $200 −$101 -51%
Stuttgart Open: Martin Landaluce vs Taylor Fritz Jun 11 $145 +$91 +63%
ITF Ceska Lipa: Lucie Havlickova vs Jana Kovackova Jun 11 $201 +$46 +23%
ITF Decatur: Maria Sholokhova vs Anna Rogers Jun 11 $36 +$2 +5%
ODI Series Bangladesh vs Australia: Bangladesh vs Australia Jun 11 $541 +$152 +28%
ITF Wuning: Kyoka Okamura vs Varvara Panshina Jun 11 $50 −$8 -15%
ITF Tokyo: Shu Matsuoka vs Naoya Honda Jun 11 $100 −$85 -85%
ITF Tokyo: Kayo Nishimura vs Ayumi Miyamoto Jun 11 $128 +$8 +6%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 59% −$652
crypto 34% +$626
other 7% +$286
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
HSBC Championships: Elena Rybakina vs Katie Boulter BUY Elena Rybakina 86¢ $399 1h
HSBC Championships: Elena Rybakina vs Katie Boulter BUY Elena Rybakina 80¢ $155 1h
Stuttgart Open: Jiri Lehecka vs Frances Tiafoe SELL Jiri Lehecka 77¢ $356 1h
Stuttgart Open: Jiri Lehecka vs Frances Tiafoe BUY Jiri Lehecka 83¢ $388 1h
Stuttgart Open: Jiri Lehecka vs Frances Tiafoe SELL Frances Tiafoe 15¢ $66 1h
Ilkley: Keegan Smith vs Jacob Fearnley SELL Jacob Fearnley 98¢ $520 1h
HSBC Championships: Elena Rybakina vs Katie Boulter BUY Elena Rybakina 80¢ $585 1h
Ilkley: Keegan Smith vs Jacob Fearnley BUY Jacob Fearnley 94¢ $500 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET BUY Up 66¢ $58 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET SELL Down 32¢ $30 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET BUY Down 55¢ $57 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET SELL Down 99¢ $185 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET BUY Down 91¢ $171 2h
HSBC Championships: Iva Jovic vs Amanda Anisimova SELL Iva Jovic 99¢ $209 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET BUY Up 93¢ $804 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET SELL Down 5¢ $6 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET BUY Down 77¢ $99 2h
Stuttgart Open: Jiri Lehecka vs Frances Tiafoe BUY Frances Tiafoe 22¢ $102 2h
Ben Shelton vs. Marcos Giron: Total Sets O/U 2.5 SELL Over 2.5 100¢ $94 2h
HSBC Championships: Iva Jovic vs Amanda Anisimova BUY Iva Jovic 80¢ $170 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET BUY Down 82¢ $99 11h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET BUY Up 94¢ $617 11h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET SELL Up 100¢ $415 11h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET BUY Up 97¢ $300 11h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET BUY Up 85¢ $92 11h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET SELL Up 99¢ $261 11h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET SELL Up 98¢ $256 11h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET BUY Up 89¢ $237 11h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET SELL Down 99¢ $112 11h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET BUY Down 74¢ $86 11h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +47%
net ROI/market (all)-11.1%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 63 -4.1% -13.2% 68% 46% -7.2%
≤30d 72 -1.8% -11.1% 69% 47% -7.4%
≤90d 72 -1.8% -11.1% 69% 47% -7.4%
all 72 -1.8% -11.1% 69% 47% -7.4%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover8.4 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -11.1% 47% -7.4%
10% -19.6% 33% -16.3%
15% -27.4% 15% -24.4%
20% -34.5% 8% -31.8%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $1,010.63 · official $1,010.63 (match) · 204 history records