Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T19:13:34+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

BF
0xbfdd…e70e
crypto · 109 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$40 -12%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$48 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$48
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)31%
Wins / losses34 / 75
Open positions0
Markets (closed)109 / 109
History coverage7d
Avg bet$3
Trades / day28.4
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 109 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$1
7 days−$48
14 days−$48
30 days−$48
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET Down 42¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET Down 37¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 9, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET Up 38¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET Down 36¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET Down 50¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET Up 66¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET Up 29¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 8, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET Down 58¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 8, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET Down 24¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET Down 34¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 9, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET Down 45¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 8, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET Up 64¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 7, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET Down 28¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET Down 36¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 7, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET Down 51¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 8, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET Down 40¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 8, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET Down 30¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 7, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET Up 31¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET Down 50¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET Up 45¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET Down 26¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 7, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET Up 40¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET Up 43¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 9, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET Up 68¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET Down 29¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET Jun 14 $2 $0 +24%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET Jun 14 $2 +$3 +109%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET Jun 14 $3 +$2 +73%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET Jun 14 $2 −$1 -27%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET Jun 14 $3 −$2 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET Jun 14 $3 −$1 -26%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET Jun 14 $3 +$2 +71%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -97%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET Jun 14 $3 +$2 +62%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET Jun 14 $2 +$3 +211%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET Jun 14 $3 +$2 +76%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET Jun 14 $3 +$2 +90%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET Jun 14 $3 −$2 -68%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET Jun 14 $2 $0 -4%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$1 -28%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$1 -26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -92%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET Jun 13 $2 +$3 +159%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$1 -89%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -95%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET Jun 12 $4 −$3 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET Jun 12 $2 +$3 +146%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$1 -18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -96%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET Jun 12 $3 +$2 +44%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 -4%
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET Jun 11 $3 $0 -7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET Jun 11 $3 −$3 -95%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET Jun 11 $4 −$4 -98%
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET Jun 11 $1 $0 +33%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET Jun 11 $3 −$3 -97%
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Jun 11 $5 −$1 -23%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 9, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET Jun 09 $2 −$2 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET Jun 09 $2 +$3 +190%
Solana Up or Down - June 9, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET Jun 09 $3 −$3 -97%
Solana Up or Down - June 9, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET Jun 09 $3 −$2 -71%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET Jun 09 $2 −$2 -91%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET Jun 09 $10 −$10 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET Jun 09 $2 −$1 -55%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 9, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET Jun 09 $4 −$3 -95%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 9, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET Jun 09 $3 −$3 -83%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET Jun 09 $3 −$3 -97%
Solana Up or Down - June 9, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET Jun 09 $2 −$2 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET Jun 09 $3 +$2 +48%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 9, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET Jun 09 $3 +$2 +50%
Solana Up or Down - June 9, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET Jun 09 $5 $0 -6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET Jun 09 $5 −$1 -13%
Solana Up or Down - June 9, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET Jun 09 $5 $0 -2%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$48
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET SELL Down 50¢ $2 44m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET SELL Down 43¢ $0 56m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET BUY Down 37¢ $2 56m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET SELL Down 45¢ $0 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET BUY Down 45¢ $2 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET SELL Down 32¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET SELL Down 57¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET BUY Down 51¢ $3 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET BUY Down 40¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET BUY Down 50¢ $3 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET SELL Down 44¢ $2 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET BUY Down 54¢ $3 3h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET SELL Down 55¢ $0 4h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET BUY Down 56¢ $3 4h
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET BUY Down 55¢ $3 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET BUY Down 55¢ $3 5h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET BUY Down 60¢ $3 6h
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET SELL Down 29¢ $0 6h
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET BUY Down 30¢ $2 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET SELL Down 50¢ $0 13h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET BUY Down 54¢ $3 13h
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET SELL Down 54¢ $0 14h
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET BUY Down 50¢ $3 14h
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET SELL Up 16¢ $1 14h
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET SELL Up 58¢ $0 14h
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET BUY Up 52¢ $3 14h
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET SELL Down 44¢ $2 15h
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET BUY Down 45¢ $2 16h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET BUY Up 45¢ $2 19h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET SELL Down 39¢ $2 19h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +28%
net ROI/market (all)-25.0%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 107 -17.4% -25.3% 32% 28% -23.8%
≤30d 109 -17.1% -25.0% 31% 28% -23.5%
≤90d 109 -17.1% -25.0% 31% 28% -23.5%
all 109 -17.1% -25.0% 31% 28% -23.5%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover28.4 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -25.0% 28% -23.5%
10% ← realistic here -32.2% 27% -30.8%
15% -38.7% 25% -37.5%
20% -44.7% 19% -43.6%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 234 history records