Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T19:25:31+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

BF
0xbfd7…f0bf
sports · 1076 markets active 0h ago
1.0score
+$2,920 +2%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$3,010 · open −$1,236
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$9,310
Realized+$3,010
Unrealized−$1,236
Win rate (resolved)55%
Wins / losses536 / 434
Whale WR (big bets)69%
Est. fees paid−$2,161
Open positions146
Markets (closed)970 / 1076
History coverage4d
Avg bet$175
Trades / day604.0
Drawdown90%
Kalshi-fit98%
Chart Positions 146 History 970 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$12,648
7 days+$3,010
14 days+$3,010
30 days+$3,010
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Counter-Strike: Washed vs STATE (BO3) - Dust2.dk Ligaen Group A Washed 48¢ 68¢ $1,314 $1,861 +$547 (+42%)
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit - Map 2 Winner Spirit 70¢ 100¢ $726 $1,034 +$308 (+42%)
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Spirit 71¢ 81¢ $883 $1,010 +$127 (+14%)
Counter-Strike: Washed vs STATE - Map 2 Winner Washed 49¢ 40¢ $1,119 $910 −$208 (-19%)
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 9z 14¢ 36¢ $213 $554 +$341 (+160%)
LoL: Eintracht Spandau vs Anubis Gaming (BO3) - EMEA Masters Group D Eintracht Spandau 57¢ 64¢ $475 $534 +$59 (+12%)
Counter-Strike: OLDBOYS- vs Donstu Esports - Map 2 Winner Donstu Esports 34¢ 30¢ $592 $521 −$71 (-12%)
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Aurora Gaming 19¢ 18¢ $498 $484 −$14 (-3%)
Counter-Strike: OLDBOYS- vs Donstu Esports (BO3) - ESEA Advanced Europe Playoffs Donstu Esports 44¢ 22¢ $952 $473 −$479 (-50%)
Ilkley: Katie Swan vs Ashlyn Krueger Ashlyn Krueger 74¢ 100¢ $250 $338 +$88 (+35%)
Counter-Strike: Ursa vs Leo Team - Map 2 Winner Ursa 18¢ 100¢ $42 $232 +$190 (+451%)
ITF Martos: Emile Hudd vs Joao Domingues Joao Domingues 21¢ 100¢ $32 $157 +$125 (+387%)
Counter-Strike: Washed vs STATE - Map 1 Winner Washed 46¢ 100¢ $66 $144 +$78 (+117%)
Set 1 Winner: Kraus vs Akugue Kraus 63¢ 47¢ $153 $113 −$39 (-26%)
LoL: G2 NORD vs WLGaming Esports (BO3) - EMEA Masters Group C G2 NORD 77¢ 100¢ $47 $61 +$14 (+30%)
Difaâ Hassani El Jadida vs. Olympic Dcheira: O/U 2.5 Over 37¢ 100¢ $22 $59 +$37 (+173%)
Set 1 Winner: Quevedo vs Samson Samson 51¢ 50¢ $41 $40 −$1 (-2%)
ITF Los Angeles: Alexandra Vagramov vs Veronica Miroshnichenko Alexandra Vagramov 76¢ 78¢ $38 $39 +$1 (+3%)
Spread: Canada (-1.5) Bosnia and Herzegovina 73¢ 74¢ $36 $37 +$1 (+2%)
FC Inter Turku vs. AC Oulu: O/U 3.5 Under 74¢ 74¢ $37 $36 −$0 (-1%)
Counter-Strike: Invicta vs Sashi Academy - Map 2 Winner Invicta 22¢ 28¢ $28 $36 +$8 (+27%)
Spread: Tampereen Ilves (-1.5) Turun Palloseura 73¢ 72¢ $36 $36 −$0 (-1%)
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 2.5 Under 57¢ 36¢ $56 $35 −$21 (-38%)
Saint Patrick´s Athletic FC vs. Drogheda United FC: O/U 3.5 Under 70¢ 80¢ $29 $34 +$4 (+15%)
FF Jaro vs. HJK Helsinki: O/U 3.5 Under 68¢ 66¢ $34 $33 −$1 (-2%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Counter-Strike: SPARTA vs GenOne (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #4 Group St Jun 12 $105 +$113 +107%
Ilkley: Tristan Schoolkate vs Oliver Tarvet Jun 12 $10 +$10 +100%
Ilkley: Dane Sweeny vs Billy Harris Jun 12 $173 +$112 +65%
Modena: Nuria Brancaccio vs Lucia Bronzetti Jun 12 $27 +$22 +81%
Stuttgart Open (Doubles): Glinka/Sakellaridis vs Bublik/Kyrgios Jun 12 $2 −$1 -28%
Lehecka vs. Tiafoe: Match O/U 23.5 Jun 12 $44 +$3 +7%
KBO: Lotte Giants vs. LG Twins Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Libema Open: Zeynep Sonmez vs Magda Linette Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Snigur vs. Montgomery: Match O/U 21.5 Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Ilkley: Tatiana Prozorova vs Sinja Kraus Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
ITF kiseljak: Sergi Perez Contri vs Yanis Ghazouani Durand Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
ITF Martos: Dan Added vs Rafael Izquierdo Luque Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Lyon: Felix Balshaw vs Clement Tabur Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Set 1 Winner: Snigur vs Montgomery Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 - Map 1 Winner Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
ITF San Gregorio: Aurora Zantedeschi vs Alessandra Mazzola Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
FathUnionSport vs. Maghreb AS de Fès: O/U 2.5 Jun 12 $16 −$16 -100%
Set 1 Winner: Yamalapalli vs Khayrutdinova Jun 12 $31 −$31 -100%
ITF Vaasa: Joaquin Guilleme vs Linus Lagerbohm Jun 12 $17 −$17 -100%
ITF kiseljak: Ivan Biletic vs Duje Ajdukovic Jun 12 $216 −$216 -100%
Stuttgart Open: Ben Shelton vs Marcos Giron Jun 12 $98 −$98 -100%
ITF Curtea de Arges: Radu Mihai Papoe vs Marlon Vankan Jun 12 $61 −$61 -100%
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 12 $139 −$137 -98%
Set 1 Winner: Zantedeschi vs Mazzola Jun 12 $720 −$90 -12%
ITF Wichita: Sebastian Gorzny vs Kenta Miyoshi Jun 12 $110 −$102 -93%
ITF San Gregorio: Dunja Maric vs Nadia Podoroska Jun 12 $47 +$8 +17%
Stuttgart Open: Mattia Bellucci vs Taylor Fritz Jun 12 $364 +$155 +42%
Dota 2: Inner Circle vs Nemiga Gaming (BO3) - The International Europe Jun 12 $667 +$156 +24%
ITF Messina: Maxence Rivet vs Fausto Tabacco Jun 12 $3 −$3 -97%
Modena (Doubles): Cavalle-Reimers/Salden vs Cho/Cho Jun 12 $49 +$1 +2%
Dota 2: Level UP vs 4ikibamboni (BO3) - The International Europe Open Jun 12 $3 +$27 +982%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team - Map 1 Winner Jun 12 $158 +$546 +346%
Counter-Strike: SPARTA vs GenOne - Map 2 Winner Jun 12 $34 +$187 +550%
Stuttgart Open: Jiri Lehecka vs Frances Tiafoe Jun 12 $26 +$23 +89%
Tucuman: Carlos Maria Zarate vs Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi Jun 12 $1 +$1 +62%
Ilkley: Keegan Smith vs Jacob Fearnley Jun 12 $191 +$158 +83%
Canada vs. Bosnia-Herzegovina: Canada O/U 5.5 Corners Jun 12 $2 $0 +5%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Jun 12 $269 +$150 +56%
Set 1 Winner: Rivet vs Tabacco Jun 12 $407 +$93 +23%
ITF Wichita: Andrew Fenty vs Lucas Marionneau Jun 12 $39 +$28 +71%
HSBC Championships: Iva Jovic vs Amanda Anisimova Jun 12 $21 +$28 +132%
Modena (Doubles): Huergo/Radisic vs Gorgodze/Karamoko Jun 12 $30 +$34 +114%
Ilkley: Harmony Tan vs Lanlana Tararudee Jun 12 $1 +$1 +109%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team - Map 2 Winner Jun 12 $146 −$144 -98%
Set 2 Winner: Jovic vs Anisimova Jun 12 $1,123 +$82 +7%
ITF Nice: Tatiana Pieri vs Alina Granwehr Jun 12 $25 −$25 -100%
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 12 $39 −$36 -94%
KBO: Hanwha Eagles vs. Kiwoom Heroes Jun 12 $152 −$152 -100%
ITF Curtea de Arges: Stefan Horia Haita vs Stefan Adrian Andreescu Jun 12 $85 −$85 -100%
ITF Kayseri: Julia Adams vs Ui Su Jeong Jun 12 $118 −$118 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 100% +$2,401
other 0% −$628
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Counter-Strike: OLDBOYS- vs Donstu Esports - Map 2 Winner BUY Donstu Esports 37¢ $334 0m
Counter-Strike: OLDBOYS- vs Donstu Esports - Map 2 Winner BUY Donstu Esports 30¢ $245 1m
Will Canada win on 2026-06-18? BUY No 25¢ $1 1m
Counter-Strike: OLDBOYS- vs Donstu Esports - Map 2 Winner BUY Donstu Esports 48¢ $20 5m
Counter-Strike: Washed vs STATE - Map 2 Winner BUY Washed 48¢ $460 9m
Counter-Strike: Washed vs STATE - Map 2 Winner BUY Washed 50¢ $674 11m
Counter-Strike: Washed vs STATE (BO3) - Dust2.dk Ligaen Group A BUY Washed 70¢ $52 11m
Counter-Strike: Washed vs STATE (BO3) - Dust2.dk Ligaen Group A BUY Washed 67¢ $101 11m
LoL: Eintracht Spandau vs Anubis Gaming (BO3) - EMEA Masters Group D BUY Eintracht Spandau 57¢ $481 12m
Counter-Strike: Washed vs STATE - Map 2 Winner BUY Washed 39¢ $2 12m
Counter-Strike: OLDBOYS- vs Donstu Esports - Map 2 Winner BUY Donstu Esports 41¢ $4 13m
ITF Cuiaba: Antonia Rivera vs Maria Florencia Urrutia BUY Antonia Rivera 52¢ $3 15m
Counter-Strike: Invicta vs Sashi Academy - Map 2 Winner BUY Invicta 22¢ $29 22m
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY 9z 27¢ $6 23m
Spread: HJK Helsinki (-1.5) BUY HJK Helsinki 30¢ $1 24m
FF Jaro vs. HJK Helsinki: O/U 3.5 BUY Under 68¢ $0 24m
FF Jaro vs. HJK Helsinki: O/U 3.5 BUY Under 68¢ $33 24m
Dota 2: TeamDk vs Modo Serio (BO3) - The International South America O BUY Modo Serio 17¢ $1 26m
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY 9z 14¢ $198 26m
Counter-Strike: Ursa vs Leo Team - Map 2 Winner BUY Ursa 70¢ $4 28m
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY 9z 10¢ $15 29m
Counter-Strike: Ursa vs Leo Team (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #4 Group St BUY Leo Team 17¢ $12 30m
Counter-Strike: Ursa vs Leo Team (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #4 Group St BUY Leo Team 17¢ $4 30m
ITF Los Angeles: Alexandra Vagramov vs Veronica Miroshnichenko BUY Alexandra Vagramov 76¢ $38 31m
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 2.5 BUY Under 57¢ $28 31m
Counter-Strike: Washed vs STATE (BO3) - Dust2.dk Ligaen Group A BUY Washed 56¢ $51 32m
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag BUY Aurora Gaming 19¢ $140 32m
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 2.5 BUY Under 57¢ $28 34m
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag BUY Aurora Gaming 20¢ $19 34m
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag BUY Aurora Gaming 19¢ $352 35m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +52%
net ROI/market (all)-3.5%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 970 +6.6% -3.5% 55% 52% -8.3%
≤30d 970 +6.6% -3.5% 55% 52% -8.3%
≤90d 970 +6.6% -3.5% 55% 52% -8.3%
all 970 +6.6% -3.5% 55% 52% -8.3%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover604.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -3.5% 52% -8.3%
10% ← realistic here -12.8% 48% -17.0%
15% -21.2% 39% -25.0%
20% -28.9% 30% -32.4%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $9,309.75 · official $9,334.41 (match) · 3500 history records