Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T19:07:27+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

BF
0xbfd0…1f67
crypto · 566 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$914 -9%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$915 · open +$1
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFading edge
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$258
Realized−$915
Unrealized+$1
Win rate (resolved)56%
Wins / losses303 / 242
Est. fees paid−$47
Open positions21
Markets (closed)545 / 566
History coverage127d
Avg bet$19
Trades / day7.6
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit93%
Chart Positions 21 History 545 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$22
7 days+$43
14 days+$81
30 days+$45
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Qatar vs. Switzerland: O/U 1.5 Over 82¢ 80¢ $150 $147 −$3 (-2%)
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals? Yes 18¢ 19¢ $53 $57 +$4 (+7%)
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 16¢ 17¢ $5 $6 +$0 (+5%)
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 9¢ 11¢ $5 $6 +$1 (+13%)
Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 2¢ 2¢ $5 $5 +$0 (+8%)
Switzerland leading at halftime? Yes 63¢ 64¢ $5 $5 +$0 (+1%)
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 8¢ 8¢ $5 $5 −$0 (-2%)
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 3¢ 3¢ $5 $5 −$0 (-2%)
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 17¢ 16¢ $5 $5 −$0 (-5%)
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 6¢ 5¢ $5 $5 −$0 (-6%)
Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 2¢ 2¢ $3 $3 +$0 (+5%)
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Legacy 61¢ 100¢ $1 $2 +$1 (+64%)
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Vitality 76¢ 100¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+32%)
Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? Yes 9¢ 8¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-6%)
Exact Score: Qatar 0 - 3 Switzerland? Yes 14¢ 14¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+4%)
Map Handicap: TS (-1.5) vs 9z (+1.5) Spirit 63¢ 62¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-1%)
Will Senegal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 1¢ 1¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-7%)
Exact Score: Qatar 0 - 2 Switzerland? Yes 18¢ 18¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-3%)
Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 1¢ 1¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-3%)
Map Handicap: FURIA (-1.5) vs BetBoom Team (+1.5) BetBoom Team 66¢ 36¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-45%)
Map Handicap: VIT (-1.5) vs MOUZ (+1.5) Vitality 47¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Map Handicap: FAL (-1.5) vs Monte (+1.5) Team Falcons 50¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage Jun 13 $1 $0 +28%
Map Handicap: FUT (-1.5) vs B8 (+1.5) Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Counter-Strike: B8 vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 13 $1 $0 +35%
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs TheMongolz (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Jun 13 $11 −$9 -82%
Games Total: O/U 3.5 Jun 13 $2 −$2 -92%
Map Handicap: FAL (-1.5) vs Monte (+1.5) Jun 13 $1 −$1 -98%
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 2.5 Jun 13 $101 +$22 +22%
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 3.5 Jun 13 $20 +$6 +31%
Map Handicap: VIT (-1.5) vs 9z (+1.5) Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Map Handicap: TS (-1.5) vs Aurora Gaming (+1.5) Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Exact Score: Canada 1 - 0 Bosnia-Herzegovina? Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Exact Score: Canada 2 - 0 Bosnia-Herzegovina? Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 4.5 Jun 13 $2 −$1 -69%
Will United States vs. Paraguay end in a draw? Jun 13 $2 −$2 -94%
Exact Score: Canada 1 - 1 Bosnia-Herzegovina? Jun 12 $1 +$3 +254%
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? Jun 12 $8 −$1 -19%
Will Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw? Jun 12 $5 +$4 +87%
Map Handicap: PRV (-1.5) vs Monte (+1.5) Jun 12 $2 +$1 +40%
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag Jun 12 $2 $0 +16%
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 12 $250 +$3 +1%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI Jun 12 $7 +$4 +58%
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? Jun 12 $1 +$1 +108%
Will Korea Republic vs. Czechia end in a draw? Jun 12 $1 +$1 +64%
Will Czechia win on 2026-06-11? Jun 12 $1 −$1 -50%
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 11 $29 $0 +0%
Counter-Strike: illwill vs RUSTEC (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #4 Group S Jun 11 $70 +$3 +4%
Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 11 $1 −$1 -100%
Map Handicap: BB (-1.5) vs Monte (+1.5) Jun 11 $1 −$1 -100%
Games Total: O/U 3.5 Jun 11 $2 −$2 -100%
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs paiN (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 11 $2 −$2 -100%
Spurs vs. Knicks Jun 11 $488 +$41 +8%
Victor Wembanyama: Points O/U 27.5 Jun 11 $20 −$13 -65%
Counter-Strike: Ursa vs HEROIC Academy (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 4 Gro Jun 10 $111 +$4 +3%
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $85 by end of June? Jun 10 $10 +$2 +24%
LoL: Saigon Warriors vs Saigon Dino (BO3) - Asia Masters Group C Jun 10 $1 $0 +7%
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026? Jun 10 $1 $0 +6%
Counter-Strike: Virtus.pro vs Oxuji Esports (BO3) - CCT Europe Series Jun 09 $179 +$21 +12%
Counter-Strike: ex-RUBY vs RUSTEC (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 4 Group St Jun 09 $93 −$2 -2%
Spurs vs. Knicks Jun 09 $33 +$17 +50%
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals? Jun 09 $4 $0 +3%
S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $740 on June 9? Jun 09 $57 +$1 +2%
Map Handicap: G2 (-1.5) vs BIG (+1.5) Jun 08 $1 +$1 +69%
Map Handicap: LGC (-1.5) vs M80 (+1.5) Jun 08 $3 +$1 +30%
Counter-Strike: M80 vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 08 $101 +$6 +6%
Game Handicap: BLG (-1.5) vs Anyone's Legend (+1.5) Jun 08 $1 +$1 +57%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET Jun 08 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET Jun 08 $5 −$5 -100%
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs LGD Gaming (BO3) - BLAST Slam Playoffs Jun 08 $191 −$23 -12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET Jun 08 $10 −$10 -100%
Roland Garros ATP: Flavio Cobolli vs Alexander Zverev Jun 07 $157 +$19 +12%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 70% −$1,017
sports 28% +$101
other 1% $0
finance 1% +$3
tech 0% $0
world 0% −$1
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Qatar vs. Switzerland: O/U 1.5 BUY Over 82¢ $151 1h
Exact Score: Qatar 0 - 3 Switzerland? BUY Yes 14¢ $1 1h
Exact Score: Qatar 0 - 2 Switzerland? BUY Yes 18¢ $1 1h
Switzerland leading at halftime? BUY Yes 63¢ $5 1h
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs TheMongolz (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major SELL TheMongolz 12¢ $2 7h
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs TheMongolz (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major BUY TheMongolz 65¢ $10 8h
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs TheMongolz (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major SELL Natus Vincere 19¢ $0 8h
Games Total: O/U 3.5 SELL Over 4¢ $0 10h
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY Legacy 61¢ $1 10h
Map Handicap: TS (-1.5) vs 9z (+1.5) BUY Spirit 63¢ $1 10h
Map Handicap: FURIA (-1.5) vs BetBoom Team (+1.5) BUY BetBoom Team 66¢ $1 10h
Map Handicap: FAL (-1.5) vs Monte (+1.5) BUY Team Falcons 50¢ $1 10h
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage BUY Team Falcons 77¢ $1 10h
Map Handicap: FUT (-1.5) vs B8 (+1.5) BUY FUT Esports 45¢ $1 10h
Counter-Strike: B8 vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY FUT Esports 73¢ $1 10h
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs TheMongolz (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major BUY Natus Vincere 71¢ $1 10h
Map Handicap: VIT (-1.5) vs MOUZ (+1.5) BUY Vitality 47¢ $1 10h
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY Vitality 76¢ $1 10h
Games Total: O/U 3.5 BUY Over 48¢ $2 12h
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 4.5 SELL Over 16¢ $1 16h
Will United States vs. Paraguay end in a draw? SELL Yes 1¢ $0 16h
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 4.5 BUY Over 50¢ $2 16h
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 3.5 BUY Over 76¢ $20 17h
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 2.5 BUY Over 81¢ $101 17h
Will United States vs. Paraguay end in a draw? BUY Yes 19¢ $2 17h
Exact Score: Canada 1 - 1 Bosnia-Herzegovina? SELL Yes 59¢ $4 22h
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? SELL Yes 26¢ $6 22h
Will Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw? SELL Yes 60¢ $10 22h
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 25¢ $5 23h
Will Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw? BUY Yes 31¢ $5 23h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +41%
net ROI/market (all)-15.9%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 58 -12.0% -20.3% 55% 36% -7.8%
≤30d 128 -8.7% -17.4% 55% 36% -8.1%
≤90d 164 -15.1% -23.2% 54% 34% -10.0%
all 545 -7.0% -15.9% 56% 41% -17.5%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover7.6 tr/day
realistic slip~7%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -15.9% 41% -17.5%
10% -23.9% 36% -25.4%
15% -31.3% 31% -32.6%
20% -38.0% 29% -39.2%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $258.04 · official $258.21 (match) · 1465 history records