Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T18:04:50+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

BF
0xbfcc…2924
sports · 478 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$69 -7%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$48 · open −$13
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$12
Realized−$48
Unrealized−$13
Win rate (resolved)51%
Wins / losses237 / 232
Est. fees paid−$16
Open positions9
Markets (closed)469 / 478
History coverage19d
Avg bet$2
Trades / day54.5
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 9 History 469 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$1
7 days−$19
14 days−$65
30 days−$48
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Spirit 80¢ 66¢ $5 $4 −$1 (-17%)
Counter-Strike: OLDBOYS- vs Donstu Esports (BO3) - ESEA Advanced Europe Playoffs OLDBOYS- 57¢ 71¢ $2 $2 +$0 (+25%)
LoL: Eintracht Spandau vs Anubis Gaming (BO3) - EMEA Masters Group D Eintracht Spandau 78¢ 76¢ $2 $2 −$0 (-3%)
Counter-Strike: METANOIA WOLVES vs Alzon (BO1) - Gamers Club Liga Série A June Group C METANOIA WOLVES 61¢ 58¢ $2 $2 −$0 (-5%)
Counter-Strike: Eternal Fire Academy vs WRAITH PCIFIC (BO3) - TESFED League Playoffs WRAITH PCIFIC 74¢ 48¢ $2 $1 −$1 (-35%)
Counter-Strike: Ursa vs Leo Team (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #4 Group Stage Ursa 65¢ 66¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+1%)
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Team Falcons 25¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: SPARTA vs GenOne (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #4 Group Stage SPARTA 33¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Clutchain vs ex-MANA eSports (BO3) - United21 Playoffs ex-MANA eSports 39¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: THUNDER dOWNUNDER vs BIG (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1 THUNDER dOWNUNDER 31¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Valorant: SaD Esports vs NRG Academy (BO3) - VCL North America: Stage 3 Group Stage NRG Academy 45¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs Sinners (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1 Sinners 36¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Valorant: KRÜ Blaze vs ShindeN (BO3) - VCL Latin America South: Regular Season KRÜ Blaze 12¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: FlyQuest vs paiN (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 FlyQuest 47¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Valorant: SaD Esports vs YFP Gaming (BO3) - VCL North America: Stage 3 Group Stage YFP Gaming 57¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on May 25? Yes 49¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 TYLOO 45¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Rainbow Six Siege: Leviatán Esports vs Four Angry Men (BO3) - CN League Stage 1 Group Stage Four Angry Men 58¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Donstu Esports vs Fire Flux Esports (BO3) - ESEA Advanced Europe Playoffs Donstu Esports 64¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: AM Gaming vs ex-RUBY (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 3 Playoffs AM Gaming 40¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Galorys vs largadosypelados (BO3) - Circuit X Base Recife Group A largadosypelados 64¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs Aurora (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stage Tundra Esports 39¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Mobile Legends Bang Bang: Geek Fam ID vs ONIC (BO5) - MPL Indonesia Playoffs Geek Fam ID 24¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: RED Canids Academy vs paiN Academy (BO3) - Gamers Club Liga Série A Playoffs paiN Academy 56¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Betclic Apogee Esports vs Eternal Fire (BO3) - BC Game Masters Europe Series #2 Playoffs Betclic Apogee Esports 30¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Counter-Strike: Gatorian vs Nexus (BO1) - ROG Journey Group B Jun 12 $1 $0 +2%
Counter-Strike: Minkens finest vs XCLAN (BO1) - ROG Journey Group B Jun 12 $1 $0 -11%
Valorant: Team Heretics vs Team Vitality (BO3) - VCT Masters London Pl Jun 12 $1 −$1 -75%
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag Jun 12 $2 +$1 +41%
Valorant: Paper Rex vs Leviatán Esports (BO3) - VCT Masters London Pla Jun 12 $1 $0 +37%
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 12 $5 −$4 -79%
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 12 $8 −$5 -64%
Counter-Strike: GenOne vs Virtus.pro (BO3) - European Pro League Serie Jun 12 $2 +$2 +94%
Dota 2: Mentality Monster vs Ivory (BO3) - The International Southeast Jun 12 $1 $0 +39%
Counter-Strike: Virtus.pro vs INOX Division (BO3) - CCT Europe Series Jun 12 $1 $0 -3%
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 12 $2 +$1 +49%
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 12 $1 $0 +39%
Counter-Strike: against All authority vs Young Ninjas (BO3) - European Jun 12 $2 $0 +21%
Counter-Strike: ex-RUBY vs G2 Ares (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #4 Group Jun 12 $1 $0 +46%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI Jun 12 $4 −$3 -66%
Mobile Legends Bang Bang: Team Liquid ID vs Bigetron by Vitality (BO5) Jun 12 $1 +$1 +67%
Counter-Strike: Ding Cuts vs DXA Esports (BO3) - Dfrag Open Series #5 Jun 12 $1 −$1 -99%
Mobile Legends Bang Bang: Geek Fam ID vs ONIC (BO5) - MPL Indonesia Pl Jun 12 $1 −$1 -98%
Rainbow Six Siege: Leviatán Esports vs Four Angry Men (BO3) - CN Leagu Jun 12 $1 −$1 -99%
LoL: LOUD vs LOS (BO3) - Esports World Cup South America & LATAM Quali Jun 12 $1 +$1 +59%
Rainbow Six Siege: Five Fears vs Shopify Rebellion (BO1) - North Ameri Jun 11 $1 +$1 +79%
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag Jun 11 $3 −$2 -51%
Counter-Strike: KOLESIE vs HEROIC Academy (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #4 Jun 11 $2 +$1 +57%
Rainbow Six Siege: M80 vs 100 Thieves (BO1) - North America League Sta Jun 11 $1 +$1 +41%
LoL: Partizan Sangal vs WLGaming Esports (BO3) - EMEA Masters Group C Jun 11 $1 −$1 -99%
Rainbow Six Siege: Spacestation Gaming vs For Fun Esports (BO1) - Nort Jun 11 $1 −$1 -99%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 11 $3 +$2 +76%
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage Jun 11 $2 +$1 +50%
LoL: Vivo Keyd Stars vs RED Canids (BO3) - Esports World Cup South Ame Jun 11 $1 −$1 -98%
Counter-Strike: Bebop vs Oxuji Esports (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #4 Gr Jun 11 $4 +$2 +44%
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 11 $1 $0 +34%
Counter-Strike: SPARTA vs KOLESIE (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Group S Jun 11 $2 +$1 +61%
LoL: Misa Esports vs UCAM Esports Club (BO3) - EMEA Masters Group A Jun 11 $1 −$1 -99%
LoL: BOMBA Team vs Anubis Gaming (BO3) - EMEA Masters Group D Jun 11 $3 −$2 -65%
LoL: G2 NORD vs Galions (BO3) - EMEA Masters Group C Jun 11 $1 −$1 -98%
Valorant: Oasis Gaming vs BOOM Esports (BO3) - VCL Southeast Asia: Pla Jun 11 $1 +$1 +74%
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag Jun 11 $2 $0 +19%
Counter-Strike: UNiTY esports vs ex-MANA eSports (BO3) - United21 Play Jun 11 $3 +$2 +68%
Counter-Strike: AM Gaming vs CYBERSHOKE Esports (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Jun 11 $1 +$1 +54%
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 11 $2 +$2 +77%
Counter-Strike: illwill vs RUSTEC (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #4 Group S Jun 11 $1 +$1 +55%
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 11 $2 −$1 -55%
Mobile Legends Bang Bang: ONIC vs Bigetron by Vitality (BO5) - MPL Ind Jun 11 $1 −$1 -98%
Counter-Strike: Lazer Cats vs GenOne (BO3) - European Pro League Serie Jun 11 $1 $0 +35%
Mobile Legends Bang Bang: Team Liquid ID vs Geek Fam ID (BO5) - MPL In Jun 11 $2 +$2 +90%
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major S Jun 11 $1 −$1 -99%
Counter-Strike: KOLESIE vs Virtus.pro (BO3) - European Pro League Seri Jun 11 $1 −$1 -99%
Rainbow Six Siege: Shopify Rebellion vs Cloud9 (BO1) - North America L Jun 11 $2 $0 +25%
LoL: LOS vs paiN Gaming (BO3) - Esports World Cup South America & LATA Jun 11 $2 +$1 +27%
Counter-Strike: illwill vs G2 Ares (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 4 Group S Jun 10 $4 +$4 +110%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 99% −$60
other 1% +$1
crypto 0% +$1
weather 0% −$3
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag BUY Spirit 72¢ $2 18m
Counter-Strike: Gatorian vs Nexus (BO1) - ROG Journey Group B SELL Nexus 71¢ $1 18m
Counter-Strike: Minkens finest vs XCLAN (BO1) - ROG Journey Group B SELL Minkens finest 60¢ $1 19m
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag BUY Spirit 87¢ $3 43m
LoL: Eintracht Spandau vs Anubis Gaming (BO3) - EMEA Masters Group D BUY Eintracht Spandau 78¢ $2 45m
Counter-Strike: Gatorian vs Nexus (BO1) - ROG Journey Group B BUY Nexus 68¢ $1 46m
Counter-Strike: Minkens finest vs XCLAN (BO1) - ROG Journey Group B BUY Minkens finest 66¢ $1 46m
Counter-Strike: METANOIA WOLVES vs Alzon (BO1) - Gamers Club Liga Séri BUY METANOIA WOLVES 61¢ $2 46m
Counter-Strike: Eternal Fire Academy vs WRAITH PCIFIC (BO3) - TESFED L BUY WRAITH PCIFIC 74¢ $2 46m
Counter-Strike: OLDBOYS- vs Donstu Esports (BO3) - ESEA Advanced Europ BUY OLDBOYS- 57¢ $2 55m
Counter-Strike: OLDBOYS- vs Donstu Esports (BO3) - ESEA Advanced Europ SELL Donstu Esports 43¢ $2 55m
Counter-Strike: Ursa vs Leo Team (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #4 Group St BUY Ursa 65¢ $1 58m
Valorant: Team Heretics vs Team Vitality (BO3) - VCT Masters London Pl SELL Team Heretics 13¢ $0 58m
Counter-Strike: OLDBOYS- vs Donstu Esports (BO3) - ESEA Advanced Europ BUY Donstu Esports 50¢ $2 58m
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag SELL Spirit 85¢ $3 59m
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major BUY Team Falcons 25¢ $7 1h
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major SELL Team Falcons 24¢ $4 1h
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag SELL Natus Vincere 99¢ $3 1h
Counter-Strike: SPARTA vs GenOne (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #4 Group St BUY SPARTA 52¢ $1 2h
Valorant: Paper Rex vs Leviatán Esports (BO3) - VCT Masters London Pla SELL Paper Rex 94¢ $1 2h
Counter-Strike: SPARTA vs GenOne (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #4 Group St BUY SPARTA 26¢ $1 3h
Counter-Strike: SPARTA vs GenOne (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #4 Group St SELL SPARTA 24¢ $0 3h
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major BUY Team Falcons 68¢ $10 3h
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY FUT Esports 46¢ $1 3h
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major BUY Team Falcons 67¢ $1 4h
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major SELL BetBoom Team 33¢ $1 4h
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY PARIVISION 29¢ $3 4h
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 SELL PARIVISION 28¢ $2 4h
Valorant: Team Heretics vs Team Vitality (BO3) - VCT Masters London Pl BUY Team Heretics 50¢ $1 4h
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY PARIVISION 55¢ $1 4h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +49%
net ROI/market (all)-16.6%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 165 -14.9% -23.0% 49% 48% -13.4%
≤30d 469 -7.9% -16.6% 51% 49% -11.9%
≤90d 469 -7.9% -16.6% 51% 49% -11.9%
all 469 -7.9% -16.6% 51% 49% -11.9%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover54.5 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -16.6% 49% -11.9%
10% ← realistic here -24.6% 45% -20.3%
15% -31.9% 39% -28.0%
20% -38.6% 28% -35.1%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $12.46 · official $12.46 (match) · 1072 history records