Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T20:57:59+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

BF
0xbfc9…ec87
other · 6 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$12 -30%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$12 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP ⚠ High turnover⚠ Small sample
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$7
Realized−$12
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)40%
Wins / losses2 / 3
Est. fees paid−$0
Open positions1
Markets (closed)5 / 6
History coverage1d
Avg bet$7
Trades / day16.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit17%
Chart Positions 1 History 5 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$12
7 days−$12
14 days−$12
30 days−$12
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? Yes 95¢ 96¢ $7 $7 +$0 (+1%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will Qatar win on 2026-06-13? Jun 13 $2 $0 -18%
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? Jun 13 $1 +$1 +114%
Will Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw? Jun 12 $2 $0 +14%
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? Jun 12 $9 −$5 -57%
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12? Jun 12 $9 −$8 -86%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
other 95% −$12
sports 5% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 95¢ $2 1h
Will Qatar win on 2026-06-13? SELL Yes 1¢ $2 1h
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 95¢ $5 1h
Will Qatar win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 2¢ $2 1h
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? SELL Yes 93¢ $9 1h
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 94¢ $5 1h
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 82¢ $4 10h
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 46¢ $1 23h
Will Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw? SELL Yes 99¢ $2 23h
Will Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw? BUY Yes 86¢ $2 24h
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? SELL Yes 13¢ $2 24h
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12? SELL Yes 6¢ $1 24h
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 29¢ $4 24h
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 44¢ $4 24h
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? SELL Yes 24¢ $2 25h
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 41¢ $5 25h
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 54¢ $5 26h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +40%
net ROI/market (all)-15.5%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 5 -6.6% -15.5% 40% 40% -56.2%
≤30d 5 -6.6% -15.5% 40% 40% -56.2%
≤90d 5 -6.6% -15.5% 40% 40% -56.2%
all 5 -6.6% -15.5% 40% 40% -56.2%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover16.0 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -15.5% 40% -56.2%
10% -23.6% 20% -60.4%
15% -31.0% 20% -64.2%
20% -37.7% 20% -67.7%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $7.04 · official $7.04 (match) · 18 history records