Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T17:57:10+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

BF
0xbfc3…206a
other · 226 markets active 2h ago
0.0score
−$82 -0%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$82 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP ⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$82
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)3%
Wins / losses6 / 220
Whale WR (big bets)0%
Est. fees paid−$8
Open positions0
Markets (closed)226 / 226
History coverage123d
Avg bet$205
Trades / day9.9
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit61%
Chart Positions 0 History 226 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$5
7 days−$15
14 days−$25
30 days−$39
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
no open positions
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will the Kansas City Royals win the 2026 World Series? Jun 13 $370 −$1 -0%
Will Canada win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 13 $521 −$1 -0%
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? Jun 13 $287 $0 -0%
Will Orlando City SC win the 2026 MLS Cup? Jun 13 $205 $0 -0%
Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 13 $369 −$1 -0%
Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 13 $100 $0 -0%
Will Ahmed al-Sharaa win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? Jun 12 $406 −$1 -0%
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 12 $587 −$1 -0%
Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 12 $171 $0 -0%
Will the Texas Rangers win the 2026 World Series? Jun 11 $192 $0 -0%
Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 11 $619 −$1 -0%
Will the Houston Texans win the 2027 NFL league championship? Jun 11 $50 $0 -0%
Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 11 $418 −$1 -0%
Will the Washington Commanders win the 2027 NFL league championship? Jun 10 $226 $0 -0%
Will Egypt win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 10 $164 $0 -0%
Will 6 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? Jun 10 $282 −$1 -0%
Will Diosdado Cabello Rondón be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? Jun 09 $323 −$1 -0%
Will Minnesota United FC win the 2026 MLS Cup? Jun 09 $163 $0 -0%
Will the Cincinnati Bengals win the 2027 NFL league championship? Jun 09 $207 $0 -0%
Will Bitcoin reach $500,000 by December 31, 2026? Jun 09 $326 −$1 -0%
Will the Indianapolis Colts win the 2027 NFL league championship? Jun 09 $398 −$1 -0%
Will Fernando Haddad win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? Jun 09 $128 $0 -0%
Will New York Red Bulls win the 2026 MLS Cup? Jun 08 $331 −$1 -0%
Will the Detroit Tigers win the 2026 World Series? Jun 08 $550 −$1 -0%
Will 12 or more Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? Jun 08 $282 $0 -0%
Will Charles Leclerc be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? Jun 08 $170 $0 -0%
Will Katie Porter win the California Governor Election in 2026? Jun 07 $173 $0 -0%
Will Elon Musk buy Ryanair? Jun 07 $319 −$1 -0%
Will the Green Bay Packers win the 2027 NFL league championship? Jun 06 $52 $0 -0%
Will the Carolina Panthers win the 2027 NFL league championship? Jun 06 $301 −$1 -0%
Will the Jacksonville Jaguars win the 2027 NFL league championship? Jun 06 $171 −$1 -0%
Will Greta Thunberg win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? Jun 06 $185 −$1 -0%
Will Ghana win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 05 $206 $0 -0%
Will the Pittsburgh Pirates win the 2026 World Series? Jun 05 $53 $0 -0%
Will Elon Musk win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? Jun 05 $419 −$1 -0%
Will the Dallas Cowboys win the 2027 NFL league championship? Jun 05 $125 −$1 -0%
Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 04 $222 $0 -0%
Will the Philadelphia Phillies win the 2026 World Series? Jun 04 $563 −$2 -0%
Will the Boston Red Sox win the 2026 World Series? Jun 04 $372 −$1 -0%
Will Camilo Santana win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? Jun 04 $134 $0 -0%
Will Xi Jinping win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? Jun 03 $147 $0 -0%
Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 03 $292 $0 -0%
Will the Miami Dolphins win the 2027 NFL league championship? Jun 02 $305 −$1 -0%
Will Max Verstappen be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? Jun 02 $264 −$1 -0%
Will the San Diego Padres win the 2026 World Series? Jun 02 $266 −$1 -0%
Will Charlotte FC win the 2026 MLS Cup? Jun 01 $113 $0 -0%
Will Isack Hadjar be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? May 31 $237 $0 -0%
Will there be no head of state of Venezuela end of 2026? May 31 $137 −$1 -0%
Will Tarcisio de Freitas win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? May 30 $238 $0 -0%
Will Ecuador win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? May 29 $268 $0 -0%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
other 48% −$40
sports 25% −$18
politics 9% −$9
culture 4% −$5
crypto 4% −$3
world 4% −$3
economics 3% −$2
tech 2% −$1
finance 0% −$1
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will the Kansas City Royals win the 2026 World Series? SELL No 99¢ $48 1h
Will the Kansas City Royals win the 2026 World Series? BUY No 99¢ $48 3h
Will Canada win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL No 100¢ $48 4h
Will Canada win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY No 100¢ $48 5h
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? SELL No 94¢ $48 6h
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? BUY No 94¢ $48 7h
Will Orlando City SC win the 2026 MLS Cup? SELL No 99¢ $48 10h
Will Orlando City SC win the 2026 MLS Cup? BUY No 99¢ $49 12h
Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL No 98¢ $49 13h
Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY No 98¢ $49 14h
Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL No 99¢ $49 16h
Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY No 99¢ $49 18h
Will Ahmed al-Sharaa win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? SELL No 99¢ $49 28h
Will Ahmed al-Sharaa win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? BUY No 99¢ $49 30h
Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL No 99¢ $49 35h
Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY No 99¢ $49 36h
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL No 98¢ $49 39h
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY No 98¢ $49 41h
Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL No 98¢ $49 41h
Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY No 98¢ $49 43h
Will the Texas Rangers win the 2026 World Series? SELL No 98¢ $49 45h
Will the Texas Rangers win the 2026 World Series? BUY No 98¢ $49 47h
Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL No 98¢ $49 2d
Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY No 98¢ $49 2d
Will Ahmed al-Sharaa win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? SELL No 99¢ $49 2d
Will Ahmed al-Sharaa win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? BUY No 99¢ $50 2d
Will the Houston Texans win the 2027 NFL league championship? SELL No 97¢ $50 2d
Will the Houston Texans win the 2027 NFL league championship? BUY No 97¢ $50 2d
Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL No 99¢ $50 2d
Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY No 99¢ $50 2d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +0%
net ROI/market (all)-9.7%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 28 -0.2% -9.7% 0% 0% -9.7%
≤30d 73 -0.2% -9.7% 0% 0% -9.7%
≤90d 185 -0.2% -9.7% 1% 0% -9.7%
all 226 -0.2% -9.7% 3% 0% -9.7%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover9.9 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -9.7% 0% -9.7%
10% -18.3% 0% -18.3%
15% -26.2% 0% -26.2%
20% -33.5% 0% -33.5%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 1270 history records