Wallet analysis

2026-06-17T09:40:54+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
BF 0xbfbf…3723 crypto 94 markets active 6d ago coverage 1d
BOTnot copyable crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
✗ bot/MM pace (259 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ only 1d of captured history — unreliable✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ 90-day edge negative — edge has died
Total PnL −$927 (-25%) realized −$927 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -14% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -33% what you keep after slip
Net edge-33%after slip
Net WR33%break-even
Win rate37%35W / 59L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$39per market
Trades / day259.0pace
Fees−$25est.
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
Not enough resolved history to chart — analysis covers only 1d (hyperactive wallet — we see only the tail of its trades). A “Total PnL” curve will appear once daily tracking accumulates.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 72% −$1,014
sports 28% −$111
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (259 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +33%
net ROI/market (all)-21.7%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 94 -13.5% -21.7% 37% 33% -36.9%
≤30d 94 -13.5% -21.7% 37% 33% -36.9%
≤90d 94 -13.5% -21.7% 37% 33% -36.9%
all 94 -13.5% -21.7% 37% 33% -36.9%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover259.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -21.7% 33% -36.9%
10% ← realistic here -29.2% 32% -42.9%
15% -36.1% 29% -48.5%
20% -42.3% 28% -53.5%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 7% · top 2 12% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -31% edge died — 90d negative
Fragile wins
11% wins margin < slip solid win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -13% · $-wt -31% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early +2% → late -29% edge faded
Add-ons / DCA
1.5 add-ons/market flat bettor — clean entries
Win / loss size
+$13 vs −$27 · ×0.49 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.29 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

1d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized−$927
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)37%
Wins / losses35 / 59
Est. fees paid−$25
Open positions0
Markets (closed)94 / 94
History coverage1d
Avg bet$39
Trades / day259.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 94 Trades
no open positions (6 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET Jun 11 $23 −$22 -96%
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET Jun 11 $21 −$19 -89%
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Jun 11 $21 +$17 +84%
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET Jun 11 $21 +$26 +124%
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET Jun 11 $21 −$16 -78%
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET Jun 11 $33 −$32 -95%
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET Jun 11 $21 −$20 -95%
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET Jun 11 $971 −$734 -76%
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Jun 11 $21 −$12 -58%
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET Jun 11 $21 −$14 -67%
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Jun 11 $5 −$5 -89%
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Jun 11 $5 −$2 -48%
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET Jun 11 $21 +$17 +83%
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET Jun 11 $21 −$15 -71%
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Jun 11 $21 +$12 +59%
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs FUT Esports - Map 2 Winner Jun 11 $52 −$24 -47%
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET Jun 11 $21 +$9 +44%
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET Jun 11 $16 −$9 -58%
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET Jun 11 $27 −$16 -60%
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET Jun 11 $16 +$13 +81%
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET Jun 11 $31 +$20 +65%
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET Jun 11 $21 −$20 -96%
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET Jun 11 $32 −$15 -47%
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET Jun 11 $16 −$11 -68%
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET Jun 11 $33 −$2 -6%
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET Jun 11 $26 −$24 -91%
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET Jun 11 $21 −$16 -78%
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET Jun 11 $19 +$12 +62%
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET Jun 11 $21 −$13 -61%
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET Jun 11 $21 −$18 -87%
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET Jun 11 $21 −$12 -57%
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Jun 11 $21 +$22 +105%
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET Jun 11 $42 −$23 -55%
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET Jun 11 $21 +$19 +93%
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET Jun 11 $8 +$5 +58%
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET Jun 11 $26 −$10 -37%
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET Jun 11 $21 +$17 +83%
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET Jun 11 $11 −$9 -88%
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET Jun 11 $31 +$21 +68%
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET Jun 11 $42 −$26 -64%
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET Jun 11 $21 −$15 -72%
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET Jun 11 $11 −$9 -80%
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET Jun 11 $21 −$19 -88%
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET Jun 11 $37 −$25 -68%
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET Jun 11 $21 −$7 -35%
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET Jun 11 $11 −$6 -56%
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET Jun 11 $21 +$15 +73%
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET Jun 11 $10 +$12 +118%
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET Jun 11 $42 −$29 -70%
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET Jun 11 $40 +$3 +8%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET SELL Down 2¢ $1 5d
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET BUY Down 45¢ $21 5d
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET BUY Down 38¢ $2 5d
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET BUY Down 51¢ $0 5d
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET SELL Down 6¢ $2 5d
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET SELL Down 99¢ $38 5d
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET BUY Down 50¢ $21 5d
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET BUY Down 51¢ $21 5d
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET BUY Down 42¢ $21 5d
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET SELL Down 14¢ $5 5d
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET BUY Down 56¢ $21 5d
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET SELL Down 3¢ $2 5d
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET BUY Down 59¢ $12 5d
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET BUY Down 54¢ $21 5d
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET BUY Down 44¢ $21 5d
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET SELL Down 9¢ $116 5d
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET SELL Down 19¢ $114 5d
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET BUY Down 32¢ $377 5d
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET BUY Down 58¢ $488 5d
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET BUY Down 80¢ $80 5d
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET SELL Down 25¢ $8 5d
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET BUY Down 42¢ $5 5d
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET SELL Down 18¢ $9 5d
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET BUY Down 38¢ $21 5d
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET BUY Down 58¢ $21 5d
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET SELL Down 21¢ $7 5d
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET BUY Down 58¢ $21 5d
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET SELL Down 3¢ $1 5d
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET BUY Down 23¢ $5 5d
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET SELL Up 27¢ $3 5d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 277 history records