Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T09:00:04+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

BF
0xbfb4…c563
crypto · 86 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$397 -22%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$394 · open −$4
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$394
Unrealized−$4
Win rate (resolved)47%
Wins / losses40 / 45
Open positions1
Markets (closed)85 / 86
History coverage5d
Avg bet$21
Trades / day78.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 1 History 85 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$282
7 days−$394
14 days−$394
30 days−$394
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET Up 46¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-99%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET Up 41¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET Up 79¢ 0¢ $46 $0 −$46 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET Up 65¢ 0¢ $21 $0 −$21 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET Down 22¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET Up 19¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET Up 62¢ 0¢ $25 $0 −$25 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET Up 66¢ 0¢ $50 $0 −$50 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET Up 26¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET Up 76¢ 0¢ $50 $0 −$50 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET Up 21¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET Up 16¢ 0¢ $14 $0 −$14 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET Up 46¢ 0¢ $35 $0 −$35 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET Up 67¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET Up 61¢ 0¢ $45 $0 −$45 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET Up 68¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET Up 34¢ 0¢ $24 $0 −$24 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET Up 67¢ 0¢ $50 $0 −$50 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET Up 76¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET Up 58¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET Up 21¢ 0¢ $11 $0 −$11 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET Up 35¢ 0¢ $21 $0 −$21 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET Up 84¢ 0¢ $42 $0 −$42 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET Up 67¢ 0¢ $22 $0 −$22 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET Up 42¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET Jun 13 $5 +$3 +73%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET Jun 13 $51 +$23 +46%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET Jun 13 $5 +$3 +57%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET Jun 13 $59 +$16 +28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET Jun 13 $62 +$13 +21%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET Jun 13 $38 +$21 +55%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET Jun 13 $43 −$42 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET Jun 13 $29 +$48 +164%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET Jun 13 $12 −$11 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET Jun 12 $36 −$35 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET Jun 12 $21 +$12 +58%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET Jun 12 $36 +$6 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET Jun 12 $6 −$6 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET Jun 12 $46 −$46 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET Jun 12 $7 +$1 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET Jun 12 $51 −$50 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET Jun 12 $47 −$45 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET Jun 12 $6 −$6 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET Jun 12 $31 +$19 +60%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET Jun 12 $14 −$14 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET Jun 12 $44 +$32 +73%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET Jun 12 $47 +$28 +60%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET Jun 12 $7 +$1 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET Jun 12 $41 −$40 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET Jun 12 $25 −$20 -80%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET Jun 12 $22 −$21 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET Jun 12 $57 +$17 +30%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET Jun 12 $63 −$62 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET Jun 12 $7 +$1 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET Jun 11 $42 +$7 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET Jun 11 $39 −$38 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET Jun 11 $51 −$50 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET Jun 11 $6 −$5 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET Jun 11 $7 +$1 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET Jun 11 $41 +$27 +66%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET Jun 11 $2 −$2 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET Jun 11 $7 +$1 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET Jun 11 $51 −$50 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET Jun 11 $8 −$8 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET Jun 11 $5 +$3 +62%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET Jun 11 $31 +$19 +62%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET Jun 11 $21 +$4 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET Jun 11 $6 $0 -6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET Jun 10 $2 −$2 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET Jun 10 $11 +$2 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET Jun 10 $17 −$16 -98%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$397
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET BUY Up 46¢ $4 13m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET BUY Up 56¢ $5 42m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET BUY Up 70¢ $6 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET BUY Up 70¢ $6 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET BUY Up 70¢ $6 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET BUY Up 70¢ $6 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET BUY Up 51¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET BUY Up 56¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET BUY Up 69¢ $6 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET BUY Up 72¢ $6 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET BUY Up 74¢ $6 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET BUY Up 62¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET BUY Up 79¢ $7 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET BUY Up 79¢ $7 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET BUY Up 78¢ $7 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET BUY Up 79¢ $7 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET BUY Up 78¢ $7 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET BUY Up 77¢ $7 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET BUY Up 79¢ $7 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET BUY Up 70¢ $6 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET BUY Up 74¢ $6 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET BUY Up 79¢ $7 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET BUY Up 82¢ $7 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET BUY Up 83¢ $7 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET BUY Up 82¢ $7 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET BUY Up 82¢ $7 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET BUY Up 82¢ $7 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET BUY Up 82¢ $7 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET BUY Up 82¢ $7 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET BUY Up 83¢ $7 2h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +46%
net ROI/market (all)-33.7%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 85 -26.7% -33.7% 47% 46% -29.5%
≤30d 85 -26.7% -33.7% 47% 46% -29.5%
≤90d 85 -26.7% -33.7% 47% 46% -29.5%
all 85 -26.7% -33.7% 47% 46% -29.5%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover78.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -33.7% 46% -29.5%
10% ← realistic here -40.0% 31% -36.2%
15% -45.8% 22% -42.4%
20% -51.2% 19% -48.0%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.04 · official $0.04 (match) · 421 history records