Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T17:22:53+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

BF
0xbfaa…cb0b
crypto · 28 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$5 -4%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$5 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFading edge⚠ Small sample
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$1
Realized−$5
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)59%
Wins / losses16 / 11
Open positions1
Markets (closed)27 / 28
History coverage12d
Avg bet$5
Trades / day6.4
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 1 History 27 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$9
7 days−$15
14 days−$5
30 days−$5
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 13? Yes 41¢ 48¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+18%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 12? Jun 12 $2 +$1 +25%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 8? Jun 12 $6 −$3 -54%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 11? Jun 11 $2 −$2 -88%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 10? Jun 10 $10 −$5 -45%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,700 on June 9? Jun 09 $1 +$1 +61%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 9? Jun 09 $4 +$2 +47%
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on June 9? Jun 09 $1 +$1 +42%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 7? Jun 07 $7 −$3 -35%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on June 11? Jun 07 $3 −$1 -38%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on June 7? Jun 07 $7 −$6 -84%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on June 11? Jun 06 $5 −$1 -21%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 6? Jun 06 $15 +$1 +4%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on June 6? Jun 06 $8 −$3 -34%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 5? Jun 05 $14 +$10 +70%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,800 on June 4? Jun 04 $2 +$2 +82%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 4? Jun 04 $2 −$1 -63%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on June 4? Jun 04 $6 +$5 +82%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on June 3? Jun 03 $5 −$1 -22%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on June 3? Jun 03 $5 +$1 +11%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on June 3? Jun 02 $5 +$1 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET Jun 02 $5 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET Jun 02 $5 $0 +7%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on June 2? Jun 02 $1 +$1 +126%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on June 2? Jun 02 $3 +$1 +31%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on June 2? Jun 02 $1 +$1 +54%
Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in May? Jun 01 $1 $0 +22%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 99% −$6
weather 1% +$1
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 12? SELL No 99¢ $3 1h
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 13? BUY Yes 41¢ $1 1h
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 12? BUY No 78¢ $2 4h
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 11? SELL No 6¢ $0 29h
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 10? SELL Yes 41¢ $1 2d
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 11? BUY No 46¢ $2 2d
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 10? SELL Yes 54¢ $1 2d
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 10? BUY Yes 67¢ $1 2d
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 10? BUY Yes 67¢ $1 2d
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 10? BUY Yes 67¢ $1 2d
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 10? SELL No 34¢ $4 2d
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 10? BUY No 71¢ $2 3d
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,700 on June 9? SELL No 100¢ $2 3d
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 10? BUY No 63¢ $3 3d
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 10? BUY No 63¢ $3 3d
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 9? SELL No 100¢ $6 3d
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 9? BUY No 72¢ $2 3d
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on June 9? SELL No 98¢ $2 3d
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on June 9? BUY No 68¢ $1 3d
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,700 on June 9? BUY No 60¢ $1 3d
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 9? BUY No 62¢ $2 3d
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 8? BUY Yes 55¢ $3 4d
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 8? SELL No 52¢ $3 4d
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 8? BUY No 57¢ $3 4d
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 7? SELL Yes 48¢ $2 5d
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 7? BUY Yes 68¢ $3 5d
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 7? SELL No 55¢ $3 5d
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on June 11? SELL No 30¢ $2 5d
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on June 7? SELL No 6¢ $1 5d
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 7? BUY No 83¢ $4 5d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +48%
net ROI/market (all)-6.1%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 15 -16.7% -24.6% 40% 33% -24.0%
≤30d 27 +3.8% -6.1% 59% 48% -13.1%
≤90d 27 +3.8% -6.1% 59% 48% -13.1%
all 27 +3.8% -6.1% 59% 48% -13.1%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover6.4 tr/day
realistic slip~7%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -6.1% 48% -13.1%
10% -15.1% 37% -21.4%
15% -23.3% 30% -29.0%
20% -30.8% 22% -36.0%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $1.18 · official $1.18 (match) · 85 history records