Wallet analysis

2026-06-17T23:38:25+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
BF 0xbfa5…f476 crypto 444 markets active 5d ago coverage 4d ⚠
BOTnot copyable crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover⚠ Covers last 3d onlyP/L from Polymarket (history capped)
✗ bot/MM pace (311 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ on-chain reconstruction ≠ official P&L (longshot/capped history)✗ negative after realistic slippage
Total PnL +$1,939 (+82%) realized +$1,939 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -8% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -29% what you keep after slip
Net edge-29%after slip
Net WR41%break-even
Win rate50%221W / 225L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$5per market
Trades / day311.2pace
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$14now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% −$91
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (311 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +41%
net ROI/market (all)-16.5%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 206 -17.8% -25.6% 43% 35% -26.7%
≤30d 446 -7.7% -16.5% 50% 41% -13.4%
≤90d 446 -7.7% -16.5% 50% 41% -13.4%
all 446 -7.7% -16.5% 50% 41% -13.4%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover311.2 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -16.5% 41% -13.4%
10% ← realistic here -24.5% 33% -21.7%
15% -31.8% 24% -29.3%
20% -38.5% 16% -36.2%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 24% · top 2 27% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -5% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
15% wins margin < slip solid win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -8% · $-wt -5% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early +1% → late -17% edge faded
Add-ons / DCA
2.6 add-ons/market adds to positions
Win / loss size
+$2 vs −$3 · ×0.85 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.83 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

4d coverage
Net worth$14
Realized+$1,939
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)50%
Wins / losses221 / 225
Open positions0
Markets (closed)446 / 444
History coverage4d ⚠
Avg bet$5
Trades / day311.2
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 446 Trades
no open positions (2 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Dogecoin Up or Down - April 28, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET Jun 17 $9 −$18 -200%
Dogecoin Up or Down - May 29, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET Jun 17 $3 −$3 -100%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET Jun 12 $2 +$2 +85%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET Jun 12 $10 −$2 -24%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET Jun 12 $6 +$2 +34%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET Jun 12 $8 −$3 -43%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET Jun 12 $6 −$4 -64%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET Jun 12 $4 +$2 +61%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +25%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET Jun 12 $4 $0 -10%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET Jun 12 $8 −$1 -7%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET Jun 12 $2 +$1 +73%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET Jun 12 $22 −$5 -22%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET Jun 12 $22 $0 -0%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET Jun 12 $6 −$6 -100%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET Jun 12 $2 +$2 +90%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +25%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET Jun 12 $2 +$1 +31%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET Jun 12 $6 −$4 -67%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET Jun 12 $6 −$1 -16%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET Jun 12 $6 $0 -3%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET Jun 12 $14 −$5 -34%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET Jun 12 $2 +$1 +38%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET Jun 12 $10 +$4 +44%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET Jun 12 $4 +$3 +63%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET Jun 12 $4 +$4 +100%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET Jun 12 $10 −$5 -47%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET Jun 12 $4 $0 +8%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET Jun 12 $6 −$1 -14%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET Jun 12 $14 +$1 +4%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET Jun 12 $2 +$2 +90%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET Jun 12 $4 $0 +8%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET Jun 12 $10 −$2 -15%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET Jun 12 $4 −$2 -44%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +14%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET Jun 12 $6 $0 +8%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET Jun 12 $4 −$1 -32%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +3%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET Jun 12 $4 −$2 -51%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET BUY Down 53¢ $2 5d
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET BUY Down 37¢ $2 5d
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET BUY Up 81¢ $2 5d
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET BUY Up 81¢ $2 5d
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET BUY Up 71¢ $2 5d
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET BUY Down 77¢ $2 5d
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET BUY Down 64¢ $2 5d
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $2 5d
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET BUY Down 98¢ $2 5d
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET BUY Down 49¢ $2 5d
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET BUY Up 87¢ $2 5d
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET BUY Up 85¢ $2 5d
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET BUY Down 66¢ $2 5d
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET BUY Down 48¢ $2 5d
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET BUY Up 91¢ $2 5d
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET BUY Down 47¢ $2 5d
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET BUY Down 72¢ $2 5d
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET BUY Down 89¢ $2 5d
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET BUY Down 46¢ $2 5d
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET BUY Up 79¢ $2 5d
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET BUY Up 21¢ $2 5d
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET BUY Down 53¢ $2 5d
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET BUY Up 34¢ $2 5d
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET BUY Down 69¢ $2 5d
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET BUY Down 74¢ $2 5d
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $2 5d
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET BUY Down 56¢ $2 5d
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET BUY Up 97¢ $2 5d
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET BUY Up 86¢ $2 5d
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET BUY Up 81¢ $2 5d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $13.80 · official $13.80 (match) · 3500 history records