Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T19:39:12+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

BF
0xbf9f…f055
crypto · 108 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
+$52 +2%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$51 · open +$1
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$13
Realized+$51
Unrealized+$1
Win rate (resolved)64%
Wins / losses68 / 38
Est. fees paid−$0
Open positions2
Markets (closed)106 / 108
History coverage2d
Avg bet$22
Trades / day178.1
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit97%
Chart Positions 2 History 106 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$48
7 days+$51
14 days+$51
30 days+$51
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? Yes 82¢ 94¢ $8 $9 +$1 (+15%)
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? Yes 64¢ 64¢ $4 $4 −$0 (-1%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET Down 43¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Up 72¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET Up 23¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET Down 8¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET Up 88¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET Up 82¢ 0¢ $35 $0 −$35 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET Down 89¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET Down 28¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET Down 37¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET Down 29¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET Up 75¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET Down 54¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET Jun 13 $4 −$1 -34%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -88%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Jun 13 $7 +$1 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Jun 13 $4 $0 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -91%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$2 +47%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET Jun 13 $11 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET Jun 13 $3 +$3 +92%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET Jun 13 $2 +$2 +107%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET Jun 13 $6 +$1 +23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET Jun 13 $5 +$1 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Jun 13 $5 +$1 +26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET Jun 13 $8 +$3 +38%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Jun 13 $4 $0 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Jun 13 $51 +$10 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -92%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET Jun 13 $56 +$3 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +2%
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? Jun 13 $6 +$6 +105%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET Jun 12 $3 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET Jun 12 $3 +$1 +48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET Jun 12 $3 +$2 +74%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -87%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$2 -75%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET Jun 12 $63 +$18 +29%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET Jun 12 $50 −$5 -10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET Jun 12 $51 +$11 +21%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET Jun 12 $50 −$8 -15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET Jun 12 $51 +$5 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET Jun 12 $56 +$5 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET Jun 12 $6 +$1 +11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET Jun 12 $3 $0 -1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET Jun 12 $3 $0 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 -6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET Jun 12 $3 +$2 +55%
Mexico vs. South Africa: O/U 2.5 Jun 11 $5 +$4 +83%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET Jun 11 $2 −$1 -59%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET Jun 11 $5 +$5 +90%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET Jun 11 $11 +$2 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET Jun 11 $5 −$4 -81%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET Jun 11 $3 −$3 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET Jun 11 $5 +$1 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET Jun 11 $51 +$11 +21%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET Jun 11 $50 +$6 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET Jun 11 $52 +$36 +70%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET Jun 11 $50 +$6 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET Jun 11 $51 −$25 -49%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET Jun 11 $50 +$5 +10%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 99% +$41
other 1% +$8
sports 0% +$4
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET BUY Down 34¢ $1 54m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET BUY Down 41¢ $1 54m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET SELL Up 53¢ $1 55m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET BUY Up 36¢ $1 55m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET SELL Down 32¢ $0 56m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET SELL Down 42¢ $1 56m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET BUY Down 26¢ $1 56m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET SELL Down 3¢ $0 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET BUY Down 23¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET SELL Up 99¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET BUY Up 80¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET SELL Down 28¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET BUY Down 31¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET BUY Down 98¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET SELL Down 72¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET BUY Down 35¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET SELL Up 55¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET BUY Up 51¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET SELL Up 3¢ $0 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET BUY Up 24¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET BUY Up 39¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET SELL Down 99¢ $6 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET BUY Down 39¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET BUY Down 79¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET SELL Up 14¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET BUY Up 10¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET BUY Up 36¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET SELL Down 64¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET BUY Down 31¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET SELL Down 41¢ $1 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +37%
net ROI/market (all)-13.6%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 106 -4.5% -13.6% 64% 37% -7.5%
≤30d 106 -4.5% -13.6% 64% 37% -7.5%
≤90d 106 -4.5% -13.6% 64% 37% -7.5%
all 106 -4.5% -13.6% 64% 37% -7.5%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover178.1 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -13.6% 37% -7.5%
10% ← realistic here -21.9% 19% -16.4%
15% -29.4% 12% -24.5%
20% -36.3% 9% -31.9%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $13.19 · official $13.19 (match) · 429 history records