Wallet analysis

2026-06-17T21:00:19+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
BF 0xbf9b…0f44 crypto 1102 markets active 4h ago coverage 50d ⚠
BOTnot copyable crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover⚠ Covers last 50d onlyP/L from Polymarket (history capped)
✗ bot/MM pace (63 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ on-chain reconstruction ≠ official P&L (longshot/capped history)✗ negative after realistic slippage
Total PnL −$8,879 (-99%) realized −$8,879 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -12% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -32% what you keep after slip
Net edge-32%after slip
Net WR34%break-even
Win rate34%356W / 683L
Drawdown43%max
Avg bet$8per market
Trades / day62.7pace
Kalshi-fit99%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
Not enough resolved history to chart — analysis covers only 50d (hyperactive wallet — we see only the tail of its trades). A “Total PnL” curve will appear once daily tracking accumulates.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% +$1,848
other 0% −$6
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (63 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +34%
net ROI/market (all)-20.0%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 499 -53.6% -58.0% 17% 17% -2.1%
≤30d 722 -8.6% -17.3% 33% 33% +27.8%
≤90d 1039 -11.5% -20.0% 34% 34% +5.4%
all 1039 -11.5% -20.0% 34% 34% +5.4%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover62.7 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -20.0% 34% +5.4%
10% ← realistic here -27.6% 33% -4.7%
15% -34.6% 32% -13.9%
20% -41.0% 30% -22.3%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 3% · top 2 5% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI +16% fresh edge ✓
Fragile wins
1% wins margin < slip solid win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -12% · $-wt +16% edge needs big-bet sizing — not flat-copyable
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early +25% → late -48% edge faded
Add-ons / DCA
2.5 add-ons/market adds to positions
Win / loss size
+$12 vs −$5 · ×2.54 wins bigger than losses
Profit factor
×1.33 profit barely above losses
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

50d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized−$8,879
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)34%
Wins / losses356 / 683
Open positions0
Markets (closed)1039 / 1102
History coverage50d ⚠
Avg bet$8
Trades / day62.7
Drawdown43%
Kalshi-fit99%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 1039 Trades
no open positions (500 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Solana Up or Down - March 17, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET Jun 17 $2 −$2 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - March 18, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET Jun 17 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - March 26, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET Jun 17 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - March 22, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET Jun 17 $1 −$1 -100%
Solana Up or Down - March 25, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET Jun 17 $0 $0 -100%
Solana Up or Down - March 20, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET Jun 17 $2 −$2 -100%
XRP Up or Down - March 17, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET Jun 17 $2 −$2 -100%
Solana Up or Down - March 17, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET Jun 17 $1 −$1 -100%
Solana Up or Down - March 26, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Jun 17 $0 $0 -100%
Solana Up or Down - March 13, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET Jun 17 $2 −$2 -100%
Solana Up or Down - March 5, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET Jun 17 $2 −$2 -100%
XRP Up or Down - March 15, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET Jun 17 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 13, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET Jun 17 $8 −$8 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - March 18, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET Jun 17 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 21, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Jun 17 $6 −$6 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - March 3, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET Jun 17 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 13, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET Jun 17 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET Jun 17 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 10, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET Jun 17 $8 −$8 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - March 3, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET Jun 17 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 15, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET Jun 17 $2 −$2 -100%
Solana Up or Down - March 26, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET Jun 17 $0 $0 -100%
Solana Up or Down - March 13, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET Jun 17 $1 −$1 -100%
Solana Up or Down - March 16, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET Jun 17 $2 −$2 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - March 18, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET Jun 17 $2 −$2 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - March 15, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET Jun 17 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 20, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET Jun 17 $7 −$7 -100%
Solana Up or Down - March 17, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET Jun 17 $2 −$2 -100%
XRP Up or Down - March 5, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET Jun 17 $2 −$2 -100%
Solana Up or Down - March 3, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET Jun 17 $3 −$3 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - March 26, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET Jun 17 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 12, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET Jun 17 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Jun 17 $5 −$5 -100%
Solana Up or Down - March 26, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET Jun 17 $0 $0 -100%
Solana Up or Down - March 19, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET Jun 17 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 12, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET Jun 17 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 14, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET Jun 17 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 10, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET Jun 17 $4 −$4 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - March 22, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET Jun 17 $2 −$2 -100%
Solana Up or Down - March 26, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET Jun 17 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 15, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET Jun 17 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 21, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET Jun 17 $4 −$4 -100%
Solana Up or Down - March 25, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET Jun 17 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 9, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET Jun 17 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 26, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET Jun 17 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 15, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET Jun 17 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 18, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET Jun 17 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 21, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET Jun 17 $1 −$1 -100%
Solana Up or Down - March 18, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET Jun 17 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 14, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET Jun 17 $2 −$2 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET BUY Up 35¢ $0 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET BUY Up 35¢ $2 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET BUY Up 35¢ $1 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET BUY Up 35¢ $1 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET BUY Up 35¢ $5 4h
Solana Up or Down - June 17, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET BUY Up 30¢ $0 5h
XRP Up or Down - June 17, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET BUY Up 30¢ $2 5h
XRP Up or Down - June 17, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET BUY Up 30¢ $2 5h
Solana Up or Down - June 17, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET BUY Up 30¢ $3 5h
Solana Up or Down - June 17, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET BUY Up 30¢ $2 5h
XRP Up or Down - June 17, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET BUY Up 30¢ $1 5h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET BUY Up 30¢ $0 5h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET BUY Up 30¢ $2 5h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET BUY Up 30¢ $0 5h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET BUY Up 30¢ $2 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET BUY Up 30¢ $1 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET BUY Up 30¢ $2 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET BUY Up 30¢ $2 5h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET BUY Down 25¢ $1 5h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET BUY Down 25¢ $0 5h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET BUY Down 25¢ $1 5h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET BUY Down 25¢ $0 5h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET BUY Down 25¢ $0 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET BUY Down 25¢ $2 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET BUY Down 25¢ $1 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET BUY Down 25¢ $1 5h
XRP Up or Down - June 17, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET BUY Down 25¢ $0 5h
XRP Up or Down - June 17, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET BUY Down 25¢ $2 5h
XRP Up or Down - June 17, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET BUY Down 25¢ $1 5h
Solana Up or Down - June 17, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET BUY Down 25¢ $1 5h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records