Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T09:35:02+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

BF
0xbf8d…d1e2
crypto · 71 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
+$1 +1%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$1 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized+$1
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)94%
Wins / losses67 / 4
Open positions0
Markets (closed)71 / 71
History coverage1d
Avg bet$3
Trades / day110.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 71 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$1
7 days+$1
14 days+$1
30 days+$1
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET Down 93¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET Up 94¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET Up 95¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET Down 92¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +8%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET Jun 13 $4 $0 +4%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET Jun 13 $4 $0 +6%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET Jun 13 $4 $0 +5%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET Jun 13 $4 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +2%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +13%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET Jun 13 $4 $0 +8%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +7%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET Jun 13 $4 $0 +4%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET Jun 13 $3 $0 +4%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET Jun 13 $4 $0 +3%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +6%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET Jun 13 $3 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +5%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +5%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET Jun 13 $3 $0 +8%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET Jun 13 $3 $0 +7%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET Jun 13 $3 $0 +3%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +9%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +8%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET Jun 13 $3 $0 +3%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET Jun 13 $3 $0 +8%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET Jun 13 $3 $0 +12%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +4%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +6%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +5%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET Jun 13 $3 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET Jun 13 $3 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +6%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +15%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +8%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +3%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +8%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +7%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +3%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +3%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +4%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +1%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% +$1
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $2 5m
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET BUY Down 92¢ $2 6m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET BUY Down 93¢ $2 7m
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET BUY Down 95¢ $2 10m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET BUY Down 93¢ $2 10m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET BUY Down 95¢ $2 11m
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET BUY Down 94¢ $2 11m
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $2 15m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET BUY Up 98¢ $1 15m
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET BUY Up 94¢ $2 15m
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET BUY Down 88¢ $2 26m
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET BUY Up 94¢ $2 30m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET BUY Up 93¢ $1 32m
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET BUY Up 91¢ $2 32m
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET BUY Down 98¢ $2 35m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET BUY Down 98¢ $2 40m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET BUY Down 93¢ $2 42m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET BUY Down 97¢ $1 45m
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET BUY Down 98¢ $2 45m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET BUY Down 96¢ $2 46m
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET BUY Down 95¢ $2 46m
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET BUY Down 94¢ $2 50m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $2 55m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET BUY Up 94¢ $1 58m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET BUY Up 95¢ $1 58m
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET BUY Up 95¢ $1 58m
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET BUY Down 84¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET BUY Up 93¢ $2 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $2 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET BUY Up 94¢ $2 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +8%
net ROI/market (all)-9.7%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 71 -0.2% -9.7% 94% 8% -8.9%
≤30d 71 -0.2% -9.7% 94% 8% -8.9%
≤90d 71 -0.2% -9.7% 94% 8% -8.9%
all 71 -0.2% -9.7% 94% 8% -8.9%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover110.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -9.7% 8% -8.9%
10% ← realistic here -18.4% 0% -17.6%
15% -26.3% 0% -25.5%
20% -33.5% 0% -32.8%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 177 history records