trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 74-75°F on June 13? | Yes | 15¢ | 11¢ | $8 | $6 | −$2 (-28%) |
| Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 72-73°F on June 13? | No | 48¢ | 47¢ | $5 | $5 | −$0 (-2%) |
| Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 88-89°F on June 13? | No | 46¢ | 36¢ | $1 | $1 | −$0 (-21%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 72-73°F on June | Jun 13 | $1 | +$1 | +137% |
| Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 80-81°F on Ju | Jun 13 | $7 | −$5 | -76% |
| Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 82-83°F on Ju | Jun 13 | $1 | $0 | +16% |
| Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 74-75°F on June | Jun 13 | $10 | +$4 | +36% |
| Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 90-91°F on June 12? | Jun 13 | $2 | −$1 | -56% |
| Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 90-91°F on June 12? | Jun 13 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 88-89°F on June 12? | Jun 13 | $7 | +$1 | +17% |
| Lyon: Dali Blanch vs David Jorda Sanchis | Jun 12 | $4 | $0 | +5% |
| Libema Open: Caty McNally vs Solana Sierra | Jun 12 | $3 | −$1 | -17% |
| Libema Open: Zhizhen Zhang vs Adrian Mannarino | Jun 12 | $3 | $0 | +2% |
| HSBC Championships: Jaqueline Cristian vs Katie Boulter | Jun 12 | $1 | $0 | +10% |
| T20 Series West Indies vs Sri lanka: West Indies vs Sri Lanka | Jun 12 | $55 | −$1 | -2% |
| Tucuman: Nicolas Kicker vs Nick Hardt | Jun 12 | $5 | −$1 | -19% |
| Will SpaceX's public ticker be another ticker? | Jun 11 | $4 | $0 | -0% |
| ODI Series Bangladesh vs Australia: Bangladesh vs Australia | Jun 11 | $19 | +$1 | +4% |
| Will Bitcoin reach $63,000 on June 11? | Jun 11 | $1 | $0 | +0% |
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 16 | -2.7% | -12.0% | 56% | 25% | -11.4% |
| ≤30d | 16 | -2.7% | -12.0% | 56% | 25% | -11.4% |
| ≤90d | 16 | -2.7% | -12.0% | 56% | 25% | -11.4% |
| all | 16 | -2.7% | -12.0% | 56% | 25% | -11.4% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal | -12.0% | 25% | -11.4% |
| 10% ← realistic here | -20.4% | 12% | -19.8% |
| 15% | -28.1% | 12% | -27.6% |
| 20% | -35.2% | 6% | -34.7% |