Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T10:20:36+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

BF
0xbf75…b06a
crypto · 646 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$245 -10%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$245 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist
Net worth$0
Realized−$245
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)56%
Wins / losses361 / 285
Open positions0
Markets (closed)646 / 646
Avg bet$4
Trades / day17.2
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 646 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$11
7 days−$12
14 days−$15
30 days−$68
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET Up 26¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET Down 57¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET Up 52¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET Down 46¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET Up 41¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET Down 52¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET Up 51¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Up 46¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET Up 58¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET Up 46¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET Down 24¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET Up 42¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Down 52¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET Up 47¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET Down 46¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET Down 40¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET Up 14¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET Up 51¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET Up 67¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET Down 52¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET Down 60¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET Down 54¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET Down 42¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET Up 50¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Up 46¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +24%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET Jun 12 $3 +$2 +60%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET Jun 12 $3 +$1 +39%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET Jun 12 $3 +$1 +23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$1 +21%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET Jun 12 $2 +$1 +34%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET Jun 12 $2 +$1 +52%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET Jun 12 $2 +$1 +68%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET Jun 11 $2 +$1 +37%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET Jun 11 $2 $0 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET Jun 11 $2 +$1 +41%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET Jun 11 $2 −$2 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET Jun 11 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET Jun 11 $2 $0 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET Jun 11 $2 $0 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET Jun 11 $2 +$1 +42%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET Jun 11 $2 +$1 +31%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Jun 11 $2 $0 -3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET Jun 11 $3 $0 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET Jun 11 $10 −$10 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET Jun 11 $3 −$3 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET Jun 11 $10 +$3 +30%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET Jun 11 $3 −$3 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET Jun 11 $3 +$1 +26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET Jun 10 $5 −$5 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET Jun 10 $3 −$3 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET Jun 10 $3 +$1 +42%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET Jun 10 $3 +$1 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET Jun 10 $3 +$1 +42%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET Jun 10 $5 +$3 +54%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET Jun 10 $3 +$2 +74%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET Jun 10 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET Jun 10 $3 $0 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Jun 10 $10 +$4 +37%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET Jun 10 $3 −$3 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET Jun 10 $5 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET Jun 10 $3 +$1 +37%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET Jun 10 $3 +$1 +48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET Jun 10 $3 +$3 +97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET Jun 10 $3 −$3 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET Jun 10 $5 +$1 +23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Jun 10 $3 $0 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET Jun 10 $8 +$2 +27%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET Jun 10 $5 +$5 +93%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$245
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET BUY Up 52¢ $1 10m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET BUY Up 52¢ $1 10m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET BUY Down 65¢ $5 14m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET BUY Up 24¢ $1 19m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET BUY Up 67¢ $3 22m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET SELL Up 61¢ $1 32m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET BUY Up 46¢ $1 34m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET SELL Up 64¢ $5 37m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET BUY Up 37¢ $3 39m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET SELL Up 84¢ $4 59m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET BUY Up 58¢ $3 59m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET SELL Up 70¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET BUY Up 54¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET SELL Up 66¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET BUY Up 57¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET SELL Up 65¢ $6 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET BUY Up 52¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET BUY Down 53¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET SELL Down 76¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET BUY Down 54¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET SELL Up 84¢ $3 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET BUY Up 53¢ $2 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET SELL Down 68¢ $3 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET BUY Down 38¢ $2 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET SELL Up 83¢ $3 18h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET BUY Up 58¢ $2 18h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET SELL Down 66¢ $2 22h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET BUY Down 57¢ $2 23h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET SELL Up 77¢ $3 23h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET BUY Up 52¢ $2 23h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +52%
net ROI/market (all)-20.1%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 70 -9.5% -18.1% 64% 54% -14.2%
≤30d 160 -17.2% -25.1% 56% 51% -24.0%
≤90d 646 -11.6% -20.1% 56% 52% -18.4%
all 646 -11.6% -20.1% 56% 52% -18.4%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover17.2 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -20.1% 52% -18.4%
10% -27.7% 44% -26.2%
15% -34.7% 33% -33.3%
20% -41.1% 22% -39.9%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 1403 history records