trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 7 | -61.5% | -65.2% | 0% | 0% | -14.1% |
| ≤30d | 11 | -56.5% | -60.7% | 0% | 0% | -37.8% |
| ≤90d | 20 | -37.3% | -43.3% | 5% | 0% | -22.8% |
| all | 20 | -37.3% | -43.3% | 5% | 0% | -22.8% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -43.3% | 0% | -22.8% |
| 10% | -48.7% | 0% | -30.2% |
| 15% | -53.7% | 0% | -37.0% |
| 20% | -58.2% | 0% | -43.1% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Microsoft (MSFT) close above $360 end of June? | Yes | 95¢ | 91¢ | $19 | $18 | −$1 (-4%) |
| Will Microsoft (MSFT) finish week of June 15 above $390? | Yes | 86¢ | 68¢ | $4 | $3 | −$1 (-21%) |
| Will Tesla (TSLA) finish week of June 15 above $370? | No | 37¢ | 24¢ | $4 | $2 | −$1 (-34%) |
| Will Microsoft (MSFT) finish week of June 15 above $370? | No | 47¢ | 47¢ | $2 | $2 | −$0 (-0%) |
| Will Tesla (TSLA) finish week of June 15 above $375? | No | 34¢ | 44¢ | $2 | $2 | +$1 (+30%) |
| Will Microsoft (MSFT) finish week of June 15 above $390? | No | 40¢ | 32¢ | $2 | $2 | −$0 (-20%) |
| Will Microsoft (MSFT) finish week of June 15 above $400? | Yes | 41¢ | 30¢ | $2 | $1 | −$1 (-28%) |
| Will Microsoft (MSFT) finish week of June 15 above $380? | No | 39¢ | 11¢ | $2 | $1 | −$1 (-72%) |
| Will Microsoft (MSFT) finish week of June 15 above $440? | Yes | 46¢ | 4¢ | $5 | $0 | −$4 (-91%) |
| Will Microsoft (MSFT) finish week of June 15 above $360? | No | 45¢ | 7¢ | $2 | $0 | −$2 (-84%) |
| Will Apple (AAPL) hit (LOW) $264 Week of June 15 2026? | Yes | 1¢ | 0¢ | $0 | $0 | −$0 (-50%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close above $180 end of June? | Jun 17 | $86 | −$3 | -3% |
| Will Tesla (TSLA) close above $430 on June 17? | Jun 17 | $0 | $0 | -71% |
| Will Apple (AAPL) hit (HIGH) $336 in June? | Jun 17 | $0 | $0 | -52% |
| Will Tesla release Optimus by June 30, 2026? | Jun 17 | $0 | $0 | -4% |
| Will Apple (AAPL) close above $280 on June 16? | Jun 16 | $0 | $0 | -100% |
| Will Tesla (TSLA) close above $430 on June 16? | Jun 16 | $0 | $0 | -100% |
| Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close above $195 on June 16? | Jun 16 | $0 | $0 | -100% |
| Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals? | Jun 05 | $466 | −$79 | -17% |
| Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League? | Jun 05 | $203 | −$105 | -52% |
| Will Bayern Munich win the 2025–26 Champions League? | Jun 05 | $102 | −$102 | -100% |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026? | Jun 04 | $250 | −$57 | -23% |
| Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League? | May 15 | $405 | −$17 | -4% |
| US x China tariff agreement by May 31? | May 15 | $102 | −$68 | -68% |
| Will Europe (UEFA) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | May 10 | $101 | −$3 | -3% |
| Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the NBA Western Conference Finals? | May 10 | $101 | −$8 | -8% |
| NHL Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - Sabres vs. Canadiens | May 10 | $101 | −$29 | -28% |
| Will France win Group I in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | May 07 | $101 | −$3 | -3% |
| Will the New York Knicks win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals? | May 07 | $101 | −$9 | -8% |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? | May 06 | $893 | +$2 | +0% |
| Will San Antonio Spurs advance to the Conference Semifinals in the 202 | Apr 28 | $300 | −$5 | -2% |