trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 1 | +4.2% | -5.8% | 100% | 0% | -5.8% |
| ≤30d | 4 | +8.6% | -1.7% | 100% | 25% | -3.7% |
| ≤90d | 21 | +6.1% | -4.0% | 62% | 48% | +7.1% |
| all | 26 | +22.5% | +10.9% | 69% | 58% | +12.8% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | +10.9% | 58% | +12.8% |
| 10% | +0.3% | 38% | +2.0% |
| 15% | -9.4% | 38% | -7.9% |
| 20% | -18.3% | 35% | -16.9% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by June 30? | No | 96¢ | 95¢ | $233 | $232 | −$1 (-0%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Israel closes its airspace by June 15? | Jun 16 | $163 | +$7 | +4% |
| Will Cambodia win on 2026-06-04? | Jun 04 | $23 | +$4 | +17% |
| Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026? | Jun 01 | $288 | +$23 | +8% |
| Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Stra | May 23 | $254 | +$13 | +5% |
| Iran closes its airspace by May 15? | May 16 | $233 | +$41 | +18% |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 5, 2026? | May 08 | $99 | +$16 | +16% |
| Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Stra | Apr 24 | $87 | +$14 | +16% |
| Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on April 17, 2026? | Apr 22 | $15 | −$15 | -100% |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 18, 2026? | Apr 22 | $64 | +$73 | +113% |
| Jets vs. Blues | Apr 14 | $45 | +$47 | +104% |
| Will Arizona win the 2026 NCAA Tournament? | Apr 09 | $30 | −$30 | -100% |
| Will Ethereum reach $2,400 in March? | Apr 09 | $51 | −$51 | -100% |
| Will the Freedom Movement (GS) win the most seats in the 2026 Slovenia | Apr 09 | $56 | +$37 | +67% |
| Kings vs. Nets | Apr 09 | $61 | +$58 | +96% |
| Will Donald Trump post 100-119 Truth Social posts from March 24 to Mar | Apr 09 | $61 | +$66 | +108% |
| Thunder vs. Lakers | Mar 28 | $11 | −$11 | -100% |
| Magic vs. Bucks | Mar 28 | $26 | −$26 | -100% |
| Warriors vs. Lakers | Mar 28 | $10 | −$10 | -100% |
| Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from February 20 to February 27, 20 | Mar 28 | $4 | −$4 | -100% |
| Mavericks vs. Pacers | Mar 28 | $24 | −$24 | -100% |
| Timberwolves vs. Celtics | Mar 26 | $20 | +$72 | +354% |
| Lakers vs. Rockets | Mar 22 | $39 | +$48 | +122% |
| Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from February 24 to March 3, 2026? | Mar 08 | $33 | +$38 | +116% |
| Pistons vs. Bulls | Feb 22 | $27 | +$6 | +22% |
| Bucks vs. Pelicans | Feb 21 | $23 | +$34 | +150% |
| Spurs vs. Warriors | Feb 13 | $23 | +$11 | +49% |