Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T12:26:37+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

BF
0xbf5f…30ed
sports · 89 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$162 -9%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$162 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$40
Realized−$162
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)57%
Wins / losses49 / 37
Est. fees paid−$20
Open positions3
Markets (closed)86 / 89
History coverage5d
Avg bet$20
Trades / day26.9
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit91%
Chart Positions 3 History 86 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$67
7 days−$162
14 days−$162
30 days−$162
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
LoL: Team Liquid vs Cloud9 (BO5) - LCS Playoffs Team Liquid 48¢ 48¢ $15 $15 −$0 (-1%)
Spread: Switzerland (-1.5) Switzerland 59¢ 58¢ $15 $15 −$0 (-1%)
HSBC Championships: Emma Raducanu vs Kamilla Rakhimova Emma Raducanu 80¢ 80¢ $10 $10 +$0 (+0%)
HSBC Championships: Shuai Zhang vs Alexandra Eala Shuai Zhang 27¢ 0¢ $15 $0 −$15 (-100%)
Hungary vs. Kazakhstan: O/U 3.5 Under 37¢ 0¢ $15 $0 −$15 (-100%)
Seattle Mariners vs. Baltimore Orioles Seattle Mariners 51¢ 0¢ $15 $0 −$15 (-100%)
Peru vs. Spain: O/U 3.5 Under 62¢ 0¢ $15 $0 −$15 (-100%)
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Miami Marlins Arizona Diamondbacks 45¢ 0¢ $45 $0 −$45 (-100%)
Will Senegal win on 2026-06-09? Yes 61¢ 0¢ $30 $0 −$30 (-100%)
Cattolica: Andrea Guerrieri vs Dalibor Svrcina Dalibor Svrcina 63¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Libema Open: Zhizhen Zhang vs Jenson Brooksby Jenson Brooksby 25¢ 0¢ $15 $0 −$15 (-100%)
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Athletics Milwaukee Brewers 50¢ 0¢ $15 $0 −$15 (-100%)
Chicago Cubs vs. Colorado Rockies Chicago Cubs 74¢ 0¢ $15 $0 −$15 (-100%)
Stuttgart Open: Sho Shimabukuro vs Nick Kyrgios Nick Kyrgios 83¢ 0¢ $30 $0 −$30 (-100%)
Atlanta Braves vs. Chicago White Sox Atlanta Braves 63¢ 0¢ $15 $0 −$15 (-100%)
Hurricanes vs. Golden Knights Golden Knights 49¢ 0¢ $30 $0 −$30 (-100%)
Modena: Katarzyna Kawa vs Lisa Pigato Lisa Pigato 40¢ 0¢ $15 $0 −$15 (-100%)
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Toronto Blue Jays Philadelphia Phillies 51¢ 0¢ $45 $0 −$45 (-100%)
Spread: Portugal (-1.5) Portugal 35¢ 0¢ $30 $0 −$30 (-100%)
Libema Open: Robin Montgomery vs Greet Minnen Greet Minnen 65¢ 0¢ $15 $0 −$15 (-100%)
Washington Nationals vs. San Francisco Giants San Francisco Giants 59¢ 0¢ $30 $0 −$30 (-100%)
Libema Open: Nuno Borges vs Marin Cilic Nuno Borges 81¢ 0¢ $15 $0 −$15 (-100%)
Washington Nationals vs. San Francisco Giants: O/U 8.5 Under 66¢ 0¢ $15 $0 −$15 (-100%)
HSBC Championships: Sorana Cirstea vs Emma Raducanu Sorana Cirstea 40¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Modena: Xinyu Gao vs Lucia Bronzetti Xinyu Gao 39¢ 0¢ $15 $0 −$15 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Stuttgart Open: Ben Shelton vs Sho Shimabukuro Jun 13 $5 +$2 +32%
Libema Open: Barbora Krejcikova vs Magda Linette Jun 13 $10 −$4 -39%
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? Jun 13 $41 +$30 +75%
Will United States vs. Paraguay end in a draw? Jun 13 $30 +$13 +42%
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12? Jun 12 $10 +$2 +24%
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 2.5 Jun 12 $10 +$7 +70%
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 3.5 Jun 12 $5 +$1 +26%
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: Both Teams to Score Jun 12 $15 +$16 +109%
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 1.5 Jun 12 $4 +$2 +42%
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? Jun 12 $5 −$5 -99%
Stuttgart Open: Mattia Bellucci vs Taylor Fritz Jun 12 $5 +$1 +29%
Ilkley: Keegan Smith vs Jacob Fearnley Jun 12 $5 +$2 +50%
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 12 $15 +$20 +129%
Libema Open: Benjamin Bonzi vs Alex de Minaur Jun 12 $5 $0 +6%
HSBC Championships: Sorana Cirstea vs Emma Raducanu Jun 12 $5 −$5 -98%
Modena: Dominika Salkova vs Katarzyna Kawa Jun 12 $5 +$1 +28%
HSBC Championships: Marie Bouzkova vs Donna Vekic Jun 12 $5 +$1 +18%
Spread: Korea Republic (-2.5) Jun 12 $29 +$1 +5%
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Athletics: O/U 14.5 Jun 11 $15 −$15 -100%
Libema Open: Nuno Borges vs Marin Cilic Jun 11 $15 −$15 -99%
Libema Open: Ajla Tomljanovic vs Dayana Yastremska Jun 11 $30 −$29 -99%
Stuttgart Open: Martin Landaluce vs Taylor Fritz Jun 11 $30 +$6 +20%
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? Jun 11 $30 −$29 -99%
Libema Open: Panna Udvardy vs Daria Snigur Jun 11 $30 −$13 -42%
Stuttgart Open: Sho Shimabukuro vs Nick Kyrgios Jun 11 $30 −$30 -100%
Libema Open: Tallon Griekspoor vs Zhizhen Zhang Jun 11 $30 −$29 -95%
Libema Open: Robin Montgomery vs Greet Minnen Jun 11 $15 −$15 -99%
Houston Astros vs. Los Angeles Angels Jun 11 $30 +$20 +66%
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Athletics: O/U 13.5 Jun 11 $15 +$22 +146%
Texas Rangers vs. Kansas City Royals Jun 11 $15 +$8 +57%
Minnesota Twins vs. Detroit Tigers Jun 11 $29 +$2 +6%
Chicago Cubs vs. Colorado Rockies Jun 11 $15 −$15 -99%
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Toronto Blue Jays Jun 11 $45 +$34 +76%
St. Louis Cardinals vs. New York Mets: O/U 8.5 Jun 11 $15 +$15 +97%
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Pittsburgh Pirates Jun 10 $15 −$15 -99%
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-10? Jun 10 $30 +$10 +34%
Portugal vs. Nigeria: O/U 3.5 Jun 10 $30 +$9 +31%
Seattle Mariners vs. Baltimore Orioles Jun 10 $15 −$15 -99%
New York Yankees vs. Cleveland Guardians Jun 10 $15 +$1 +8%
Washington Nationals vs. San Francisco Giants: O/U 8.5 Jun 10 $15 −$15 -99%
Spread: Portugal (-1.5) Jun 10 $30 −$30 -98%
Will UD Las Palmas win on 2026-06-10? Jun 10 $15 −$15 -99%
Lyon: Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo vs Luca Van Assche Jun 10 $15 +$27 +180%
New York Yankees vs. Cleveland Guardians: O/U 8.5 Jun 10 $15 +$19 +124%
New York Yankees vs. Cleveland Guardians: O/U 7.5 Jun 10 $15 +$13 +90%
Libema Open: Martin Damm vs Alex de Minaur Jun 10 $14 +$4 +27%
Ilkley: Taylah Preston vs Harmony Tan Jun 10 $15 $0 +2%
Modena: Kaitlin Quevedo vs Jeline Vandromme Jun 10 $15 +$9 +57%
Ilkley: Tristan Schoolkate vs Paul Jubb Jun 10 $30 −$30 -98%
Libema Open: Emma Navarro vs Caty McNally Jun 10 $30 +$24 +80%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 91% −$126
other 9% −$36
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
LoL: Team Liquid vs Cloud9 (BO5) - LCS Playoffs BUY Team Liquid 48¢ $15 36m
HSBC Championships: Emma Raducanu vs Kamilla Rakhimova BUY Emma Raducanu 80¢ $5 43m
HSBC Championships: Emma Raducanu vs Kamilla Rakhimova BUY Emma Raducanu 80¢ $5 43m
Spread: Switzerland (-1.5) BUY Switzerland 59¢ $15 1h
Stuttgart Open: Ben Shelton vs Sho Shimabukuro BUY Ben Shelton 75¢ $5 1h
Libema Open: Barbora Krejcikova vs Magda Linette BUY Barbora Krejcikova 80¢ $5 2h
Libema Open: Barbora Krejcikova vs Magda Linette BUY Magda Linette 19¢ $5 2h
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? SELL No 25¢ $8 10h
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? BUY No 31¢ $10 11h
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 47¢ $15 11h
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 48¢ $15 11h
Will United States vs. Paraguay end in a draw? BUY No 70¢ $15 11h
Will United States vs. Paraguay end in a draw? BUY No 70¢ $15 11h
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 1.5 BUY Over 70¢ $4 17h
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12? BUY No 81¢ $5 17h
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 54¢ $5 17h
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12? BUY No 80¢ $5 17h
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 3.5 BUY Under 79¢ $5 17h
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 2.5 BUY Under 58¢ $5 17h
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 2.5 BUY Under 58¢ $5 17h
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: Both Teams to Score BUY Yes 47¢ $15 18h
Stuttgart Open: Mattia Bellucci vs Taylor Fritz BUY Taylor Fritz 77¢ $5 18h
Ilkley: Keegan Smith vs Jacob Fearnley BUY Jacob Fearnley 66¢ $5 19h
Libema Open: Benjamin Bonzi vs Alex de Minaur BUY Alex de Minaur 94¢ $5 22h
HSBC Championships: Sorana Cirstea vs Emma Raducanu BUY Sorana Cirstea 40¢ $5 23h
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY Monte 43¢ $15 24h
Modena: Dominika Salkova vs Katarzyna Kawa BUY Katarzyna Kawa 78¢ $5 24h
HSBC Championships: Marie Bouzkova vs Donna Vekic BUY Donna Vekic 84¢ $5 25h
Spread: Korea Republic (-2.5) BUY Czechia 95¢ $29 43h
Libema Open: Nuno Borges vs Marin Cilic BUY Nuno Borges 81¢ $15 43h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +48%
net ROI/market (all)-18.4%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 86 -9.8% -18.4% 57% 48% -17.8%
≤30d 86 -9.8% -18.4% 57% 48% -17.8%
≤90d 86 -9.8% -18.4% 57% 48% -17.8%
all 86 -9.8% -18.4% 57% 48% -17.8%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover26.9 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -18.4% 48% -17.8%
10% ← realistic here -26.2% 45% -25.7%
15% -33.3% 30% -32.9%
20% -39.9% 24% -39.5%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $39.56 · official $39.56 (match) · 183 history records