Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T20:57:35+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

BF
0xbf55…c908
other · 13 markets active 0h ago
3.5score
+$40 +27%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$36 · open +$3
avoidriskycopy
✓ COPY-WORTHY ⚠ High turnover⚠ Small sample
Net worth$33
Realized+$36
Unrealized+$3
Win rate (resolved)60%
Wins / losses6 / 4
Est. fees paid−$1
Open positions3
Markets (closed)10 / 13
History coverage2d
Avg bet$12
Trades / day10.2
Drawdown46%
Kalshi-fit46%
Chart Positions 3 History 10 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$36
7 days+$36
14 days+$36
30 days+$36
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? Yes 81¢ 96¢ $20 $24 +$4 (+18%)
Will Mexico win Group A in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 63¢ 62¢ $5 $5 −$0 (-1%)
Brazil to score first vs. Morocco? Yes 65¢ 64¢ $5 $5 −$0 (-2%)
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? Yes 53¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Qatar vs. Switzerland: O/U 2.5 Jun 13 $5 −$3 -62%
Qatar vs. Switzerland: Qatar O/U 0.5 Jun 13 $5 −$4 -79%
Breel Embolo: 1+ goals Jun 13 $5 +$4 +78%
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? Jun 13 $10 +$11 +105%
United States to score first vs. Paraguay? Jun 12 $20 −$1 -4%
Will Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw? Jun 12 $10 +$21 +203%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$1 +10%
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? Jun 12 $20 −$20 -99%
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? Jun 12 $10 +$16 +158%
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? Jun 11 $28 +$12 +43%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
other 66% +$26
sports 30% +$13
crypto 3% +$1
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
worth copying (survives realistic slippage)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +50%
net ROI/market (all)+22.3%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 10 +35.2% +22.3% 60% 50% +17.9%
≤30d 10 +35.2% +22.3% 60% 50% +17.9%
≤90d 10 +35.2% +22.3% 60% 50% +17.9%
all 10 +35.2% +22.3% 60% 50% +17.9%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover10.2 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to10%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here +22.3% 50% +17.9%
10% +10.6% 50% +6.6%
15% -0.1% 50% -3.7%
20% -9.9% 40% -13.1%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $33.46 · official $33.46 (match) · 24 history records