Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T09:56:09+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

BF
0xbf4e…532e
crypto · 783 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$773 -27%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$773 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$773
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)55%
Wins / losses608 / 502
Open positions0
Markets (closed)1110 / 783
History coverage5d
Avg bet$4
Trades / day615.5
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit72%
Chart Positions 0 History 1110 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$833
7 days−$773
14 days−$773
30 days−$773
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Solana Up or Down - May 27, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET Down 75¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - May 21, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET Down 60¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 1, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET Down 73¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Hyperliquid Up or Down - May 14, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET Down 81¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET Up 51¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - May 14, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET Up 55¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Down 76¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - May 25, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET Down 57¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - May 24, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET Up 72¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Dogecoin Up or Down - May 14, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET Down 82¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Dogecoin Up or Down - May 27, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET Down 70¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - May 15, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET Up 51¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - May 15, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET Up 58¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 2, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Down 53¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET Up 51¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 1, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET Up 67¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 1, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Up 38¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 4, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET Down 46¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 2, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET Up 49¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Dogecoin Up or Down - May 27, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET Down 84¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
BNB Up or Down - June 2, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET Down 49¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 24, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Down 69¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - May 24, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET Down 75¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Hyperliquid Up or Down - May 21, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET Up 80¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Dogecoin Up or Down - May 15, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET Up 51¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Solana Up or Down - May 27, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
XRP Up or Down - May 21, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 1, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - May 14, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
XRP Up or Down - May 14, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 25, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 24, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Dogecoin Up or Down - May 14, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Dogecoin Up or Down - May 27, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 15, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 15, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 2, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 1, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 1, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 4, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 2, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Dogecoin Up or Down - May 27, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
BNB Up or Down - June 2, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 24, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 24, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - May 21, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Dogecoin Up or Down - May 15, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 4, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 3, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
BNB Up or Down - May 25, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
XRP Up or Down - May 31, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -100%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - May 27, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 1, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 2, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
XRP Up or Down - May 14, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -100%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - May 21, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 27, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - May 31, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -100%
XRP Up or Down - May 23, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 2, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -100%
XRP Up or Down - May 15, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 4, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
XRP Up or Down - May 27, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - May 21, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 30, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Dogecoin Up or Down - May 26, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 65% +$89
other 35% +$13
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET BUY Down 96¢ $1 2m
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET BUY Down 96¢ $1 2m
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 13, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET BUY Down 96¢ $1 2m
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 13, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET BUY Down 97¢ $1 3m
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 13, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET BUY Down 97¢ $1 3m
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 13, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET BUY Down 97¢ $1 3m
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 13, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET BUY Down 97¢ $1 3m
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 13, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET BUY Down 97¢ $1 3m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET BUY Down 94¢ $1 3m
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET BUY Down 97¢ $1 3m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET BUY Down 93¢ $1 3m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET BUY Down 94¢ $1 7m
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET BUY Down 96¢ $1 7m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET BUY Down 95¢ $1 7m
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET BUY Down 96¢ $1 7m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET BUY Down 95¢ $1 7m
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET BUY Down 96¢ $1 7m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET BUY Down 94¢ $1 7m
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET BUY Down 89¢ $1 8m
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET BUY Down 96¢ $1 8m
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET BUY Down 90¢ $1 8m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET BUY Down 56¢ $1 11m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET BUY Down 91¢ $1 11m
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET BUY Down 95¢ $1 11m
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET BUY Down 95¢ $1 11m
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET BUY Down 95¢ $1 11m
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 13, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET BUY Down 96¢ $1 13m
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 13, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET BUY Down 96¢ $1 13m
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 13, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET BUY Down 96¢ $1 13m
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET BUY Down 97¢ $1 16m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +11%
net ROI/market (all)-40.2%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 1110 -33.9% -40.2% 55% 11% -28.8%
≤30d 1110 -33.9% -40.2% 55% 11% -28.8%
≤90d 1110 -33.9% -40.2% 55% 11% -28.8%
all 1110 -33.9% -40.2% 55% 11% -28.8%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover615.5 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -40.2% 11% -28.8%
10% ← realistic here -45.9% 11% -35.7%
15% -51.2% 11% -41.9%
20% -56.0% 11% -47.6%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records