Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T23:09:21+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

BF
0xbf4d…d0f4
crypto · 866 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$167 -2%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$167 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$167
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)73%
Wins / losses628 / 238
Open positions0
Markets (closed)866 / 866
History coverage16d
Avg bet$11
Trades / day54.9
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 866 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$44
7 days−$27
14 days−$166
30 days−$167
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET Down 75¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET Down 65¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET Down 75¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 6, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET Up 63¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET Up 64¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 2, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET Down 77¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 9, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET Up 60¢ 0¢ $22 $0 −$22 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET Up 71¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Up 63¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET Up 75¢ 0¢ $22 $0 −$22 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET Up 74¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 7, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET Down 66¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET Down 72¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 8, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET Down 70¢ 0¢ $22 $0 −$22 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 9, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET Up 78¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET Down 57¢ 0¢ $22 $0 −$22 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET Up 73¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Up 71¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET Up 52¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 4, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET Down 74¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 6, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET Down 73¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET Down 80¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Up 65¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 4, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET Down 71¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET Up 55¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +34%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +33%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET Jun 13 $1 +$2 +159%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +34%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET Jun 13 $1 +$1 +68%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +32%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -98%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +36%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET Jun 13 $1 +$1 +68%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET Jun 13 $1 +$1 +86%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +42%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -97%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +29%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET Jun 13 $1 +$1 +83%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET Jun 13 $1 +$1 +55%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +33%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET Jun 13 $1 +$1 +52%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +26%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -98%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +34%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Jun 13 $1 +$1 +76%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +38%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +34%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -97%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +31%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +48%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +36%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -98%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +31%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +29%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +42%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +40%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET Jun 13 $1 +$1 +83%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET Jun 13 $1 +$1 +50%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +29%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$167
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET BUY Down 73¢ $1 4m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET BUY Down 37¢ $1 24m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET BUY Down 74¢ $1 24m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET BUY Down 73¢ $1 34m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET BUY Down 75¢ $1 44m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET BUY Up 58¢ $1 44m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET BUY Down 50¢ $1 49m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET BUY Down 66¢ $1 54m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET BUY Down 72¢ $1 59m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET BUY Down 78¢ $1 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET BUY Up 58¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET BUY Down 52¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET BUY Up 69¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET BUY Up 52¢ $1 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET BUY Up 77¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET BUY Down 53¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET BUY Down 76¢ $1 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET BUY Down 53¢ $1 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET BUY Down 63¢ $1 3h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET BUY Down 74¢ $1 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET BUY Down 74¢ $1 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET BUY Down 65¢ $1 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET BUY Up 73¢ $1 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET BUY Down 64¢ $1 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET BUY Up 78¢ $1 5h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET BUY Up 73¢ $1 6h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET BUY Up 78¢ $1 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET BUY Up 73¢ $1 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET BUY Up 55¢ $1 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET BUY Down 78¢ $1 6h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +73%
net ROI/market (all)-11.4%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 536 -1.3% -10.7% 72% 72% -9.9%
≤30d 866 -2.0% -11.4% 73% 73% -11.1%
≤90d 866 -2.0% -11.4% 73% 73% -11.1%
all 866 -2.0% -11.4% 73% 73% -11.1%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover54.9 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -11.4% 73% -11.1%
10% ← realistic here -19.8% 62% -19.6%
15% -27.6% 27% -27.3%
20% -34.7% 8% -34.5%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 1524 history records