Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T02:35:57+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

BF
0xbf43…3d97
crypto · 11 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$7 -17%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$7 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
~ RISKY crypto specialist⚠ High turnover⚠ Small sample
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$7
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)73%
Wins / losses8 / 3
Open positions0
Markets (closed)11 / 11
History coverage1d
Avg bet$4
Trades / day19.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 11 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$7
7 days−$7
14 days−$7
30 days−$7
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET Up 43¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET Jun 14 $11 −$11 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET Jun 14 $6 −$6 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET Jun 14 $4 +$4 +101%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET Jun 14 $4 +$7 +175%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET Jun 14 $2 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET Jun 14 $2 +$1 +44%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET Jun 14 $2 $0 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET Jun 14 $2 +$1 +68%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET Jun 14 $2 +$1 +34%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET Jun 14 $2 $0 +4%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$7
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
insufficient sample — too few resolved markets to judge
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +55%
net ROI/market (all)+2.4%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 11 +13.2% +2.4% 73% 55% -24.4%
≤30d 11 +13.2% +2.4% 73% 55% -24.4%
≤90d 11 +13.2% +2.4% 73% 55% -24.4%
all 11 +13.2% +2.4% 73% 55% -24.4%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover19.0 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to5%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here +2.4% 55% -24.4%
10% -7.4% 45% -31.6%
15% -16.4% 36% -38.2%
20% -24.6% 27% -44.3%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 29 history records