Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T01:47:13+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

BF
0xbf37…7353
crypto · 26 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$24 -9%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$18 · open −$6
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover⚠ Small sample
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$18
Unrealized−$6
Win rate (resolved)56%
Wins / losses14 / 11
Est. fees paid−$0
Open positions1
Markets (closed)25 / 26
History coverage1d
Avg bet$10
Trades / day33.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit92%
Chart Positions 1 History 25 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$18
7 days−$18
14 days−$18
30 days−$18
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13? Yes 17¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET Down 20¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET Down 26¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET Up 30¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET Up 92¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET Down 64¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET Up 46¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET Up 73¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET Down 22¢ 0¢ $15 $0 −$15 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET Up 42¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET Down 45¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET Jun 14 $20 −$20 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET Jun 14 $20 +$1 +3%
Brazil vs. Morocco: Both Teams to Score Jun 14 $5 +$6 +109%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET Jun 13 $10 −$10 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET Jun 13 $21 −$20 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET Jun 13 $20 +$6 +28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET Jun 13 $20 +$4 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET Jun 13 $10 +$6 +60%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET Jun 13 $10 +$1 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$1 +29%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$4 +86%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET Jun 13 $15 −$10 -65%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET Jun 13 $10 −$4 -36%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET Jun 13 $10 +$11 +110%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET Jun 13 $10 +$17 +161%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET Jun 13 $16 −$15 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$5 +103%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$12 +228%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$6 +110%
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? Jun 13 $5 +$6 +114%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 94% −$30
other 4% $0
sports 2% +$6
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET BUY Up 92¢ $20 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET SELL Down 99¢ $21 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET BUY Down 96¢ $20 1h
Brazil vs. Morocco: Both Teams to Score SELL Yes 100¢ $11 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET BUY Up 73¢ $10 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET BUY Down 64¢ $21 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET SELL Down 99¢ $26 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET BUY Down 76¢ $20 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET BUY Down 84¢ $20 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET BUY Up 61¢ $10 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET BUY Down 92¢ $10 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET BUY Down 76¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET BUY Down 52¢ $5 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET BUY Down 26¢ $5 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET BUY Up 30¢ $5 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET BUY Up 42¢ $5 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET BUY Down 45¢ $5 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET SELL Up 99¢ $5 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET BUY Up 94¢ $5 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET BUY Down 12¢ $5 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET BUY Down 58¢ $5 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET BUY Up 76¢ $5 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET BUY Down 32¢ $5 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET BUY Up 38¢ $5 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET BUY Up 58¢ $5 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET BUY Down 10¢ $5 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET BUY Down 55¢ $5 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET BUY Down 55¢ $5 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET BUY Up 43¢ $5 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET BUY Up 32¢ $5 7h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +48%
net ROI/market (all)-4.8%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 25 +5.2% -4.8% 56% 48% -16.3%
≤30d 25 +5.2% -4.8% 56% 48% -16.3%
≤90d 25 +5.2% -4.8% 56% 48% -16.3%
all 25 +5.2% -4.8% 56% 48% -16.3%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover33.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -4.8% 48% -16.3%
10% ← realistic here -13.9% 44% -24.3%
15% -22.2% 36% -31.6%
20% -29.9% 36% -38.3%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.02 · official $0.02 (match) · 53 history records