Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T11:37:18+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

BF
0xbf33…6bf7
crypto · 41 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
+$264 +1%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$252 · open +$2
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist
Net worth$42
Realized+$252
Unrealized+$2
Win rate (resolved)42%
Wins / losses17 / 23
Whale WR (big bets)60%
Open positions1
Markets (closed)40 / 41
Avg bet$527
Trades / day3047.0
Drawdown72%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 1 History 40 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$252
7 days+$252
14 days+$252
30 days+$252
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET Down 55¢ 52¢ $40 $38 −$2 (-6%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET Up 30¢ 48¢ $2 $4 +$2 (+63%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET Jun 12 $417 −$88 -21%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET Jun 12 $191 −$108 -56%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET Jun 12 $249 −$66 -27%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET Jun 12 $207 −$80 -39%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET Jun 12 $353 −$45 -13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET Jun 12 $296 −$78 -26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET Jun 12 $276 +$32 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET Jun 12 $451 +$91 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET Jun 12 $171 +$11 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET Jun 12 $293 +$43 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET Jun 12 $277 −$81 -29%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET Jun 12 $232 +$37 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET Jun 12 $432 +$69 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET Jun 12 $387 −$34 -9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET Jun 12 $234 +$104 +44%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET Jun 12 $351 −$51 -15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET Jun 12 $1,144 −$45 -4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET Jun 12 $417 −$6 -2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET Jun 12 $450 −$54 -12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET Jun 12 $260 +$307 +118%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET Jun 12 $406 −$177 -44%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET Jun 12 $670 −$135 -20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET Jun 12 $331 −$103 -31%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET Jun 12 $389 −$105 -27%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET Jun 12 $484 −$91 -19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET Jun 12 $391 +$55 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET Jun 12 $1,117 −$21 -2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET Jun 12 $396 +$173 +44%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET Jun 12 $415 −$77 -18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET Jun 12 $1,359 +$15 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET Jun 12 $781 +$399 +51%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET Jun 12 $442 −$72 -16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET Jun 12 $620 −$52 -8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET Jun 12 $1,462 +$151 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET Jun 12 $676 −$41 -6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET Jun 12 $902 +$17 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET Jun 12 $603 −$18 -3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET Jun 12 $357 +$34 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET Jun 12 $1,469 +$46 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET Jun 12 $1,158 +$297 +26%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% +$254
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET BUY Up 24¢ $2 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET BUY Up 24¢ $0 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET BUY Up 24¢ $0 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET BUY Down 66¢ $4 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET BUY Up 25¢ $3 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET BUY Up 26¢ $8 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET BUY Down 63¢ $4 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET BUY Down 63¢ $5 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET BUY Down 63¢ $11 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET BUY Down 63¢ $3 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET BUY Down 62¢ $19 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET BUY Up 39¢ $8 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET BUY Down 45¢ $4 2m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET BUY Down 45¢ $9 2m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET BUY Down 45¢ $14 2m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET BUY Down 50¢ $1 2m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET BUY Down 50¢ $1 2m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET BUY Down 98¢ $4 3m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET BUY Down 98¢ $29 3m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $30 3m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $30 3m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET BUY Up 1¢ $0 3m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET BUY Up 1¢ $0 3m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET BUY Down 98¢ $29 3m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET BUY Up 3¢ $1 4m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET BUY Down 97¢ $15 4m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET BUY Down 90¢ $6 4m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET BUY Down 86¢ $26 4m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET BUY Up 16¢ $5 4m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET BUY Up 12¢ $2 4m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +28%
net ROI/market (all)-10.4%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 40 -1.0% -10.4% 42% 28% -8.5%
≤30d 40 -1.0% -10.4% 42% 28% -8.5%
≤90d 40 -1.0% -10.4% 42% 28% -8.5%
all 40 -1.0% -10.4% 42% 28% -8.5%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover3047.0 tr/day
realistic slip~15%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -10.4% 28% -8.5%
10% -19.0% 12% -17.2%
15% ← realistic here -26.8% 10% -25.2%
20% -34.0% 5% -32.6%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
≈ Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $41.69 · official $61.90 · 3500 history records