Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T07:11:26+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

BF
0xbf30…2297
sports · 87 markets active 1h ago
3.5score
+$19 +9%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$19 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$18
Realized+$19
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)67%
Wins / losses50 / 25
Est. fees paid−$2
Open positions12
Markets (closed)75 / 87
History coverage9d
Avg bet$2
Trades / day14.8
Drawdown73%
Kalshi-fit92%
Chart Positions 12 History 75 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$10
7 days+$20
14 days+$19
30 days+$19
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Valorant: EDward Gaming vs FUT Esports (BO3) - VCT Masters London Playoffs EDward Gaming 45¢ 46¢ $2 $2 +$0 (+1%)
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs Bilibili Gaming 91¢ 90¢ $2 $2 −$0 (-1%)
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs TheMongolz (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Natus Vincere 71¢ 70¢ $2 $2 −$0 (-1%)
Counter-Strike: B8 vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 FUT Esports 74¢ 72¢ $2 $2 −$0 (-2%)
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Vitality 79¢ 76¢ $2 $2 −$0 (-4%)
Will Team Spirit win IEM Cologne Major 2026? Yes 19¢ 36¢ $1 $2 +$1 (+87%)
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals? Yes 28¢ 19¢ $2 $1 −$1 (-31%)
Fed rate hike in 2026? No 60¢ 62¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+2%)
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Aurora Gaming 42¢ 42¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-1%)
Will Australia win on 2026-06-14? Yes 19¢ 18¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-3%)
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI KT Rolster 11¢ 10¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-5%)
Valorant: G2 Esports vs XLG Gaming (BO3) - VCT Masters London Playoffs XLG Gaming 18¢ 17¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-6%)
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 MOUZ 40¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs B8 (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 B8 40¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 TYLOO 45¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs 9z (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Astralis 58¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Valorant: Team Heretics vs Team Vitality (BO3) - VCT Masters London Playoffs Team Heretics 25¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Valorant: ONSIDE GAMING vs DRX Academy (BO3) - VCL Korea: Regular Season DRX Academy 21¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs GamerLegion (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 GamerLegion 38¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Team Falcons 42¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs paiN (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Astralis 60¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Legacy vs MIBR (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Legacy 64¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Valorant: Team Vitality vs Dragon Ranger Gaming (BO3) - VCT Masters London Group Stage Dragon Ranger Gaming 18¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI T1 36¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: MIBR vs Lynn Vision (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1 Lynn Vision 39¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? Jun 13 $2 +$2 +105%
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag Jun 12 $13 +$3 +20%
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs 9z - Map 2 Winner Jun 12 $6 +$2 +33%
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit - Map 1 Winner Jun 12 $6 +$2 +35%
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? Jun 12 $3 −$3 -98%
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 12 $9 −$9 -99%
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag Jun 12 $1 $0 +44%
Valorant: Paper Rex vs Leviatán Esports (BO3) - VCT Masters London Pla Jun 12 $10 $0 +5%
Valorant: Team Heretics vs Team Vitality (BO3) - VCT Masters London Pl Jun 12 $5 −$5 -98%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Jun 12 $7 −$7 -99%
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 12 $2 +$1 +50%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI Jun 12 $2 −$2 -98%
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? Jun 12 $1 +$2 +165%
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 12 $2 −$2 -99%
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 12 $2 −$2 -99%
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 12 $1 −$1 -98%
Will Vitality drop from #1 in the VRS rankings by June 30? Jun 12 $1 +$1 +114%
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? Jun 11 $2 +$1 +42%
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag Jun 11 $2 +$1 +57%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 11 $3 +$3 +94%
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage Jun 11 $1 +$1 +57%
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 11 $1 $0 +36%
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 11 $1 +$1 +70%
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 11 $1 +$1 +119%
Valorant: Global Esports vs XLG Gaming (BO3) - VCT Masters London Grou Jun 10 $1 +$2 +216%
Valorant: FUT Esports vs NRG (BO3) - VCT Masters London Group Stage Jun 10 $3 +$7 +236%
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag Jun 10 $1 −$1 -98%
Valorant: Global Esports vs FULL SENSE (BO3) - VCT Masters London Grou Jun 09 $1 +$1 +86%
Counter-Strike: BIG vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 09 $1 +$1 +79%
Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 09 $5 +$1 +26%
Counter-Strike: Monte vs paiN (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 09 $2 +$2 +79%
Will Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals 4-0 be the exact series outcome? Jun 09 $8 +$4 +45%
Spurs vs. Knicks Jun 09 $1 +$1 +109%
Valorant: NRG vs Leviatán Esports (BO3) - VCT Masters London Group Sta Jun 08 $1 +$1 +134%
Counter-Strike: M80 vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 08 $1 $0 +29%
Counter-Strike: G2 vs BIG (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 08 $2 +$1 +34%
Counter-Strike: Monte vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage Jun 08 $2 +$1 +44%
Valorant: Dragon Ranger Gaming vs XLG Gaming (BO3) - VCT Masters Londo Jun 08 $1 −$1 -98%
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs Jun 08 $3 +$1 +32%
Valorant: Team Vitality vs FUT Esports (BO3) - VCT Masters London Grou Jun 08 $1 −$1 -98%
Counter-Strike: MIBR vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 08 $1 −$1 -98%
Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 08 $1 −$1 -98%
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs paiN (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 08 $2 −$2 -99%
Counter-Strike: G2 vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 07 $1 +$1 +105%
Valorant: Leviatán Esports vs Global Esports (BO3) - VCT Masters Londo Jun 07 $2 +$1 +70%
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 07 $10 +$1 +11%
Counter-Strike: FlyQuest vs paiN (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 07 $1 +$1 +83%
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs M80 (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 07 $1 +$1 +50%
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs TYLOO (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 07 $1 +$2 +152%
LoL: Top Esports vs Team WE (BO5) - LPL Playoffs Jun 07 $1 $0 +44%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 94% +$15
other 6% +$4
economics 1% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY Aurora Gaming 42¢ $1 1h
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY Vitality 79¢ $2 1h
Counter-Strike: B8 vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY FUT Esports 74¢ $2 1h
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs TheMongolz (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major BUY Natus Vincere 71¢ $2 1h
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs BUY Bilibili Gaming 91¢ $2 1h
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI BUY KT Rolster 11¢ $1 1h
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 24¢ $1 11h
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY Vitality 41¢ $1 11h
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY Vitality 55¢ $1 11h
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY Vitality 56¢ $1 11h
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY Vitality 70¢ $1 12h
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY Vitality 82¢ $1 12h
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs 9z - Map 2 Winner BUY 9z 59¢ $1 12h
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY Vitality 84¢ $2 12h
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs 9z - Map 2 Winner BUY 9z 79¢ $5 12h
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag SELL Aurora Gaming 44¢ $1 12h
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag BUY Aurora Gaming 36¢ $1 12h
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit - Map 1 Winner BUY Aurora Gaming 67¢ $1 12h
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit - Map 1 Winner BUY Aurora Gaming 75¢ $5 12h
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag BUY Spirit 67¢ $1 13h
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag BUY Spirit 71¢ $1 13h
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag BUY Spirit 78¢ $1 13h
Valorant: Team Heretics vs Team Vitality (BO3) - VCT Masters London Pl BUY Team Heretics 10¢ $1 14h
Valorant: Team Heretics vs Team Vitality (BO3) - VCT Masters London Pl BUY Team Heretics 29¢ $1 14h
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major BUY Team Falcons 18¢ $1 14h
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major BUY Team Falcons 34¢ $1 14h
Will Australia win on 2026-06-14? BUY Yes 19¢ $1 14h
Valorant: Team Heretics vs Team Vitality (BO3) - VCT Masters London Pl BUY Team Heretics 39¢ $1 15h
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major BUY Team Falcons 46¢ $1 15h
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major BUY Team Falcons 64¢ $1 15h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
trap: profits on perfect fill only, loses on real
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +65%
net ROI/market (all)+4.2%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 69 +20.5% +9.0% 70% 68% +1.0%
≤30d 75 +15.2% +4.2% 67% 65% -0.2%
≤90d 75 +15.2% +4.2% 67% 65% -0.2%
all 75 +15.2% +4.2% 67% 65% -0.2%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover14.8 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to5%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here +4.2% 65% -0.2%
10% -5.8% 61% -9.7%
15% -14.9% 51% -18.5%
20% -23.2% 33% -26.5%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $18.00 · official $18.00 (match) · 181 history records