trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 3 | +4.0% | -5.9% | 100% | 0% | -5.9% |
| ≤30d | 4 | +6.8% | -3.4% | 100% | 25% | -3.6% |
| ≤90d | 8 | +5.3% | -4.8% | 100% | 12% | -4.8% |
| all | 8 | +5.3% | -4.8% | 100% | 12% | -4.8% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -4.8% | 12% | -4.8% |
| 10% | -13.9% | 0% | -13.9% |
| 15% | -22.2% | 0% | -22.2% |
| 20% | -29.8% | 0% | -29.8% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in June? | No | 97¢ | 99¢ | $110 | $112 | +$2 (+2%) |
| Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in June? | No | 98¢ | 99¢ | $103 | $104 | +$0 (+0%) |
| Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 2¢ | 2¢ | $1 | $1 | +$0 (+18%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $4,800 by end of June? | Jun 21 | $102 | +$3 | +3% |
| Will Bitcoin reach $87,500 in June? | Jun 16 | $100 | +$1 | +2% |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? | Jun 15 | $100 | +$8 | +8% |
| Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in May? | Jun 01 | $89 | +$13 | +15% |
| Will Bitcoin reach $82,500 in April? | May 02 | $85 | +$5 | +6% |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026? | Apr 27 | $83 | +$2 | +2% |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist by April 30? | Apr 26 | $82 | +$1 | +1% |
| Will Javokhir Sindarov win the 2026 FIDE Candidates Tournament? | Apr 15 | $172 | +$9 | +5% |