Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T01:43:52+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

BF
0xbf20…3b1b
sports · 95 markets active 1h ago
0.5score
+$281 +3%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$307 · open −$25
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP Fresh edge
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$209
Realized+$307
Unrealized−$25
Win rate (resolved)56%
Wins / losses43 / 34
Est. fees paid−$115
Open positions18
Markets (closed)77 / 95
History coverage40d
Avg bet$90
Trades / day6.6
Drawdown51%
Kalshi-fit71%
Chart Positions 18 History 77 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$41
7 days+$70
14 days−$19
30 days+$320
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026? Yes 21¢ 31¢ $21 $31 +$10 (+49%)
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan? Yes 64¢ 36¢ $54 $30 −$24 (-44%)
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Qatar? Yes 5¢ 4¢ $25 $22 −$3 (-14%)
Exact Score: Haiti 0 - 1 Scotland? Yes 12¢ 16¢ $15 $21 +$6 (+42%)
Exact Score: Haiti 0 - 0 Scotland? Yes 6¢ 11¢ $10 $18 +$8 (+83%)
Exact Score: Haiti 1 - 1 Scotland? Yes 12¢ 13¢ $15 $17 +$2 (+12%)
Exact Score: Haiti 1 - 0 Scotland? Yes 6¢ 8¢ $10 $14 +$4 (+42%)
Exact Score: Haiti 0 - 2 Scotland? Yes 12¢ 12¢ $10 $10 +$0 (+0%)
Exact Score: Haiti 2 - 1 Scotland? Yes 6¢ 6¢ $10 $10 −$0 (-2%)
Exact Score: Haiti 1 - 2 Scotland? Yes 11¢ 10¢ $10 $9 −$1 (-14%)
Exact Score: Haiti 0 - 3 Scotland? Yes 10¢ 6¢ $10 $6 −$4 (-45%)
Exact Score: Haiti 1 - 3 Scotland? Yes 8¢ 4¢ $10 $5 −$5 (-45%)
Exact Score: Haiti 2 - 3 Scotland? Yes 3¢ 3¢ $5 $4 −$1 (-10%)
Exact Score: Haiti 3 - 0 Scotland? Yes 1¢ 1¢ $5 $4 −$1 (-20%)
Exact Score: Haiti 3 - 1 Scotland? Yes 2¢ 1¢ $5 $3 −$2 (-38%)
Exact Score: Haiti 2 - 2 Scotland? Yes 6¢ 4¢ $5 $3 −$2 (-40%)
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15? Yes 0¢ 0¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-12%)
Exact Score: Haiti 2 - 0 Scotland? Yes 2¢ 0¢ $13 $1 −$13 (-95%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET Down 62¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET Down 44¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET Down 37¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET Up 1¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET Up 51¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET Down 1¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Will Club Always Ready win on 2026-05-26? Yes 1¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Libema Open: Barbora Krejcikova vs Magda Linette Jun 13 $15 +$2 +17%
Exact Score: United States 3 - 1 Paraguay? Jun 13 $100 +$4 +4%
Stuttgart Open: Mattia Bellucci vs Taylor Fritz Jun 12 $203 −$58 -28%
Libema Open: Benjamin Bonzi vs Alex de Minaur Jun 12 $100 +$6 +6%
Modena: Victoria Jimenez Kasintseva vs Leyre Romero Gormaz Jun 12 $100 +$6 +6%
Lyon: Dali Blanch vs David Jorda Sanchis Jun 12 $550 +$57 +10%
Chicago Sky vs. Indiana Fever Jun 12 $1,201 −$60 -5%
Birmingham: Jack Pinnington Jones vs Aleksandar Vukic Jun 12 $102 +$111 +109%
Will Austria win on 2026-06-01? Jun 02 $301 +$22 +7%
Roland Garros ATP: Frances Tiafoe vs Matteo Arnaldi Jun 01 $319 −$116 -36%
Will Austria vs. Tunisia end in a draw? Jun 01 $100 +$5 +5%
Roland Garros ATP: Juan Manuel Cerundolo vs Martin Landaluce Jun 01 $1 $0 +16%
Roland Garros ATP: Matteo Berrettini vs Francisco Comesana Jun 01 $1 +$1 +62%
Will CD Universidad de Concepción vs. CD Unión La Calera end in a draw May 30 $554 +$59 +11%
Roland Garros ATP: Joao Fonseca vs Novak Djokovic May 29 $343 −$16 -5%
Roland Garros ATP: Alex Michelsen vs Rafael Jodar May 29 $101 +$44 +44%
Vicenza: Diego Dedura-Palomero vs Samuele Pieri May 27 $49 −$49 -100%
Roland Garros ATP: Ugo Humbert vs Quentin Halys May 27 $36 +$6 +18%
Roland Garros ATP: James Duckworth vs Rafael Jodar May 27 $101 +$12 +12%
Roland Garros WTA: Jasmine Paolini vs Solana Sierra May 27 $101 +$11 +11%
Roland Garros WTA: Jil Teichmann vs Magdalena Frech May 27 $101 +$28 +28%
Roland Garros ATP: Joao Fonseca vs Dino Prizmic May 27 $203 +$18 +9%
Roland Garros ATP: Camilo Ugo Carabelli vs Andrey Rublev May 27 $595 +$127 +21%
Crystal Palace FC vs. Rayo Vallecano de Madrid: O/U 0.5 May 27 $1 $0 +17%
Roland Garros ATP: Mariano Navone vs Jakub Mensik May 27 $275 −$85 -31%
Roland Garros WTA: Marta Kostyuk vs Katie Volynets May 27 $78 −$21 -27%
Roland Garros WTA: Jelena Ostapenko vs Magda Linette May 27 $133 −$48 -36%
Roland Garros WTA: Viktorija Golubic vs Alycia Parks May 27 $314 +$20 +6%
Vicenza: Stefano Travaglia vs Henri Squire May 27 $131 +$54 +42%
Chisinau: Lorenzo Giustino vs Luca Nardi May 27 $101 +$31 +30%
Will Recoleta FC win on 2026-05-26? May 27 $77 +$22 +29%
ITF Kursumlijska Banja: Andreea Prisacariu vs Barbora Palicova May 27 $101 −$46 -46%
ITF Wuning: Sijia Wei vs Junhan Zhang May 27 $113 −$110 -97%
Crystal Palace FC vs. Rayo Vallecano de Madrid: O/U 4.5 May 27 $1 $0 -15%
Will Millonarios FC vs. O'Higgins FC end in a draw? May 27 $33 +$6 +19%
Seattle Mariners vs. Athletics May 27 $53 +$8 +16%
Will Grêmio FBPA win on 2026-05-26? May 27 $225 +$8 +3%
Will O'Higgins FC win on 2026-05-26? May 27 $102 +$193 +189%
Will Club Nacional de Football win on 2026-05-26? May 27 $38 +$15 +40%
Will CA Lanús win on 2026-05-26? May 27 $41 +$38 +93%
Los Angeles Angels vs. Detroit Tigers May 27 $29 +$8 +27%
Will CD Coquimbo Unido win on 2026-05-26? May 27 $1 −$1 -98%
Will CD Palestino win on 2026-05-26? May 27 $1 $0 +23%
Will Club Always Ready win on 2026-05-26? May 26 $1 −$1 -97%
Little Rock: Aidan Mayo vs Edas Butvilas May 26 $36 −$6 -18%
World Championships: Switzerland vs. Finland May 26 $17 +$14 +83%
Exact Score: Millonarios FC 0 - 2 O'Higgins FC? May 26 $3 −$3 -98%
Will Santos FC win on 2026-05-26? May 26 $40 −$2 -4%
Will Club Universitario de Deportes win on 2026-05-26? May 26 $41 −$3 -6%
Spurs vs. Thunder May 26 $45 −$3 -6%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 80% +$35
other 13% +$285
crypto 5% −$30
world 2% −$9
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15? BUY Yes 0¢ $1 55m
Exact Score: Haiti 1 - 1 Scotland? BUY Yes 11¢ $5 59m
Exact Score: Haiti 0 - 1 Scotland? BUY Yes 11¢ $5 59m
Exact Score: Haiti 2 - 3 Scotland? BUY Yes 3¢ $5 1h
Exact Score: Haiti 3 - 1 Scotland? BUY Yes 2¢ $5 1h
Exact Score: Haiti 2 - 2 Scotland? BUY Yes 6¢ $5 1h
Exact Score: Haiti 3 - 0 Scotland? BUY Yes 1¢ $5 1h
Exact Score: Haiti 1 - 3 Scotland? BUY Yes 8¢ $10 1h
Exact Score: Haiti 2 - 1 Scotland? BUY Yes 6¢ $10 1h
Exact Score: Haiti 1 - 2 Scotland? BUY Yes 11¢ $10 1h
Exact Score: Haiti 0 - 3 Scotland? BUY Yes 10¢ $10 1h
Exact Score: Haiti 2 - 0 Scotland? SELL Yes 2¢ $3 1h
Exact Score: Haiti 2 - 0 Scotland? BUY Yes 2¢ $10 1h
Exact Score: Haiti 2 - 0 Scotland? BUY Yes 2¢ $8 1h
Exact Score: Haiti 1 - 1 Scotland? BUY Yes 12¢ $10 1h
Exact Score: Haiti 0 - 2 Scotland? BUY Yes 12¢ $10 1h
Exact Score: Haiti 1 - 0 Scotland? BUY Yes 6¢ $10 1h
Exact Score: Haiti 0 - 1 Scotland? BUY Yes 12¢ $10 1h
Exact Score: Haiti 0 - 0 Scotland? BUY Yes 6¢ $10 1h
Libema Open: Barbora Krejcikova vs Magda Linette BUY Barbora Krejcikova 85¢ $15 15h
Stuttgart Open: Mattia Bellucci vs Taylor Fritz BUY Mattia Bellucci 28¢ $102 31h
Stuttgart Open: Mattia Bellucci vs Taylor Fritz BUY Taylor Fritz 69¢ $101 32h
Exact Score: United States 3 - 1 Paraguay? BUY No 96¢ $100 35h
Libema Open: Benjamin Bonzi vs Alex de Minaur BUY Alex de Minaur 94¢ $100 35h
Modena: Victoria Jimenez Kasintseva vs Leyre Romero Gormaz BUY Victoria Jimenez Kasintseva 94¢ $100 36h
Lyon: Dali Blanch vs David Jorda Sanchis SELL Dali Blanch 67¢ $41 40h
Lyon: Dali Blanch vs David Jorda Sanchis SELL David Jorda Sanchis 37¢ $13 40h
Lyon: Dali Blanch vs David Jorda Sanchis SELL David Jorda Sanchis 42¢ $479 40h
Lyon: Dali Blanch vs David Jorda Sanchis SELL David Jorda Sanchis 42¢ $3 40h
Lyon: Dali Blanch vs David Jorda Sanchis SELL David Jorda Sanchis 42¢ $2 40h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +42%
net ROI/market (all)-16.1%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 8 +15.0% +4.0% 75% 25% -6.9%
≤30d 64 -4.4% -13.5% 56% 41% -5.7%
≤90d 77 -7.3% -16.1% 56% 42% -6.0%
all 77 -7.3% -16.1% 56% 42% -6.0%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover6.6 tr/day
realistic slip~7%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -16.1% 42% -6.0%
10% -24.1% 26% -15.0%
15% -31.5% 17% -23.2%
20% -38.2% 9% -30.7%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
≈ Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $209.24 · official $230.87 · 291 history records