trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 3 | -1.4% | -10.8% | 67% | 0% | -13.9% |
| ≤30d | 7 | +4.6% | -5.4% | 57% | 14% | +10.3% |
| ≤90d | 13 | -23.4% | -30.7% | 46% | 8% | +7.6% |
| all | 16 | -13.7% | -21.9% | 50% | 19% | +7.7% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -21.9% | 19% | +7.7% |
| 10% | -29.4% | 12% | -2.6% |
| 15% | -36.2% | 12% | -12.0% |
| 20% | -42.4% | 6% | -20.6% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? | Yes | 81¢ | 80¢ | $78 | $77 | −$0 (-1%) |
| Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? | No | 94¢ | 94¢ | $62 | $62 | −$0 (-0%) |
| 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House | No | 83¢ | 82¢ | $61 | $61 | −$0 (-1%) |
| Will the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | No | 96¢ | 96¢ | $53 | $53 | −$0 (-0%) |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? | Yes | 51¢ | 2¢ | $18 | $1 | −$17 (-95%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will GameStop acquire eBay? | Jun 24 | $1 | $0 | +1% |
| Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026? | Jun 24 | $12 | $0 | +1% |
| Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Jun 24 | $61 | −$4 | -6% |
| Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? | Jun 11 | $131 | +$52 | +40% |
| GRVT FDV above $1B one day after launch? | Jun 11 | $2 | $0 | +3% |
| Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election? | Jun 11 | $1 | $0 | -2% |
| Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals? | Jun 11 | $13 | −$1 | -5% |
| Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League? | May 24 | $1 | $0 | -44% |
| EdgeX FDV above $5B one day after launch? | May 06 | $1 | $0 | +3% |
| Backpack FDV above $2B one day after launch? | May 06 | $1 | $0 | +4% |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026? | May 06 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| LoL: Team WE vs Invictus Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend | May 06 | $2 | −$2 | -99% |
| Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-05-06? | May 06 | $2 | −$2 | -99% |
| Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $750B and $1T at market close on I | Feb 27 | $1 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,500 by end of February? | Feb 27 | $1 | +$1 | +64% |
| US strikes Iran by February 6, 2026? | Feb 27 | $1 | $0 | +22% |