Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T13:35:54+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

BF
0xbf1b…a93c
crypto · 406 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$224 -4%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$220 · open −$4
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$227
Realized−$220
Unrealized−$4
Win rate (resolved)83%
Wins / losses325 / 66
Est. fees paid−$0
Open positions15
Markets (closed)391 / 406
History coverage8d
Avg bet$14
Trades / day118.1
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit98%
Chart Positions 15 History 391 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$40
7 days−$158
14 days−$220
30 days−$220
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Haiti advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? No 89¢ 86¢ $50 $49 −$1 (-3%)
Will Tunisia advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? No 62¢ 65¢ $20 $21 +$1 (+5%)
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? No 96¢ 95¢ $20 $20 −$0 (-1%)
Will Curacao advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? No 94¢ 92¢ $20 $20 −$0 (-2%)
Will Iraq advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? No 88¢ 86¢ $20 $20 −$0 (-2%)
Will Jordan advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? No 82¢ 78¢ $20 $19 −$1 (-5%)
Will Panama advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? No 72¢ 64¢ $20 $18 −$2 (-12%)
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on June 14? No 79¢ 76¢ $15 $15 −$0 (-3%)
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on June 13? No 78¢ 100¢ $10 $13 +$3 (+28%)
Will South Africa advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? No 83¢ 84¢ $10 $10 +$0 (+2%)
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? No 87¢ 84¢ $10 $10 −$0 (-3%)
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? Yes 82¢ 81¢ $5 $5 −$0 (-1%)
Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 1.5 Over 71¢ 70¢ $5 $5 −$0 (-1%)
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? No 83¢ 52¢ $5 $3 −$2 (-38%)
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 13? Yes 42¢ 74¢ $1 $2 +$1 (+77%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET Up 3¢ 0¢ $15 $0 −$15 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET Down 72¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET Down 46¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET Up 70¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET Down 1¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET Up 85¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET Down 9¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET Down 25¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET Down 29¢ 0¢ $15 $0 −$15 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET Up 97¢ 0¢ $55 $0 −$55 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET Jun 13 $4 $0 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET Jun 13 $24 +$1 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET Jun 13 $4 −$2 -39%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET Jun 13 $16 $0 -2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET Jun 13 $8 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET Jun 13 $22 +$1 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET Jun 13 $10 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET Jun 13 $12 +$1 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET Jun 13 $4 $0 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET Jun 13 $4 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET Jun 13 $16 +$1 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET Jun 13 $2 +$1 +29%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET Jun 13 $2 +$1 +36%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET Jun 13 $5 +$1 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET Jun 13 $31 +$17 +55%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET Jun 13 $30 −$5 -16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET Jun 13 $25 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET Jun 13 $30 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET Jun 13 $30 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET Jun 13 $30 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET Jun 13 $41 +$5 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET Jun 13 $10 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET Jun 13 $12 +$1 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET Jun 13 $12 +$1 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET Jun 13 $20 +$1 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +6%
Spread: United States (-2.5) Jun 13 $15 −$13 -88%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET Jun 13 $22 +$1 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET Jun 13 $72 +$6 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET Jun 13 $54 +$1 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET Jun 13 $2 +$1 +28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET Jun 13 $60 +$1 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET Jun 13 $122 −$3 -2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET Jun 13 $16 −$3 -21%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET Jun 13 $55 −$55 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET Jun 13 $50 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET Jun 13 $50 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$1 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET Jun 13 $30 −$5 -16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -94%
Spread: Canada (-2.5) Jun 12 $5 +$1 +11%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 12? Jun 12 $10 +$2 +20%
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on June 12? Jun 12 $10 +$1 +6%
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on June 12? Jun 12 $5 +$1 +21%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET Jun 12 $31 +$23 +76%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 93% −$214
other 3% −$4
weather 2% +$7
sports 1% −$11
world 0% −$2
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 13? BUY Yes 42¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET BUY Down 97¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET BUY Down 90¢ $2 1h
Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 1.5 BUY Over 71¢ $5 1h
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 82¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $20 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET BUY Down 93¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET BUY Down 80¢ $2 1h
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on June 14? BUY No 79¢ $15 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET BUY Down 69¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET BUY Up 80¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $10 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET BUY Up 83¢ $2 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET BUY Down 35¢ $2 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET BUY Up 86¢ $2 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET BUY Up 63¢ $2 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET BUY Up 67¢ $2 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET BUY Down 49¢ $2 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET BUY Up 84¢ $2 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET BUY Up 95¢ $10 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET BUY Up 95¢ $10 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET BUY Up 94¢ $2 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET BUY Up 97¢ $10 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET BUY Down 96¢ $10 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET BUY Down 91¢ $2 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET BUY Down 92¢ $2 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET BUY Down 85¢ $2 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET BUY Down 93¢ $2 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET BUY Down 94¢ $2 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET BUY Down 95¢ $10 3h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +25%
net ROI/market (all)-8.6%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 336 +0.0% -9.5% 83% 24% -12.7%
≤30d 391 +1.1% -8.6% 83% 25% -13.3%
≤90d 391 +1.1% -8.6% 83% 25% -13.3%
all 391 +1.1% -8.6% 83% 25% -13.3%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover118.1 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -8.6% 25% -13.3%
10% ← realistic here -17.3% 9% -21.6%
15% -25.3% 5% -29.2%
20% -32.6% 2% -36.1%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $227.22 · official $227.22 (match) · 1407 history records