Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T15:00:22+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

BF
0xbf11…c679
sports · 359 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$16,938 -3%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$17,607 · open +$669
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$7,989
Realized−$17,607
Unrealized+$669
Win rate (resolved)49%
Wins / losses172 / 176
Whale WR (big bets)64%
Est. fees paid−$10,030
Open positions11
Markets (closed)348 / 359
History coverage72d
Avg bet$1,709
Trades / day29.4
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 11 History 348 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$364
7 days+$2,391
14 days−$6,055
30 days−$33,065
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Atlanta Braves vs. Chicago White Sox Chicago White Sox 48¢ 61¢ $1,800 $2,269 +$469 (+26%)
Tampa Bay Rays vs. New York Yankees New York Yankees 56¢ 62¢ $1,800 $1,989 +$189 (+10%)
Boston Red Sox vs. New York Yankees New York Yankees 53¢ 56¢ $720 $748 +$28 (+4%)
Seattle Mariners vs. Washington Nationals Washington Nationals 43¢ 44¢ $720 $720 +$0 (+0%)
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Chicago White Sox Chicago White Sox 42¢ 42¢ $600 $587 −$13 (-2%)
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Milwaukee Brewers Philadelphia Phillies 31¢ 32¢ $360 $366 +$6 (+2%)
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Cincinnati Reds Cincinnati Reds 51¢ 50¢ $360 $356 −$4 (-1%)
Detroit Tigers vs. Cleveland Guardians Cleveland Guardians 53¢ 54¢ $240 $242 +$2 (+1%)
San Diego Padres vs. Baltimore Orioles Baltimore Orioles 55¢ 55¢ $240 $238 −$2 (-1%)
New York Yankees vs. Toronto Blue Jays New York Yankees 50¢ 50¢ $240 $238 −$2 (-1%)
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Minnesota Twins St. Louis Cardinals 45¢ 44¢ $240 $237 −$3 (-1%)
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Detroit Tigers Detroit Tigers 47¢ 0¢ $1,800 $0 −$1,800 (-100%)
San Francisco Giants vs. Milwaukee Brewers Milwaukee Brewers 57¢ 0¢ $1,200 $0 −$1,200 (-100%)
Atlanta Braves vs. Miami Marlins Miami Marlins 44¢ 0¢ $1,800 $0 −$1,800 (-100%)
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. San Francisco Giants San Francisco Giants 51¢ 0¢ $1,800 $0 −$1,800 (-100%)
Chicago White Sox vs. Minnesota Twins Chicago White Sox 43¢ 0¢ $1,800 $0 −$1,800 (-100%)
Athletics vs. Houston Astros Houston Astros 51¢ 0¢ $1,200 $0 −$1,200 (-100%)
Canadiens vs. Hurricanes Canadiens 36¢ 0¢ $1,800 $0 −$1,800 (-100%)
Boston Red Sox vs. Tampa Bay Rays Boston Red Sox 43¢ 0¢ $1,200 $0 −$1,200 (-100%)
Houston Astros vs. Los Angeles Angels Los Angeles Angels 46¢ 0¢ $1,800 $0 −$1,800 (-100%)
Baltimore Orioles vs. Boston Red Sox Baltimore Orioles 42¢ 0¢ $1,200 $0 −$1,200 (-100%)
New York Yankees vs. Kansas City Royals Kansas City Royals 45¢ 0¢ $1,800 $0 −$1,800 (-100%)
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Colorado Rockies Colorado Rockies 43¢ 0¢ $1,800 $0 −$1,800 (-100%)
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Arizona Diamondbacks Arizona Diamondbacks 37¢ 0¢ $1,800 $0 −$1,800 (-100%)
Philadelphia Phillies vs. San Diego Padres San Diego Padres 51¢ 0¢ $1,800 $0 −$1,800 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Seattle Mariners vs. Baltimore Orioles Jun 12 $1,218 +$1,070 +88%
Golden Knights vs. Hurricanes Jun 11 $1,832 −$1,800 -98%
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Pittsburgh Pirates Jun 11 $1,222 −$1,200 -98%
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Miami Marlins Jun 11 $1,217 +$902 +74%
Chicago Cubs vs. Colorado Rockies Jun 11 $1,831 −$1,800 -98%
Texas Rangers vs. Kansas City Royals Jun 11 $1,826 −$1,800 -99%
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Athletics Jun 11 $1,218 +$1,095 +90%
Chicago Cubs vs. Colorado Rockies Jun 11 $1,833 +$2,737 +149%
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Pittsburgh Pirates Jun 11 $1,835 +$2,894 +158%
Seattle Mariners vs. Baltimore Orioles Jun 11 $1,218 +$977 +80%
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Miami Marlins Jun 11 $1,827 +$1,660 +91%
Washington Nationals vs. San Francisco Giants Jun 10 $1,827 +$1,630 +89%
Texas Rangers vs. Kansas City Royals Jun 10 $1,828 −$1,800 -98%
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Toronto Blue Jays Jun 10 $1,830 −$1,800 -98%
Cincinnati Reds vs. San Diego Padres Jun 10 $1,222 −$1,200 -98%
Boston Red Sox vs. Tampa Bay Rays Jun 10 $1,221 −$1,200 -98%
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Athletics Jun 10 $1,218 +$953 +78%
Houston Astros vs. Los Angeles Angels Jun 10 $1,219 +$1,156 +95%
Texas Rangers vs. Kansas City Royals Jun 10 $1,828 +$1,696 +93%
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Toronto Blue Jays Jun 10 $2,192 +$2,058 +94%
Chicago Cubs vs. Colorado Rockies Jun 10 $1,221 +$1,452 +119%
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Pittsburgh Pirates Jun 10 $1,827 +$1,643 +90%
Boston Red Sox vs. Tampa Bay Rays Jun 10 $1,828 +$1,651 +90%
St. Louis Cardinals vs. New York Mets Jun 09 $1,216 −$1,200 -99%
New York Yankees vs. Cleveland Guardians Jun 09 $1,828 −$1,800 -98%
Seattle Mariners vs. Baltimore Orioles Jun 09 $1,218 −$1,200 -98%
Washington Nationals vs. San Francisco Giants Jun 09 $1,831 +$2,355 +129%
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Athletics Jun 09 $1,831 +$1,333 +73%
Boston Red Sox vs. Tampa Bay Rays Jun 09 $1,827 +$1,548 +85%
Houston Astros vs. Los Angeles Angels Jun 08 $1,829 −$1,800 -98%
New York Yankees vs. Cleveland Guardians Jun 08 $1,216 −$1,200 -99%
Seattle Mariners vs. Baltimore Orioles Jun 08 $1,829 −$1,800 -98%
San Francisco Giants vs. Chicago Cubs Jun 07 $1,825 −$1,800 -99%
Seattle Mariners vs. Detroit Tigers Jun 07 $1,827 +$1,819 +100%
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Miami Marlins Jun 07 $1,827 +$1,619 +89%
New York Mets vs. San Diego Padres Jun 07 $1,827 −$1,800 -98%
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Colorado Rockies Jun 07 $1,833 −$1,800 -98%
Athletics vs. Houston Astros Jun 07 $1,218 −$1,200 -98%
Kansas City Royals vs. Minnesota Twins Jun 07 $1,827 −$1,800 -98%
Chicago White Sox vs. Philadelphia Phillies Jun 07 $1,222 −$1,200 -98%
Los Angeles Angels vs. Los Angeles Dodgers Jun 06 $1,227 −$1,200 -98%
Washington Nationals vs. Arizona Diamondbacks Jun 06 $1,221 +$1,415 +116%
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Atlanta Braves Jun 06 $1,826 +$1,363 +75%
Athletics vs. Houston Astros Jun 06 $1,217 +$896 +74%
Cleveland Guardians vs. Texas Rangers Jun 06 $1,826 −$1,800 -99%
Baltimore Orioles vs. Toronto Blue Jays Jun 06 $1,826 +$1,409 +77%
Seattle Mariners vs. Detroit Tigers Jun 06 $1,830 −$1,800 -98%
Washington Nationals vs. Arizona Diamondbacks Jun 06 $1,220 +$1,255 +103%
Athletics vs. Houston Astros Jun 06 $1,218 +$1,001 +82%
Seattle Mariners vs. Detroit Tigers Jun 06 $1,829 +$1,803 +99%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 100% −$16,938
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Chicago White Sox BUY Chicago White Sox 42¢ $366 7m
San Diego Padres vs. Baltimore Orioles BUY Baltimore Orioles 55¢ $243 7m
Seattle Mariners vs. Washington Nationals BUY Washington Nationals 44¢ $366 9m
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Minnesota Twins BUY St. Louis Cardinals 45¢ $244 40m
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Chicago White Sox BUY Chicago White Sox 43¢ $244 1h
New York Yankees vs. Toronto Blue Jays BUY New York Yankees 50¢ $244 1h
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Milwaukee Brewers BUY Philadelphia Phillies 31¢ $367 1h
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Cincinnati Reds BUY Cincinnati Reds 51¢ $365 1h
Detroit Tigers vs. Cleveland Guardians BUY Cleveland Guardians 53¢ $243 1h
Seattle Mariners vs. Washington Nationals BUY Washington Nationals 43¢ $366 2h
Seattle Mariners vs. Baltimore Orioles SELL Baltimore Orioles 92¢ $450 14h
Seattle Mariners vs. Baltimore Orioles SELL Baltimore Orioles 94¢ $460 14h
Seattle Mariners vs. Baltimore Orioles SELL Baltimore Orioles 94¢ $460 14h
Seattle Mariners vs. Baltimore Orioles SELL Baltimore Orioles 94¢ $460 14h
Seattle Mariners vs. Baltimore Orioles SELL Baltimore Orioles 94¢ $460 14h
Golden Knights vs. Hurricanes BUY Golden Knights 41¢ $458 18h
Atlanta Braves vs. Chicago White Sox BUY Chicago White Sox 48¢ $366 18h
Seattle Mariners vs. Baltimore Orioles BUY Baltimore Orioles 49¢ $244 19h
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Pittsburgh Pirates BUY Pittsburgh Pirates 39¢ $244 19h
Atlanta Braves vs. Chicago White Sox BUY Chicago White Sox 49¢ $366 19h
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Miami Marlins SELL Miami Marlins 94¢ $433 19h
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Miami Marlins SELL Miami Marlins 92¢ $416 19h
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Miami Marlins SELL Miami Marlins 92¢ $424 19h
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Miami Marlins SELL Miami Marlins 92¢ $424 19h
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Miami Marlins SELL Miami Marlins 92¢ $424 19h
Seattle Mariners vs. Baltimore Orioles BUY Baltimore Orioles 49¢ $244 20h
Golden Knights vs. Hurricanes BUY Golden Knights 41¢ $458 20h
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Pittsburgh Pirates BUY Pittsburgh Pirates 39¢ $244 20h
Atlanta Braves vs. Chicago White Sox BUY Chicago White Sox 49¢ $366 21h
Seattle Mariners vs. Baltimore Orioles BUY Baltimore Orioles 49¢ $244 22h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +49%
net ROI/market (all)-11.0%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 52 +7.2% -3.0% 52% 52% -6.8%
≤30d 174 -8.0% -16.8% 47% 47% -19.8%
≤90d 348 -1.6% -11.0% 49% 49% -12.2%
all 348 -1.6% -11.0% 49% 49% -12.2%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover29.4 tr/day
realistic slip~15%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -11.0% 49% -12.2%
10% -19.5% 49% -20.6%
15% ← realistic here -27.3% 47% -28.3%
20% -34.4% 45% -35.3%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $7,989.39 · official $7,989.39 (match) · 2342 history records