trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 3 | -0.1% | -9.6% | 0% | 0% | -9.6% |
| ≤30d | 4 | -0.1% | -9.6% | 0% | 0% | -9.6% |
| ≤90d | 10 | -0.2% | -9.7% | 0% | 0% | -9.7% |
| all | 22 | -0.1% | -9.6% | 9% | 0% | -9.6% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -9.6% | 0% | -9.6% |
| 10% | -18.3% | 0% | -18.2% |
| 15% | -26.2% | 0% | -26.1% |
| 20% | -33.4% | 0% | -33.4% |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Senegal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Jun 27 | $127 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Jun 24 | $127 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Egypt win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Jun 20 | $127 | $0 | -0% |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 me | Jun 05 | $127 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Joe Kent win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | May 19 | $127 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Bulgaria win Eurovision 2026? | May 14 | $128 | −$1 | -1% |
| Will Serbia win Eurovision 2026? | May 09 | $128 | $0 | -0% |
| Will LeBron James win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Apr 17 | $129 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Apr 14 | $129 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Curaçao win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Mar 30 | $260 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Saudi Aramco be the largest company in the world by market cap on | Mar 21 | $260 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Austria win Eurovision 2026? | Mar 18 | $260 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Z.ai have the best AI model at the end of March 2026? | Mar 14 | $260 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Ro Khanna win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Mar 11 | $260 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals? | Mar 02 | $260 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Trump nominate Michelle Bowman as the next Fed chair? | Feb 24 | $260 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on Januar | Feb 07 | $254 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Kristi Noem win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Jan 04 | $245 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Crystal Palace win the 2025–26 English Premier League? | Jan 03 | $250 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Benfica win the 2025–26 Champions League? | Jan 02 | $254 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Matt Gaetz win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Jan 02 | $251 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Cape Verde win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Dec 31 | $250 | $0 | -0% |