Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T01:29:08+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

BF
0xbf0c…4e9f
crypto · 1116 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$5,076 -16%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$5,076 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$1
Realized−$5,076
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)63%
Wins / losses972 / 583
Open positions1
Markets (closed)1555 / 1116
History coverage8d
Avg bet$28
Trades / day311.4
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit96%
Chart Positions 1 History 1555 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$5,207
7 days−$5,069
14 days−$5,076
30 days−$5,076
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET Up 79¢ 78¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-1%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 9, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET Down 89¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Down 99¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET Up 94¢ 0¢ $101 $0 −$101 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 31, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET Down 78¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET Up 67¢ 0¢ $50 $0 −$50 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET Up 66¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET Up 48¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 6, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET Up 47¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 9, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET Up 60¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 21, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET Up 17¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 1, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET Down 33¢ 0¢ $15 $0 −$15 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 18, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET Down 77¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET Down 51¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 24, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET Down 27¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET Up 74¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 29, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET Down 32¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 25, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET Up 79¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - March 11, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET Down 11¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - March 9, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET Down 93¢ 0¢ $100 $0 −$100 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 18, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET Up 38¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 15, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET Down 93¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 20, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET Up 62¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 30, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET Up 58¢ 0¢ $38 $0 −$38 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 5, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET Up 38¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Jun 13 $7 −$7 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 31, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET Jun 13 $50 −$50 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 6, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 9, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 21, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 1, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET Jun 13 $15 −$15 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 18, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 24, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 29, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 25, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - March 11, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - March 9, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET Jun 13 $100 −$100 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 18, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 15, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET Jun 13 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 20, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET Jun 13 $7 −$7 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 30, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET Jun 13 $38 −$38 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 5, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 15, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET Jun 13 $72 −$72 -100%
XRP Up or Down - March 17, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 9, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 22, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 15, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET Jun 13 $6 −$6 -100%
XRP Up or Down - May 17, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 12, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 15, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET Jun 13 $52 −$52 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 15, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET Jun 13 $9 −$9 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - February 27, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 17, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET Jun 13 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 24, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 26, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET Jun 13 $23 −$23 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 17, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - March 1, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET Jun 13 $20 −$20 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET Jun 13 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 4, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET Jun 13 $12 −$12 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 31, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET Jun 13 $32 −$32 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - March 16, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET Jun 13 $10 −$10 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 95% +$163
other 5% −$3
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET BUY Up 79¢ $1 0m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $5 4m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET BUY Up 94¢ $20 5m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET BUY Up 88¢ $2 5m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET BUY Down 98¢ $5 10m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET BUY Down 97¢ $20 10m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET BUY Down 73¢ $1 11m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET SELL Down 99¢ $6 13m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET BUY Up 81¢ $22 14m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET SELL Up 64¢ $31 14m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET BUY Up 75¢ $31 14m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET BUY Up 56¢ $5 14m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET BUY Down 81¢ $5 14m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET BUY Up 97¢ $11 19m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $40 19m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $20 24m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET BUY Up 95¢ $5 24m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET BUY Up 82¢ $1 24m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $15 44m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $20 44m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET BUY Down 96¢ $10 45m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET BUY Up 82¢ $5 49m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET BUY Up 52¢ $1 50m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET BUY Down 97¢ $30 59m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET BUY Down 83¢ $1 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET BUY Down 93¢ $10 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET BUY Down 91¢ $2 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $44 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET BUY Up 93¢ $2 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $7 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +9%
net ROI/market (all)-35.8%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 1479 -30.6% -37.2% 61% 9% -22.4%
≤30d 1555 -29.0% -35.8% 63% 9% -22.2%
≤90d 1555 -29.0% -35.8% 63% 9% -22.2%
all 1555 -29.0% -35.8% 63% 9% -22.2%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover311.4 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -35.8% 9% -22.2%
10% ← realistic here -41.9% 4% -29.6%
15% -47.6% 2% -36.4%
20% -52.7% 1% -42.7%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.99 · official $0.96 (match) · 3500 history records