Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T04:44:01+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

BF
0xbf0a…59c6
crypto · 1164 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$1,986 -20%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$1,986 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$7
Realized−$1,986
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)56%
Wins / losses784 / 609
Open positions0
Markets (closed)1393 / 1164
History coverage54d
Avg bet$8
Trades / day49.6
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 1393 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$1,873
7 days−$1,847
14 days−$1,823
30 days−$1,849
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET Down 59¢ 100¢ $2 $4 +$2 (+69%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET Down 78¢ 100¢ $2 $3 +$1 (+28%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET Down 71¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+41%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET Up 53¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+89%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET Up 49¢ 0¢ $26 $0 −$26 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 14, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET Down 73¢ 0¢ $15 $0 −$15 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 5, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET Down 80¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET Up 39¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 7, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET Up 66¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 21, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Down 47¢ 0¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET Down 69¢ 0¢ $16 $0 −$16 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 21, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET Down 77¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET Up 72¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 20, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET Up 12¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET Down 88¢ 0¢ $13 $0 −$13 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 15, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET Down 67¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET Up 79¢ 0¢ $33 $0 −$33 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET Down 65¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET Down 12¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 28, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET Up 61¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 26, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET Up 12¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET Up 59¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 14, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET Up 79¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 19, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET Up 88¢ 0¢ $90 $0 −$90 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 21, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET Down 63¢ 0¢ $15 $0 −$15 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 14, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET Jun 13 $15 −$15 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 5, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET Jun 13 $0 $0 +32%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 7, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$2 -316%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 21, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 20, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 15, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET Jun 13 $7 −$7 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET Jun 13 $33 −$33 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 28, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET Jun 13 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 26, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 14, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 19, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET Jun 13 $90 −$90 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 21, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET Jun 13 $15 −$15 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 19, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET Jun 13 $31 −$31 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 4, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -216%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 26, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 15, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET Jun 13 $7 −$7 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 25, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -138%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 1, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$2 -392%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 5, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET Jun 13 $0 +$1 +579%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 25, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$2 -155%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 31, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -122%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 11, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 22, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET Jun 13 $35 −$35 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 19, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 27, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 27, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 24, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$2 -124%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 25, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 31, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$5 -534%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 7, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET Jun 13 $0 $0 +64%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 7, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$2 -230%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 19, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET Jun 13 $97 −$97 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 5, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -187%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 31, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET Jun 13 $6 −$10 -179%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 5, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$3 -384%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 26, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 25, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 5, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -232%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 19, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Jun 13 $95 −$95 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 19, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET Jun 13 $13 −$13 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 3, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 19, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET Jun 13 $31 −$31 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 26, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 1, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 13, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 14, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 19, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET Jun 13 $26 −$26 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 14, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 4, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET Jun 13 $1 +$1 +232%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$23
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET SELL Up 99¢ $4 49m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET BUY Up 63¢ $3 51m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET BUY Up 53¢ $3 58m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET BUY Down 68¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET BUY Up 67¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET BUY Up 20¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET SELL Up 99¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET BUY Up 63¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET BUY Down 17¢ $3 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET BUY Down 68¢ $3 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET BUY Down 21¢ $3 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET BUY Down 13¢ $3 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET BUY Down 28¢ $3 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET BUY Down 52¢ $3 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET BUY Down 56¢ $3 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET BUY Down 34¢ $3 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET BUY Up 21¢ $3 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET BUY Down 54¢ $3 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET BUY Down 35¢ $3 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET BUY Down 35¢ $3 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET BUY Up 45¢ $3 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET BUY Up 23¢ $3 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET BUY Down 45¢ $3 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET SELL Up 99¢ $3 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET BUY Up 76¢ $3 10h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET BUY Up 74¢ $3 11h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET BUY Up 18¢ $3 12h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET BUY Up 70¢ $35 13h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET BUY Up 67¢ $3 13h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET SELL Up 99¢ $6 13h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +44%
net ROI/market (all)-22.9%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 475 -36.9% -42.9% 36% 30% -50.1%
≤30d 750 -25.5% -32.6% 47% 40% -33.7%
≤90d 1393 -14.8% -22.9% 56% 44% -24.2%
all 1393 -14.8% -22.9% 56% 44% -24.2%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover49.6 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -22.9% 44% -24.2%
10% ← realistic here -30.3% 35% -31.5%
15% -37.0% 21% -38.1%
20% -43.2% 13% -44.2%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $7.32 · official $7.01 (match) · 3500 history records