trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 6 | -18.1% | -25.9% | 67% | 17% | -23.3% |
| ≤30d | 6 | -18.1% | -25.9% | 67% | 17% | -23.3% |
| ≤90d | 9 | -12.1% | -20.4% | 56% | 11% | -18.2% |
| all | 9 | -12.1% | -20.4% | 56% | 11% | -18.2% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -20.4% | 11% | -18.2% |
| 10% | -28.1% | 0% | -26.0% |
| 15% | -35.0% | 0% | -33.2% |
| 20% | -41.4% | 0% | -39.7% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Spencer Pratt concede by June 15? | Yes | 47¢ | 43¢ | $25 | $23 | −$2 (-9%) |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? | Yes | 85¢ | 100¢ | $4 | $4 | +$1 (+18%) |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? | Yes | 30¢ | 18¢ | $6 | $4 | −$3 (-42%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Hakeem Jeffries win the 2026 New York 8th District Democratic Pri | Jun 16 | $26 | −$25 | -97% |
| Will "Disclosure Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 43m and 47 | Jun 15 | $25 | +$3 | +12% |
| US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 15? | Jun 15 | $25 | $0 | +0% |
| Aryna Sabalenka vs. Coco Gauff: Total Sets O/U 2.5 | Jun 13 | $80 | −$17 | -22% |
| Spurs vs. Bucks: O/U 226.5 | Jun 13 | $50 | $0 | +0% |
| Ducks vs. Oilers | Jun 13 | $50 | $0 | +0% |
| Austria vs. Ghana: O/U 3.5 | Mar 27 | $50 | $0 | -0% |
| Avalanche vs. Jets | Mar 27 | $50 | $0 | +0% |
| Spread: Pistons (-4.5) | Mar 27 | $50 | $0 | +0% |