Wallet analysis

2026-06-21T01:40:02+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
BE 0xbefa…bb2d crypto 58 markets active 2h ago coverage 1d
BOTnot copyable crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
✗ bot/MM pace (157 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ only 1d of captured history — unreliable✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ 90-day edge negative — edge has died
Total PnL +$226 (+7%) realized +$226 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -12% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -32% what you keep after slip
Net edge-32%after slip
Net WR33%break-even
Win rate33%19W / 39L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$53per market
Trades / day157.0pace
Fees−$19est.
Kalshi-fit97%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
Not enough resolved history to chart — analysis covers only 1d (hyperactive wallet — we see only the tail of its trades). A “Total PnL” curve will appear once daily tracking accumulates.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 66% −$681
sports 32% −$111
other 2% −$17
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (157 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +33%
net ROI/market (all)-20.5%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 58 -12.1% -20.5% 33% 33% -34.8%
≤30d 58 -12.1% -20.5% 33% 33% -34.8%
≤90d 58 -12.1% -20.5% 33% 33% -34.8%
all 58 -12.1% -20.5% 33% 33% -34.8%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover157.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -20.5% 33% -34.8%
10% ← realistic here -28.1% 33% -41.0%
15% -35.1% 33% -46.7%
20% -41.4% 33% -51.9%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 10% · top 2 20% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -28% edge died — 90d negative
Fragile wins
0% wins margin < slip solid win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -12% · $-wt -28% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early -11% → late -13% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
2.6 add-ons/market adds to positions
Win / loss size
+$68 vs −$54 · ×1.26 wins ≈ losses
Profit factor
×0.61 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

1d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized+$226
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)33%
Wins / losses19 / 39
Est. fees paid−$19
Open positions0
Markets (closed)58 / 58
History coverage1d
Avg bet$53
Trades / day157.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit97%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 58 Trades
no open positions (39 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET Jun 21 $118 −$113 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET Jun 21 $149 −$149 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET Jun 20 $191 −$183 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET Jun 20 $168 −$161 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET Jun 20 $22 −$21 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET Jun 20 $76 −$76 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET Jun 20 $30 +$67 +223%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET Jun 20 $109 −$104 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET Jun 20 $79 −$76 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET Jun 20 $68 +$133 +194%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET Jun 20 $85 −$81 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET Jun 20 $65 +$107 +166%
Will Wyndham Clark win the 2026 U.S. Open? Jun 20 $35 +$18 +51%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET Jun 20 $149 −$144 -96%
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Atlanta Braves Jun 20 $38 +$122 +324%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET Jun 20 $12 −$12 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET Jun 20 $93 −$90 -97%
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Playo Jun 20 $41 +$59 +144%
Call of Duty: Toronto KOI vs OpTic Texas (BO5) - Call of Duty League S Jun 20 $12 −$11 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET Jun 20 $43 −$41 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET Jun 20 $43 +$53 +122%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET Jun 20 $17 −$17 -100%
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Chicago Cubs Jun 20 $20 +$42 +207%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET Jun 20 $13 −$13 -100%
San Francisco Giants vs. Miami Marlins Jun 20 $50 −$49 -98%
UFC Fight Night: Otari Tanzilovi vs. Shane Collins (Featherweight, Pre Jun 20 $37 −$36 -98%
Cincinnati Reds vs. New York Yankees Jun 20 $36 +$64 +180%
Washington Nationals vs. Tampa Bay Rays Jun 20 $46 −$45 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET Jun 20 $18 −$17 -94%
San Diego Padres vs. Texas Rangers: O/U 7.5 Jun 20 $50 −$50 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET Jun 20 $35 +$65 +190%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET Jun 20 $23 +$44 +194%
Will Germany win on 2026-06-20? Jun 20 $36 −$35 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET Jun 20 $16 −$15 -94%
Chicago White Sox vs. Detroit Tigers Jun 20 $51 +$60 +119%
Dota 2: Hive vs Flame Team (BO3) - European Pro League Playoffs Jun 20 $14 −$14 -97%
Parma: Sebastian Ofner vs Luca Van Assche Jun 20 $48 −$47 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET Jun 20 $54 +$46 +86%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET Jun 20 $44 −$42 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET Jun 20 $52 +$48 +93%
Indiana Fever vs. Atlanta Dream Jun 20 $51 −$50 -98%
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-20? Jun 20 $41 −$40 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET Jun 20 $64 +$112 +173%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET Jun 20 $35 −$35 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET Jun 20 $25 +$75 +296%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET Jun 20 $20 −$19 -95%
Halle Open: Alexander Zverev vs Taylor Fritz Jun 20 $41 +$58 +143%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Jun 20 $2 −$2 -94%
Nottingham 2: Otto Virtanen vs Christopher O'Connell Jun 20 $41 −$40 -98%
Brescia: Mayar Sherif vs Elizara Yaneva Jun 20 $46 −$45 -98%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET BUY Down 37¢ $118 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET BUY Up 25¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET BUY Up 25¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET BUY Up 25¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET BUY Up 25¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET BUY Up 25¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET BUY Up 25¢ $0 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET BUY Up 25¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET BUY Up 25¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET BUY Up 25¢ $8 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET BUY Up 25¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET BUY Up 25¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET BUY Up 25¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET BUY Up 25¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET BUY Up 25¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET BUY Up 25¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET BUY Up 25¢ $6 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET BUY Up 25¢ $6 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET BUY Up 25¢ $6 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET BUY Up 25¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET BUY Up 25¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET BUY Up 25¢ $0 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET BUY Up 25¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET BUY Up 25¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET BUY Up 25¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET BUY Up 25¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET BUY Up 25¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET BUY Up 25¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET BUY Up 25¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET BUY Up 25¢ $1 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 174 history records