Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T14:12:20+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

BE
0xbef9…d257
sports · 405 markets active 2h ago
0.0score
−$209 -1%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$209 · open −$1
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialistFading edge
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$41
Realized−$209
Unrealized−$1
Win rate (resolved)43%
Wins / losses173 / 234
Whale WR (big bets)33%
Est. fees paid−$169
Open positions3
Markets (closed)407 / 405
History coverage198d
Avg bet$44
Trades / day3.7
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit94%
Chart Positions 3 History 407 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$31
7 days+$114
14 days+$214
30 days−$356
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Map Handicap: TS (-1.5) vs Aurora Gaming (+1.5) Spirit 62¢ 62¢ $31 $31 −$0 (-1%)
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BetBoom Team 33¢ 32¢ $10 $10 −$0 (-2%)
Will Team WE win LPL 2026 Split 2? Yes 4¢ 2¢ $1 $0 −$0 (-36%)
LoL: Movistar KOI vs Karmine Corp (BO5) - LEC Playoffs Movistar KOI 43¢ 0¢ $43 $0 −$43 (-100%)
LoL: Cloud9 vs LYON (BO5) - LCS Playoffs Cloud9 56¢ 0¢ $28 $0 −$28 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: M80 vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1 M80 39¢ 0¢ $12 $0 −$12 (-100%)
Will EDward Gaming win LPL 2026 Split 2? Yes 4¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
LoL: KT Rolster vs Gen.G - Game 2 Winner KT Rolster 77¢ 0¢ $38 $0 −$38 (-100%)
Will ThunderTalk Gaming win LPL 2026 Split 2? Yes 4¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
LoL: ThunderTalk Gaming vs LGD Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs ThunderTalk Gaming 51¢ 0¢ $15 $0 −$15 (-100%)
Enhanced Games: Hafthor Bjornsson Heaviest Deadlift Over 510 Kg? Yes 0¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Game Handicap: G2 (-1.5) vs Movistar KOI (+1.5) G2 Esports 55¢ 0¢ $28 $0 −$28 (-100%)
Game Handicap: T1 (-1.5) vs Kiwoom DRX (+1.5) T1 69¢ 0¢ $48 $0 −$48 (-100%)
Game Handicap: DK (-1.5) vs BNK FEARX (+1.5) Dplus KIA 44¢ 0¢ $22 $0 −$22 (-100%)
Will PARIVISION win DreamLeague Season 29? No 0¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Map Handicap: VIT (-1.5) vs FUT Esports (+1.5) Vitality 54¢ 0¢ $27 $0 −$27 (-100%)
LoL: Dplus KIA vs BNK FEARX (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2 BNK FEARX 37¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
LoL: Dplus KIA vs HANJIN BRION (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2 HANJIN BRION 30¢ 0¢ $9 $0 −$9 (-100%)
Will LNG Esports win LPL 2026 Split 2? Yes 4¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Game Handicap: HLE (-1.5) vs Nongshim Red Force (+1.5) Hanwha Life Esports 63¢ 0¢ $88 $0 −$88 (-100%)
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs PlayTime (BO3) - DreamLeague Playoffs BetBoom Team 63¢ 0¢ $32 $0 −$32 (-100%)
Game Handicap: C9 (-1.5) vs LYON (+1.5) Cloud9 37¢ 0¢ $18 $0 −$18 (-100%)
Game Handicap: VIT (-1.5) vs GIANTX (+1.5) Team Vitality 50¢ 0¢ $15 $0 −$15 (-100%)
Will LGD Gaming win LPL 2026 Split 2? Yes 4¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Game Handicap: NS (-1.5) vs DN SOOPers (+1.5) Nongshim Red Force 50¢ 0¢ $15 $0 −$15 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will EDward Gaming win LPL 2026 Split 2? Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Will ThunderTalk Gaming win LPL 2026 Split 2? Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Will LNG Esports win LPL 2026 Split 2? Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Will LGD Gaming win LPL 2026 Split 2? Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major S Jun 12 $24 +$26 +105%
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag Jun 12 $65 +$35 +55%
Map Handicap: VIT (-1.5) vs FUT Esports (+1.5) Jun 11 $27 −$27 -99%
Spread: Spurs (-2.5) Jun 11 $42 −$23 -56%
Game Handicap: G2N (-1.5) vs Partizan Sangal (+1.5) Jun 10 $11 +$9 +83%
Game Handicap: ME (-1.5) vs E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS (+1.5) Jun 10 $16 +$14 +90%
Counter-Strike: BIG vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 09 $56 +$44 +79%
Spurs vs. Knicks Jun 09 $48 +$52 +109%
Map Handicap: TS (-1.5) vs 9z (+1.5) Jun 08 $68 +$32 +48%
Game Handicap: C9 (-1.5) vs LYON (+1.5) Jun 07 $19 −$18 -98%
LoL: Cloud9 vs LYON (BO5) - LCS Playoffs Jun 07 $28 −$28 -99%
Game Handicap: G2 (-1.5) vs Karmine Corp (+1.5) Jun 07 $25 −$25 -98%
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs GamerLegion (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Jun 07 $60 +$40 +67%
LoL: Movistar KOI vs Karmine Corp (BO5) - LEC Playoffs Jun 06 $44 −$43 -98%
Game Handicap: AL (-2.5) vs LGD Gaming (+2.5) Jun 05 $22 +$28 +129%
Counter-Strike: GamerLegion vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Jun 04 $27 +$23 +83%
Counter-Strike: M80 vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1 Jun 03 $12 −$12 -98%
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026? Jun 03 $5 −$3 -60%
Counter-Strike: BIG vs Liquid (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1 Jun 03 $14 +$16 +109%
Roland Garros ATP: Frances Tiafoe vs Matteo Arnaldi Jun 02 $16 +$14 +92%
LoL: ThunderTalk Gaming vs LGD Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs Jun 02 $16 −$15 -99%
Game Handicap: KC (-1.5) vs GIANTX (+1.5) Jun 02 $100 +$50 +50%
LoL: Team Vitality vs GIANTX - Game 3 Winner Jun 01 $4 +$6 +172%
Spurs vs. Thunder May 31 $13 +$17 +129%
Thunder vs. Spurs May 31 $30 +$20 +65%
Game Handicap: VIT (-1.5) vs GIANTX (+1.5) May 31 $15 −$15 -98%
Game Handicap: NS (-1.5) vs DN SOOPers (+1.5) May 28 $15 −$15 -98%
LoL: BNK FEARX vs Kiwoom DRX (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2 May 28 $19 +$11 +62%
Spurs vs. Thunder May 27 $20 −$16 -78%
Game Handicap: T1 (-1.5) vs Dplus KIA (+1.5) May 26 $28 +$22 +76%
Game Handicap: HLE (-1.5) vs Dplus KIA (+1.5) May 26 $29 +$21 +72%
Spread: Knicks (-2.5) May 26 $49 +$51 +104%
Game Handicap: HLE (-1.5) vs Nongshim Red Force (+1.5) May 26 $30 +$20 +67%
Game Handicap: G2 (-1.5) vs Movistar KOI (+1.5) May 25 $28 −$28 -99%
Enhanced Games: Hafthor Bjornsson Heaviest Deadlift Over 510 Kg? May 25 $50 $0 -1%
Enhanced Games: Men’s 100m Sprint World Record Broken? May 25 $50 −$1 -2%
Enhanced Games: Men’s 100m Freestyle World Record Broken? May 25 $1 $0 -3%
Enhanced Games: Mitchell Hooper Heaviest Deadlift Over 500 Kg? May 25 $0 $0 -3%
Will PARIVISION win DreamLeague Season 29? May 25 $0 $0 -100%
Knicks vs. Cavaliers May 24 $46 +$54 +119%
Game Handicap: G2 (-1.5) vs Karmine Corp (+1.5) May 24 $54 +$46 +86%
LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2 May 23 $60 +$40 +67%
Game Handicap: HLE (-1.5) vs Nongshim Red Force (+1.5) May 23 $89 −$88 -99%
LoL: Dplus KIA vs BNK FEARX (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2 May 23 $20 −$20 -98%
Game Handicap: DK (-1.5) vs BNK FEARX (+1.5) May 23 $22 −$22 -98%
Game Handicap: GEN (-1.5) vs KT Rolster (+1.5) May 23 $28 +$22 +76%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 93% −$199
other 4% +$55
world 2% −$9
culture 0% −$55
crypto 0% −$14
finance 0% +$21
tech 0% +$7
politics 0% −$20
economics 0% $0
weather 0% +$8
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Map Handicap: TS (-1.5) vs Aurora Gaming (+1.5) BUY Spirit 62¢ $31 1h
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major BUY BetBoom Team 33¢ $10 1h
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag BUY Spirit 64¢ $65 23h
Map Handicap: VIT (-1.5) vs FUT Esports (+1.5) BUY Vitality 54¢ $27 26h
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major S BUY BetBoom Team 48¢ $24 30h
Spread: Spurs (-2.5) SELL Spurs 19¢ $19 34h
Spread: Spurs (-2.5) BUY Spurs 41¢ $42 45h
Game Handicap: ME (-1.5) vs E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS (+1.5) BUY Misa Esports 52¢ $16 2d
Game Handicap: G2N (-1.5) vs Partizan Sangal (+1.5) BUY G2 NORD 54¢ $11 2d
Counter-Strike: BIG vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 BUY B8 55¢ $56 3d
Spurs vs. Knicks BUY Spurs 47¢ $48 3d
Game Handicap: C9 (-1.5) vs LYON (+1.5) BUY Cloud9 37¢ $19 4d
LoL: Cloud9 vs LYON (BO5) - LCS Playoffs BUY Cloud9 56¢ $28 4d
Map Handicap: TS (-1.5) vs 9z (+1.5) BUY Spirit 67¢ $68 4d
Game Handicap: G2 (-1.5) vs Karmine Corp (+1.5) BUY G2 Esports 50¢ $25 4d
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs GamerLegion (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major BUY BetBoom Team 59¢ $60 5d
LoL: Movistar KOI vs Karmine Corp (BO5) - LEC Playoffs BUY Movistar KOI 43¢ $44 6d
Game Handicap: AL (-2.5) vs LGD Gaming (+2.5) BUY Anyones Legend 43¢ $22 8d
Counter-Strike: M80 vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1 BUY M80 39¢ $12 8d
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026? SELL Yes 0¢ $2 9d
Counter-Strike: GamerLegion vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major BUY BetBoom Team 54¢ $27 9d
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026? BUY Yes 1¢ $5 9d
Counter-Strike: BIG vs Liquid (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1 BUY Liquid 47¢ $14 10d
LoL: ThunderTalk Gaming vs LGD Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs BUY ThunderTalk Gaming 51¢ $16 10d
Roland Garros ATP: Frances Tiafoe vs Matteo Arnaldi BUY Matteo Arnaldi 52¢ $16 10d
Game Handicap: KC (-1.5) vs GIANTX (+1.5) BUY Karmine Corp 64¢ $32 11d
Game Handicap: KC (-1.5) vs GIANTX (+1.5) BUY Karmine Corp 67¢ $68 11d
LoL: Team Vitality vs GIANTX - Game 3 Winner BUY GIANTX 36¢ $4 11d
Game Handicap: VIT (-1.5) vs GIANTX (+1.5) BUY Team Vitality 50¢ $15 12d
Spurs vs. Thunder BUY Spurs 43¢ $13 12d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +40%
net ROI/market (all)-16.9%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 19 -10.0% -18.6% 47% 47% +9.1%
≤30d 136 -29.2% -36.0% 32% 32% -16.2%
≤90d 328 -16.8% -24.7% 37% 34% -13.8%
all 407 -8.2% -16.9% 43% 40% -10.6%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover3.7 tr/day
realistic slip~7%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -16.9% 40% -10.6%
10% -24.9% 38% -19.1%
15% -32.1% 36% -26.9%
20% -38.8% 30% -34.1%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $40.95 · official $40.95 (match) · 1051 history records