Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T03:35:45+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

BE
0xbeec…707b
sports · 1528 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$378 -4%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$419 · open +$31
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP Fading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$431
Realized−$419
Unrealized+$31
Win rate (resolved)60%
Wins / losses862 / 575
Est. fees paid−$57
Open positions91
Markets (closed)1437 / 1528
History coverage46d
Avg bet$7
Trades / day66.7
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit87%
Chart Positions 91 History 1437 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$6
7 days−$104
14 days−$242
30 days−$649
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Shogo Taniguchi be in Japan's Starting 11? No 8¢ 55¢ $3 $23 +$19 (+591%)
Will Tsuyoshi Watanabe be in Japan's Starting 11? No 10¢ 35¢ $5 $18 +$12 (+250%)
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 82-83°F on June 13? Yes 24¢ 34¢ $9 $13 +$4 (+40%)
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? Yes 2¢ 6¢ $5 $12 +$7 (+150%)
Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by June 30? Yes 7¢ 15¢ $5 $11 +$6 (+127%)
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? Yes 7¢ 14¢ $5 $10 +$5 (+108%)
Will J.D. Vance attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting? Yes 21¢ 43¢ $5 $10 +$5 (+107%)
Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the second round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election by 0-5%? Yes 10¢ 16¢ $5 $8 +$3 (+65%)
Will the JNE certify results of the second round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential elections by July 15? No 39¢ 57¢ $5 $7 +$2 (+47%)
Will an Anthropic Claude model score at least 45% on Humanity’s Last Exam? No 33¢ 48¢ $5 $7 +$2 (+47%)
Will João Cancelo be in Portugal's Starting 11? No 10¢ 14¢ $5 $7 +$2 (+40%)
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 20°C on June 13? Yes 58¢ 74¢ $5 $6 +$1 (+27%)
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by July 31, 2026? Yes 62¢ 78¢ $5 $6 +$1 (+27%)
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 22°C on June 13? Yes 34¢ 40¢ $5 $6 +$1 (+18%)
Will Trump attend 1 World Cup match? No 38¢ 44¢ $5 $6 +$1 (+17%)
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 30°C on June 14? Yes 29¢ 34¢ $5 $6 +$1 (+16%)
Will Yuto Nagatomo be in Japan's Starting 11? Yes 10¢ 12¢ $5 $6 +$1 (+15%)
Will there be 15+ missed penalties during the 2026 FIFA World Cup? No 76¢ 84¢ $5 $6 +$1 (+11%)
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 16°C on June 14? Yes 34¢ 38¢ $5 $6 +$1 (+10%)
Will Trump speak to Ahmed al-Sharaa in June? Yes 60¢ 66¢ $5 $5 +$0 (+9%)
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 33°C on June 14? Yes 27¢ 30¢ $5 $5 +$0 (+9%)
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C on June 14? Yes 32¢ 34¢ $5 $5 +$0 (+8%)
Will Trump attend 3 or more World Cup matches? Yes 12¢ 12¢ $5 $5 +$0 (+4%)
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by July 31, 2026? Yes 13¢ 14¢ $5 $5 +$0 (+4%)
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 29°C on June 14? Yes 26¢ 27¢ $5 $5 +$0 (+4%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 31°C on June 13? Jun 13 $5 +$1 +10%
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 80-81°F on June 13? Jun 13 $5 $0 +6%
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 3.5 Jun 13 $10 $0 +4%
Audax CS Italiano vs. CD La Serena: O/U 1.5 Jun 13 $5 −$1 -18%
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? Jun 13 $10 $0 +4%
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 25°C on June 13? Jun 13 $5 −$2 -33%
United States vs. Paraguay: Both Teams to Score Jun 13 $5 +$7 +143%
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? Jun 13 $20 +$12 +57%
Will the announcers say "Pressure" during the USA vs Paraguay FIFA Wor Jun 13 $4 +$1 +28%
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 27°C on June 13? Jun 13 $5 −$1 -14%
United States vs. Paraguay: 1st Half O/U 1.5 Jun 13 $10 +$3 +34%
Spread: United States (-1.5) Jun 13 $5 +$2 +30%
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 1.5 Jun 13 $5 +$1 +16%
Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-12? Jun 13 $10 $0 -2%
Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 78-79°F on June 13? Jun 13 $5 −$1 -19%
Will United States vs. Paraguay end in a draw? Jun 13 $5 $0 -1%
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 76-77°F on June 12? Jun 13 $5 $0 +10%
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on June 13? Jun 13 $5 −$1 -10%
Will CR Brasil win on 2026-06-12? Jun 12 $10 −$9 -94%
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 72-73°F on June Jun 12 $5 +$15 +297%
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 74-75°F on June Jun 12 $10 +$7 +63%
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on June 14? Jun 12 $5 −$1 -27%
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on June 13? Jun 12 $7 $0 -4%
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 70-71°F on June 12? Jun 12 $5 +$1 +12%
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 96-97°F on Ju Jun 12 $5 +$2 +37%
Shelbourne FC vs. Shamrock Rovers: O/U 2.5 Jun 12 $10 $0 +2%
Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 94-95°F on June 12? Jun 12 $5 $0 +3%
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 76-77°F on Ju Jun 12 $5 −$1 -10%
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 94-95°F on June 12? Jun 12 $5 +$1 +18%
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 76-77°F on June Jun 12 $5 +$2 +35%
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 28°C on June 13? Jun 12 $5 −$4 -70%
Canada vs. Bosnia-Herzegovina: Bosnia-Herzegovina O/U 1.5 Jun 12 $5 −$3 -50%
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 1.5 Jun 12 $10 −$10 -97%
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 78-79°F on June Jun 12 $5 $0 +3%
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 29°C or higher on June 13? Jun 12 $5 $0 +5%
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 84-85°F on Ju Jun 12 $5 $0 +6%
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 2.5 Jun 12 $5 $0 -7%
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 92-93°F on June 12? Jun 12 $5 $0 +5%
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 90-91°F on June 12? Jun 12 $5 +$6 +124%
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 82-83°F on Ju Jun 12 $5 +$1 +24%
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 31°C on June 13? Jun 12 $5 +$1 +26%
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 80-81°F on Ju Jun 12 $10 $0 -1%
Shelbourne FC vs. Shamrock Rovers: O/U 4.5 Jun 12 $10 −$5 -54%
Spread: Shelbourne FC (-2.5) Jun 12 $5 −$3 -62%
Shelbourne FC vs. Shamrock Rovers: O/U 1.5 Jun 12 $5 −$1 -11%
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit - Map 2 Winner Jun 12 $5 $0 +4%
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 30°C on June 13? Jun 12 $5 $0 +3%
Tucuman: Guido Justo vs Thiago Cigarran Jun 12 $5 $0 -10%
Will Future perform "Sh!t" at 2026 FIFA Opening Ceremony? Jun 12 $5 −$2 -35%
Will Future perform "PUFFIN ON ZOOTIEZ" at 2026 FIFA Opening Ceremony? Jun 12 $5 −$2 -36%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 44% −$446
weather 24% +$83
other 13% +$45
crypto 7% −$80
tech 3% −$27
world 3% +$19
finance 2% +$16
politics 2% +$5
culture 0% −$2
economics 0% −$1
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 31°C on June 13? SELL Yes 37¢ $4 20m
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 80-81°F on June 13? SELL Yes 29¢ $3 34m
Next Mythos-Class Model released by July 31, 2026? BUY No 63¢ $5 36m
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 3.5 SELL Over 100¢ $5 41m
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 3.5 SELL Over 100¢ $5 43m
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 25°C on June 13? SELL No 58¢ $3 49m
United States vs. Paraguay: Both Teams to Score SELL Yes 99¢ $7 57m
United States vs. Paraguay: Both Teams to Score SELL Yes 99¢ $6 57m
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 3.5 BUY Over 97¢ $5 58m
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 3.5 BUY Over 95¢ $5 58m
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? SELL Yes 99¢ $21 1h
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 84-85°F on June 13? BUY No 77¢ $5 1h
United States vs. Paraguay: Both Teams to Score BUY Yes 40¢ $5 1h
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 84-85°F on June 13? SELL No 73¢ $5 1h
Will the announcers say "Pressure" during the USA vs Paraguay FIFA Wor SELL Yes 100¢ $5 1h
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 31°C on June 13? SELL Yes 26¢ $2 1h
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 27°C on June 13? SELL Yes 32¢ $3 1h
United States vs. Paraguay: 1st Half O/U 1.5 SELL Over 100¢ $6 1h
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 82-83°F on June 14? BUY No 94¢ $5 2h
Spread: United States (-1.5) SELL United States 67¢ $3 2h
Spread: United States (-1.5) SELL United States 64¢ $3 2h
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 1.5 SELL Over 99¢ $6 2h
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? SELL Yes 87¢ $6 2h
United States vs. Paraguay: 1st Half O/U 1.5 SELL Over 40¢ $5 2h
United States vs. Paraguay: 1st Half O/U 1.5 SELL Over 40¢ $3 2h
Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-12? SELL No 92¢ $5 2h
Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-12? SELL No 92¢ $5 2h
Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-12? BUY No 92¢ $5 2h
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 76¢ $5 2h
United States vs. Paraguay: 1st Half O/U 1.5 BUY Over 42¢ $5 2h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +45%
net ROI/market (all)-12.6%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 206 -9.6% -18.2% 47% 24% -13.0%
≤30d 1368 -6.3% -15.2% 58% 43% -15.8%
≤90d 1437 -3.4% -12.6% 60% 45% -13.1%
all 1437 -3.4% -12.6% 60% 45% -13.1%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover66.7 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -12.6% 45% -13.1%
10% ← realistic here -21.0% 30% -21.4%
15% -28.6% 19% -29.0%
20% -35.6% 13% -36.0%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
≈ Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $431.17 · official $424.99 · 3500 history records