Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T11:52:10+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

BE
0xbee8…5cda
crypto · 30 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
+$0 +0%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$4 · open −$6
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover⚠ Small sample
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$3
Realized−$4
Unrealized−$6
Win rate (resolved)72%
Wins / losses21 / 8
Open positions1
Markets (closed)29 / 30
History coverage1d
Avg bet$7
Trades / day97.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 1 History 29 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$4
7 days−$4
14 days−$4
30 days−$4
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET Up 85¢ 100¢ $1 $2 +$0 (+18%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET Down 94¢ 100¢ $1 $2 +$0 (+6%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET Down 84¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-99%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET Down 56¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET Down 70¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET Up 1¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET Up 67¢ 0¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET Down 30¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET Jun 14 $10 −$3 -30%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET Jun 14 $25 −$8 -32%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET Jun 14 $15 +$3 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET Jun 14 $6 −$1 -10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET Jun 14 $13 +$1 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET Jun 14 $10 −$1 -8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET Jun 14 $4 $0 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET Jun 14 $15 −$4 -24%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET Jun 14 $4 +$2 +42%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET Jun 14 $2 $0 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET Jun 14 $11 +$2 +17%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET Jun 14 $10 +$1 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET Jun 14 $9 +$2 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET Jun 14 $2 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET Jun 14 $11 −$2 -18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET Jun 14 $7 +$1 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET Jun 14 $8 +$1 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET Jun 14 $8 +$1 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET Jun 14 $7 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET Jun 14 $6 +$1 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET Jun 14 $7 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET Jun 14 $3 −$1 -48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET Jun 14 $2 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET Jun 14 $7 +$3 +42%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET Jun 14 $3 +$1 +24%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET Jun 14 $4 −$4 -94%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$10
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET BUY Down 86¢ $4 3m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET BUY Down 81¢ $2 4m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET SELL Down 99¢ $6 6m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET BUY Down 96¢ $6 7m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET SELL Up 12¢ $1 7m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET BUY Up 52¢ $2 9m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET BUY Up 47¢ $2 10m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET SELL Down 99¢ $9 11m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET BUY Down 89¢ $8 12m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET SELL Down 55¢ $8 12m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET BUY Down 53¢ $8 14m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET BUY Up 74¢ $2 15m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET BUY Up 65¢ $2 15m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET BUY Up 61¢ $2 16m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET BUY Up 70¢ $2 16m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET SELL Up 99¢ $16 17m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET BUY Up 78¢ $13 20m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET SELL Up 51¢ $2 20m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET BUY Up 56¢ $2 21m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET SELL Up 99¢ $5 22m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET BUY Up 81¢ $2 23m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET SELL Down 14¢ $0 24m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET BUY Up 75¢ $2 24m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET BUY Down 68¢ $2 25m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET SELL Up 99¢ $14 27m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET BUY Up 95¢ $12 28m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET BUY Up 75¢ $1 29m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET SELL Down 99¢ $9 32m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET BUY Down 89¢ $8 34m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET SELL Up 9¢ $0 34m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +34%
net ROI/market (all)-17.6%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 29 -8.9% -17.6% 72% 34% -11.0%
≤30d 29 -8.9% -17.6% 72% 34% -11.0%
≤90d 29 -8.9% -17.6% 72% 34% -11.0%
all 29 -8.9% -17.6% 72% 34% -11.0%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover97.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -17.6% 34% -11.0%
10% ← realistic here -25.5% 10% -19.5%
15% -32.7% 7% -27.3%
20% -39.3% 0% -34.4%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $3.36 · official $3.36 (match) · 97 history records