Wallet analysis

2026-06-17T19:27:14+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
BE 0xbedd…1587 crypto 262 markets active 5d ago coverage 84d
TRAPdo not copy crypto specialist
✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ wins on margins thinner than slippage
Total PnL −$29 (-2%) realized −$29 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -2% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -15% what you keep after slip
Net edge-15%after slip
Net WR1%break-even
Win rate95%249W / 13L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$5per market
Trades / day3.1pace
Fees−$0est.
Kalshi-fit88%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days$0
7 days+$4
14 days+$2
30 days+$2
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 82% −$11
other 12% −$17
finance 3% +$1
tech 2% +$1
sports 1% −$5
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +1%
net ROI/market (all)-11.7%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 24 +3.2% -6.6% 100% 4% -6.7%
≤30d 53 +0.9% -8.7% 98% 2% -8.7%
≤90d 262 -2.4% -11.7% 95% 1% -11.7%
all 262 -2.4% -11.7% 95% 1% -11.7%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover3.1 tr/day
realistic slip~7%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -11.7% 1% -11.7%
10% -20.2% 0% -20.1%
15% -27.9% 0% -27.9%
20% -35.0% 0% -34.9%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 2% · top 2 4% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -2% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
97% wins margin < slip most wins thinner than slippage → losses for you
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -2% · $-wt -2% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early -4% → late -0% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
1.0 add-ons/market flat bettor — clean entries
Win / loss size
+$0 vs −$5 · ×0.03 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.51 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

84d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized−$29
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)95%
Wins / losses249 / 13
Est. fees paid−$0
Open positions0
Markets (closed)262 / 262
History coverage84d
Avg bet$5
Trades / day3.1
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit88%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 262 Trades
no open positions
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +7%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +1%
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +1%
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +1%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +2%
XRP Up or Down - June 11, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +6%
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $90 on June 11? Jun 11 $5 $0 +1%
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $86 on June 11? Jun 11 $5 $0 +3%
BNB Up or Down - June 11, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET Jun 11 $2 $0 +2%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET Jun 11 $5 $0 +10%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET Jun 11 $5 $0 +1%
XRP Up or Down on June 11? Jun 11 $5 $0 +2%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET Jun 11 $5 $0 +2%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET Jun 11 $5 $0 +3%
XRP Up or Down - June 11, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET Jun 11 $5 $0 +1%
BNB Up or Down - June 11, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET Jun 11 $5 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET Jun 11 $5 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET Jun 11 $5 $0 +6%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET Jun 11 $5 $0 +1%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET Jun 11 $5 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET Jun 11 $5 $0 +4%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET Jun 11 $4 +$1 +14%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET Jun 10 $5 $0 +5%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 2PM ET Jun 10 $5 $0 +2%
BNB Up or Down - June 10, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET Jun 10 $5 $0 +1%
XRP Up or Down - June 10, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET Jun 10 $5 $0 +1%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 10, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET Jun 10 $5 $0 +1%
BNB Up or Down - June 10, 10AM ET Jun 10 $4 −$4 -100%
BNB Up or Down - June 10, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET Jun 10 $5 $0 +1%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET Jun 10 $5 $0 +3%
Solana Up or Down - June 10, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET Jun 10 $5 $0 +4%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 10, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET Jun 10 $5 $0 +2%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 10, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET Jun 10 $5 $0 +4%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET Jun 10 $5 $0 +10%
Solana Up or Down - June 10, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET Jun 10 $5 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET Jun 10 $5 $0 +1%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 10, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET Jun 10 $5 $0 +1%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 10, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET Jun 10 $5 $0 +4%
XRP Up or Down - June 10, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET Jun 10 $5 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET Jun 10 $5 $0 +9%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET Jun 10 $5 $0 +1%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 10, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET Jun 10 $5 $0 +1%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 10, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET Jun 10 $5 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET Jun 10 $5 $0 +4%
BNB Up or Down - June 10, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET Jun 10 $5 $0 +7%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET Jun 10 $5 $0 +1%
XRP Up or Down - June 9, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET Jun 10 $5 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET Jun 10 $5 $0 +1%
BNB Up or Down - June 9, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET Jun 09 $5 $0 +1%
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $88 on June 9? Jun 09 $5 $0 +2%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET BUY Down 93¢ $5 5d
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $5 5d
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $5 5d
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET BUY Down 98¢ $5 5d
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $5 5d
XRP Up or Down - June 11, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET BUY Down 94¢ $5 5d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET BUY Down 91¢ $5 5d
BNB Up or Down - June 11, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET BUY Down 98¢ $2 5d
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $90 on June 11? BUY No 99¢ $5 5d
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $86 on June 11? BUY Yes 97¢ $5 5d
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $5 6d
XRP Up or Down on June 11? BUY Down 98¢ $5 6d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET BUY Down 98¢ $5 6d
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET BUY Up 97¢ $5 6d
XRP Up or Down - June 11, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $5 6d
BNB Up or Down - June 11, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $5 6d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $5 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET BUY Up 94¢ $5 6d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $5 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET BUY Down 96¢ $5 6d
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $5 6d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET BUY Up 87¢ $4 6d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET BUY Down 95¢ $5 6d
BNB Up or Down - June 10, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $5 7d
XRP Up or Down - June 10, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $5 7d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 2PM ET BUY Down 98¢ $5 7d
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 10, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $5 7d
BNB Up or Down - June 10, 10AM ET BUY Down 90¢ $4 7d
BNB Up or Down - June 10, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $5 7d
Solana Up or Down - June 10, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET BUY Up 96¢ $5 7d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 525 history records