Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T10:48:11+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

BE
0xbed7…0f89
sports · 4 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$52 -27%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$57 · open −$1
avoidriskycopy
~ RISKY sports specialist⚠ Small sample
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$41
Realized−$57
Unrealized−$1
Win rate (resolved)33%
Wins / losses1 / 2
Est. fees paid−$5
Open positions1
Markets (closed)3 / 4
History coverage17d
Avg bet$48
Trades / day0.8
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 1 History 3 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$51
7 days−$51
14 days−$51
30 days−$57
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI Gen.G 51¢ 58¢ $19 $22 +$3 (+14%)
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI T1 43¢ 42¢ $20 $19 −$1 (-3%)
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI T1 35¢ 0¢ $51 $0 −$51 (-100%)
LoL: KT Rolster vs T1 (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2 KT Rolster 24¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI Jun 13 $5 +$1 +12%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI Jun 12 $58 −$51 -89%
LoL: KT Rolster vs T1 (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2 May 28 $6 −$6 -98%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 100% −$57
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI BUY T1 43¢ $20 29m
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI SELL Gen.G 57¢ $45 38m
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI SELL T1 65¢ $5 1h
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI BUY Gen.G 34¢ $20 1h
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI SELL T1 67¢ $74 1h
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI BUY Gen.G 69¢ $40 1h
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI BUY T1 34¢ $41 1h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI SELL Hanwha Life Esports 99¢ $10 46h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI BUY T1 35¢ $52 2d
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI BUY Gen.G 89¢ $5 4d
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI BUY Hanwha Life Esports 51¢ $5 11d
LoL: KT Rolster vs T1 (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2 BUY KT Rolster 23¢ $3 16d
LoL: KT Rolster vs T1 (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2 BUY KT Rolster 25¢ $3 17d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
insufficient sample — too few resolved markets to judge
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +33%
net ROI/market (all)-66.2%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 2 -44.0% -49.3% 50% 50% -91.0%
≤30d 3 -62.7% -66.2% 33% 33% -91.8%
≤90d 3 -62.7% -66.2% 33% 33% -91.8%
all 3 -62.7% -66.2% 33% 33% -91.8%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover0.8 tr/day
realistic slip~5%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -66.2% 33% -91.8%
10% -69.5% 0% -92.6%
15% -72.4% 0% -93.3%
20% -75.1% 0% -94.0%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $40.95 · official $40.95 (match) · 14 history records