Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T16:08:14+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

BE
0xbed0…3c7d
sports · 1214 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$6,119 -36%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$6,119 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$8
Realized−$6,119
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)33%
Wins / losses498 / 1019
Est. fees paid−$205
Open positions1
Markets (closed)1517 / 1214
History coverage36d
Avg bet$14
Trades / day93.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit59%
Chart Positions 1 History 1517 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$5,135
7 days−$5,103
14 days−$5,265
30 days−$5,264
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
HSBC Championships: Iva Jovic vs Amanda Anisimova Iva Jovic 51¢ 50¢ $8 $8 −$0 (-3%)
Will UD Las Palmas win on 2026-05-24? Yes 34¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Celtics vs. Heat Heat 43¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Timberwolves vs. Bucks Bucks 57¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
UFC Fight Night: Geoff Neal vs. Uros Medic (Welterweight, Prelims) Geoff Neal 66¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Atlanta Braves vs. Miami Marlins Atlanta Braves 49¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Stars vs. Ducks Stars 54¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Will América FC win on 2026-06-08? Yes 39¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Will RS Berkane win on 2026-05-04? Yes 45¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Will Norway win on 2026-06-07? Yes 23¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Will Stade Brestois 29 win on 2026-05-17? Yes 35¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
San Francisco Giants vs. Milwaukee Brewers Milwaukee Brewers 56¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
LoL: BNK FearX Youth vs HANJIN BRION Challengers (BO3) BNK FearX Youth 50¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Seahawks vs. 49ers 49ers 43¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Will CS Independiente Rivadavia win on 2026-02-14? Yes 41¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Will Real Oviedo vs. Espanyol end in a draw? Yes 43¢ 0¢ $11 $0 −$11 (-100%)
Canucks vs. Kraken Kraken 49¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: ARCRED vs WW Team (BO3) - IZI WEX Playoffs WW Team 43¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
New York Mets vs. Los Angeles Angels Los Angeles Angels 51¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Cardinals vs. Padres Cardinals 38¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Will Nigeria win on 2025-11-16? Yes 7¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Baltimore Orioles vs. Kansas City Royals Baltimore Orioles 47¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Knicks vs. Hornets Knicks 45¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Blues vs. Sabres Sabres 56¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
UFC Fight Night: Alexa Grasso vs. Maycee Barber (Women's Flyweight, Main Card) Maycee Barber 64¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Celtics vs. Heat Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Timberwolves vs. Bucks Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
UFC Fight Night: Geoff Neal vs. Uros Medic (Welterweight, Prelims) Jun 12 $10 −$10 -99%
Stars vs. Ducks Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Will RS Berkane win on 2026-05-04? Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
LoL: BNK FearX Youth vs HANJIN BRION Challengers (BO3) Jun 12 $6 −$6 -100%
Seahawks vs. 49ers Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Will CS Independiente Rivadavia win on 2026-02-14? Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Will Real Oviedo vs. Espanyol end in a draw? Jun 12 $11 −$11 -100%
Canucks vs. Kraken Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Counter-Strike: ARCRED vs WW Team (BO3) - IZI WEX Playoffs Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
New York Mets vs. Los Angeles Angels Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Cardinals vs. Padres Jun 12 $20 −$20 -100%
Will Nigeria win on 2025-11-16? Jun 12 $3 −$61 -2048%
Baltimore Orioles vs. Kansas City Royals Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Knicks vs. Hornets Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Blues vs. Sabres Jun 12 $20 −$20 -100%
UFC Fight Night: Alexa Grasso vs. Maycee Barber (Women's Flyweight, Ma Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Katie Boulter vs Eva Lys Jun 12 $10 −$10 -105%
Will PFK Krylia Sovetov Samara win on 2026-04-21? Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Will Al Ettifaq Saudi Club win on 2026-01-21? Jun 12 $5 −$17 -328%
Rolex Monte Carlo Masters: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Casper Ruud Jun 12 $13 −$13 -100%
Will FK Spartak Moskva win on 2026-05-01? Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Oilers vs. Maple Leafs Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
AHL: Colorado Eagles vs. Rockford IceHogs Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Jazz vs. Grizzlies Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Will Le Mans FC win on 2026-04-25? Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Internazionali BNL d'Italia, Qualification: Kimberly Birrell vs Yue Yu Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Will CSD Colo-Colo vs. CF Universidad de Chile end in a draw? Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Will Western Sydney Wanderers FC win on 2025-12-27? Jun 12 $14 −$14 -100%
Devils vs. Bruins Jun 12 $7 −$7 -100%
Will 1. FC Köln win on 2026-03-21? Jun 12 $10 −$14 -142%
Miami Marlins vs. San Francisco Giants Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Will Mallorca win on 2025-10-26? Jun 12 $7 −$7 -100%
Blue Jackets vs. Devils Jun 12 $10 −$20 -200%
76ers vs. Cavaliers Jun 12 $16 −$16 -100%
Suns vs. Bucks Jun 12 $14 −$14 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 10, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Baltimore Orioles vs. Chicago White Sox Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Big Bash League: Melbourne Renegades vs Sydney Sixers (Game 1) Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Magic vs. Pistons Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Los Angeles Angels vs. Kansas City Royals Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Will RFK Akhmat Groznyi vs. FK Sochi end in a draw? Jun 12 $7 −$7 -100%
Devils vs. Hurricanes Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
AHL: Bakersfield Condors vs. Henderson Silver Knights Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Pelicans vs. Jazz Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Stars vs. Kings Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Penguins vs. Islanders Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Will FC Famalicão win on 2026-04-10? Jun 12 $1 −$6 -520%
Wild vs. Kings Jun 12 $50 −$50 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 59% −$204
other 40% −$708
crypto 1% −$16
world 0% −$3
finance 0% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
HSBC Championships: Iva Jovic vs Amanda Anisimova BUY Iva Jovic 51¢ $8 3m
Lyon: Daniel Galan vs Kimmer Coppejans SELL Kimmer Coppejans 22¢ $3 4m
Lyon: Daniel Galan vs Kimmer Coppejans BUY Kimmer Coppejans 50¢ $6 4m
Lyon: Daniel Galan vs Kimmer Coppejans SELL Kimmer Coppejans 39¢ $2 6m
Lyon: Daniel Galan vs Kimmer Coppejans BUY Kimmer Coppejans 47¢ $2 8m
Lyon: Daniel Galan vs Kimmer Coppejans SELL Kimmer Coppejans 38¢ $7 9m
Lyon: Daniel Galan vs Kimmer Coppejans BUY Kimmer Coppejans 56¢ $5 11m
Ilkley: Dane Sweeny vs Billy Harris SELL Billy Harris 43¢ $5 11m
Lyon: Daniel Galan vs Kimmer Coppejans BUY Kimmer Coppejans 53¢ $5 11m
Ilkley: Dane Sweeny vs Billy Harris BUY Billy Harris 42¢ $5 13m
Lyon: Daniel Galan vs Kimmer Coppejans SELL Kimmer Coppejans 29¢ $5 14m
Lyon: Daniel Galan vs Kimmer Coppejans BUY Kimmer Coppejans 62¢ $5 18m
Ilkley: Dane Sweeny vs Billy Harris SELL Billy Harris 39¢ $4 18m
Will Kawkab AC win on 2026-06-12? SELL Yes 3¢ $1 22m
Ilkley: Dane Sweeny vs Billy Harris BUY Billy Harris 43¢ $5 22m
Lyon: Daniel Galan vs Kimmer Coppejans BUY Kimmer Coppejans 63¢ $6 26m
Cattolica: Raul Brancaccio vs Roberto Carballes Baena SELL Roberto Carballes Baena 89¢ $31 27m
Cattolica: Raul Brancaccio vs Roberto Carballes Baena BUY Roberto Carballes Baena 63¢ $3 37m
Bratislava: Zsombor Piros vs Taro Daniel SELL Zsombor Piros 50¢ $3 37m
Cattolica: Raul Brancaccio vs Roberto Carballes Baena BUY Roberto Carballes Baena 63¢ $1 38m
Libema Open: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Kamil Majchrzak SELL Felix Auger-Aliassime 29¢ $1 38m
Cattolica: Raul Brancaccio vs Roberto Carballes Baena BUY Roberto Carballes Baena 56¢ $11 43m
Bratislava: Zsombor Piros vs Taro Daniel BUY Zsombor Piros 51¢ $3 44m
Libema Open: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Kamil Majchrzak BUY Felix Auger-Aliassime 41¢ $2 44m
Cattolica: Raul Brancaccio vs Roberto Carballes Baena BUY Roberto Carballes Baena 56¢ $5 44m
Lyon: Daniel Galan vs Kimmer Coppejans SELL Kimmer Coppejans 44¢ $5 48m
Cattolica: Raul Brancaccio vs Roberto Carballes Baena SELL Raul Brancaccio 38¢ $1 49m
Libema Open: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Kamil Majchrzak SELL Felix Auger-Aliassime 35¢ $1 49m
Will Kawkab AC win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 28¢ $5 52m
Lyon: Daniel Galan vs Kimmer Coppejans BUY Kimmer Coppejans 67¢ $7 55m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +31%
net ROI/market (all)-29.1%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 681 -49.4% -54.3% 22% 20% -58.5%
≤30d 1300 -22.9% -30.3% 32% 30% -35.8%
≤90d 1517 -21.6% -29.1% 33% 31% -34.1%
all 1517 -21.6% -29.1% 33% 31% -34.1%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover93.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -29.1% 31% -34.1%
10% ← realistic here -35.8% 29% -40.4%
15% -42.0% 26% -46.2%
20% -47.7% 22% -51.4%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $7.76 · official $7.76 (match) · 3500 history records