Wallet analysis

2026-06-17T08:58:00+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
BE 0xbecc…5672 sports 211 markets active 2d ago coverage 158d
TRAPdo not copy sports specialist
✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ 90-day edge negative — edge has died
Total PnL −$2,068 (-11%) realized −$2,068 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -26% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -33% what you keep after slip
Net edge-33%after slip
Net WR31%break-even
Win rate33%69W / 142L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$86per market
Trades / day2.1pace
Fees−$258est.
Kalshi-fit96%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$278
7 days−$601
14 days−$1,091
30 days−$1,382
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
sports 80% −$1,160
crypto 15% −$1,207
other 6% −$49
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +31%
net ROI/market (all)-33.4%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 69 -15.3% -23.3% 36% 36% -19.3%
≤30d 180 -23.1% -30.5% 34% 33% -17.9%
≤90d 181 -22.8% -30.2% 35% 34% -17.6%
all 211 -26.4% -33.4% 33% 31% -21.8%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover2.1 tr/day
realistic slip~5%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -33.4% 31% -21.8%
10% -39.8% 31% -29.3%
15% -45.6% 30% -36.1%
20% -50.9% 30% -42.4%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 6% · top 2 10% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -9% edge died — 90d negative
Fragile wins
4% wins margin < slip solid win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -26% · $-wt -14% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early -29% → late -24% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
1.3 add-ons/market flat bettor — clean entries
Win / loss size
+$114 vs −$72 · ×1.57 wins bigger than losses
Profit factor
×0.76 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

158d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized−$2,068
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)33%
Wins / losses69 / 142
Est. fees paid−$258
Open positions0
Markets (closed)211 / 211
History coverage158d
Avg bet$86
Trades / day2.1
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit96%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 211 Trades
no open positions (136 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
LoL: Solary vs Galions (BO5) - EMEA Masters Playoffs Jun 15 $23 −$23 -98%
Spain vs. Cabo Verde: Spain O/U 3.5 Jun 15 $41 −$40 -98%
Spread: Spain (-3.5) Jun 15 $20 −$19 -98%
LoL: Solary vs Galions - Game 1 Winner Jun 15 $46 −$45 -98%
Spread: Spain (-4.5) Jun 15 $27 −$27 -98%
Game Handicap: SLY (-2.5) vs Galions (+2.5) Jun 15 $31 −$30 -98%
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs FUT Esports - Map 1 Winner Jun 15 $48 −$47 -98%
Counter-Strike: Bebop vs RUSTEC (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #4 Group Sta Jun 15 $21 −$21 -99%
Counter-Strike: 9z vs TheMongolz (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 15 $27 −$27 -98%
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI Jun 14 $48 −$47 -98%
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 3 Winner Jun 14 $21 +$27 +126%
Spread: Indiana Fever (-10.5) Jun 13 $28 −$28 -99%
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? Jun 13 $51 −$50 -98%
Spread: Brazil (-1.5) Jun 13 $60 −$59 -98%
Spread: New York Yankees (-1.5) Jun 13 $51 +$88 +172%
LoL: Team Heretics Academy vs Eintracht Spandau (BO5) - EMEA Masters P Jun 13 $51 −$50 -98%
Fenerbahce vs. Besiktas Jun 13 $51 +$127 +249%
Spread: Switzerland (-2.5) Jun 13 $50 −$49 -98%
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs FURIA (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage Jun 13 $59 −$58 -98%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 Jun 13 $68 +$55 +81%
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 13 $63 +$41 +65%
Ilkley: Mary Stoiana vs Celine Naef Jun 13 $20 −$20 -98%
Halle Open, Qualification: Martin Landaluce vs Marc-Andrea Huesler Jun 13 $27 +$27 +97%
Counter-Strike: struggletony vs MASONIC - Map 2 Winner Jun 13 $24 −$24 -98%
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winner Jun 13 $84 −$83 -98%
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? Jun 13 $51 +$58 +114%
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 8.5 Total Corners Jun 12 $23 −$23 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET Jun 12 $26 −$25 -96%
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? Jun 12 $102 −$100 -98%
Game Handicap: KCB (-1.5) vs Forsaken (+1.5) Jun 12 $112 +$90 +81%
Spread: Canada (-1.5) Jun 12 $87 −$85 -98%
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag Jun 12 $112 −$110 -98%
Stuttgart Open: Mattia Bellucci vs Taylor Fritz Jun 12 $103 −$13 -13%
LoL: G2 NORD vs WLGaming Esports (BO3) - EMEA Masters Group C Jun 12 $8 −$8 -98%
Stuttgart Open: Jiri Lehecka vs Frances Tiafoe Jun 12 $102 −$100 -98%
Counter-Strike: SPARTA vs GenOne (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #4 Group St Jun 12 $205 −$200 -98%
Stuttgart Open: Ben Shelton vs Marcos Giron Jun 12 $101 +$84 +82%
Set 2 Winner: Perricard vs Bublik Jun 12 $96 +$59 +62%
Libema Open: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Kamil Majchrzak Jun 12 $140 −$137 -98%
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 12 $102 +$235 +230%
Libema Open: Zeynep Sonmez vs Magda Linette Jun 12 $107 +$151 +141%
Libema Open: Nuno Borges vs Marin Cilic Jun 12 $51 +$199 +388%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI Jun 12 $98 −$96 -98%
Game Handicap: T1 (-1.5) vs Hanwha Life Esports (+1.5) Jun 12 $124 −$122 -98%
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: Both Teams to Score Jun 11 $101 −$100 -99%
Chicago Cubs vs. Colorado Rockies: O/U 12.5 Jun 11 $101 +$81 +80%
Mexico vs. South Africa: O/U 2.5 Jun 11 $3 −$3 -98%
Texas Rangers vs. Kansas City Royals: O/U 10.5 Jun 11 $102 −$100 -98%
Stuttgart Open: Martin Landaluce vs Taylor Fritz Jun 11 $142 +$108 +76%
Counter-Strike: Bebop vs Oxuji Esports (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #4 Gr Jun 11 $28 −$27 -98%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
LoL: Solary vs Galions (BO5) - EMEA Masters Playoffs BUY Solary 50¢ $23 41h
Spain vs. Cabo Verde: Spain O/U 3.5 BUY Over 43¢ $41 41h
Spread: Spain (-3.5) BUY Spain 37¢ $20 41h
LoL: Solary vs Galions - Game 1 Winner BUY Solary 37¢ $46 41h
Spread: Spain (-4.5) BUY Spain 22¢ $27 41h
Game Handicap: SLY (-2.5) vs Galions (+2.5) BUY Solary 22¢ $31 42h
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs FUT Esports - Map 1 Winner BUY FUT Esports 20¢ $31 42h
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs FUT Esports - Map 1 Winner BUY FUT Esports 39¢ $17 42h
Counter-Strike: Bebop vs RUSTEC (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #4 Group Sta BUY RUSTEC 51¢ $21 42h
Counter-Strike: 9z vs TheMongolz (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY TheMongolz 22¢ $27 43h
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI BUY Gen.G 37¢ $48 2d
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 3 Winner SELL T1 99¢ $48 2d
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 3 Winner BUY T1 43¢ $21 3d
Spread: Indiana Fever (-10.5) BUY Indiana Fever 51¢ $28 3d
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 45¢ $51 3d
Spread: Brazil (-1.5) BUY Brazil 31¢ $60 3d
Spread: New York Yankees (-1.5) SELL New York Yankees 100¢ $139 3d
Spread: New York Yankees (-1.5) BUY New York Yankees 36¢ $51 3d
LoL: Team Heretics Academy vs Eintracht Spandau (BO5) - EMEA Masters P BUY Team Heretics Academy 31¢ $51 3d
Fenerbahce vs. Besiktas SELL Besiktas 99¢ $178 3d
Spread: Switzerland (-2.5) BUY Switzerland 36¢ $50 3d
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs FURIA (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage BUY BetBoom Team 40¢ $59 3d
Fenerbahce vs. Besiktas BUY Besiktas 28¢ $51 3d
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 SELL Under 99¢ $123 3d
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 SELL MOUZ 19¢ $37 3d
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 BUY Under 54¢ $68 3d
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 SELL MOUZ 31¢ $68 3d
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY MOUZ 15¢ $63 3d
Ilkley: Mary Stoiana vs Celine Naef BUY Mary Stoiana 17¢ $20 3d
Halle Open, Qualification: Martin Landaluce vs Marc-Andrea Huesler SELL Martin Landaluce 100¢ $54 3d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 351 history records