Wallet analysis

2026-06-17T23:38:49+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
BE 0xbeb6…714a crypto 419 markets active 1h ago coverage 8d ⚠
BOTnot copyable crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover⚠ Covers last 7d onlyP/L from Polymarket (history capped)
✗ bot/MM pace (387 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ on-chain reconstruction ≠ official P&L (longshot/capped history)✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ wins on margins thinner than slippage
Total PnL +$3,263 (+9%) realized +$3,263 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt +2% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -21% what you keep after slip
Net edge-21%after slip
Net WR9%break-even
Win rate49%206W / 213L
Drawdown19%max
Avg bet$87per market
Trades / day387.1pace
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% +$339
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (387 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +9%
net ROI/market (all)-7.5%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 332 +0.3% -9.2% 47% 9% -9.5%
≤30d 419 +2.3% -7.5% 49% 9% -8.7%
≤90d 419 +2.3% -7.5% 49% 9% -8.7%
all 419 +2.3% -7.5% 49% 9% -8.7%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover387.1 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -7.5% 9% -8.7%
10% ← realistic here -16.3% 2% -17.4%
15% -24.4% 1% -25.4%
20% -31.8% 1% -32.7%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 32% · top 2 34% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI +1% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
79% wins margin < slip most wins thinner than slippage → losses for you
Flat-copyable
equal-wt +2% · $-wt +1% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early +5% → late -0% edge faded
Add-ons / DCA
7.3 add-ons/market averages down — deposit killer
Win / loss size
+$4 vs −$2 · ×1.69 wins bigger than losses
Profit factor
×1.64 per $1 lost it wins $1.64
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

8d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized+$3,263
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)49%
Wins / losses206 / 213
Open positions0
Markets (closed)419 / 419
History coverage8d ⚠
Avg bet$87
Trades / day387.1
Drawdown19%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 419 Trades
no open positions (2 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET Jun 17 $46 −$3 -7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET Jun 17 $43 −$2 -5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET Jun 17 $21 +$1 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Jun 17 $42 −$1 -3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET Jun 17 $44 −$2 -3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET Jun 17 $27 −$5 -18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET Jun 17 $41 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Jun 17 $8 −$1 -10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Jun 17 $30 +$1 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Jun 17 $20 +$1 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Jun 17 $22 −$1 -4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Jun 17 $26 −$2 -9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET Jun 17 $31 −$3 -10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET Jun 17 $107 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET Jun 17 $64 −$3 -4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET Jun 17 $20 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET Jun 17 $38 −$1 -2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET Jun 17 $25 −$5 -19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET Jun 17 $21 $0 -1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET Jun 17 $39 +$2 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET Jun 17 $20 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET Jun 17 $6 −$1 -8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET Jun 17 $21 $0 -0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET Jun 17 $20 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET Jun 17 $66 −$2 -4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET Jun 17 $20 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET Jun 17 $13 −$1 -11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET Jun 17 $7 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET Jun 17 $31 −$2 -7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET Jun 17 $22 +$2 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET Jun 16 $19 +$2 +11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET Jun 16 $49 −$8 -17%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET Jun 16 $22 −$2 -7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET Jun 16 $20 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Jun 16 $40 +$3 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET Jun 16 $41 $0 -1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET Jun 15 $53 −$10 -18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Jun 15 $20 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET Jun 15 $22 −$1 -4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET Jun 15 $22 −$2 -7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Jun 15 $22 −$1 -3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET Jun 15 $29 −$3 -10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET Jun 15 $32 −$31 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET Jun 13 $26 +$12 +48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Jun 13 $13 +$2 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Jun 12 $134 −$2 -2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Jun 12 $185 −$1 -0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Jun 12 $33 −$2 -5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Jun 12 $29 +$1 +2%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET BUY Up 50¢ $12 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET BUY Down 55¢ $12 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET BUY Down 44¢ $9 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET BUY Up 57¢ $12 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET BUY Down 48¢ $12 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET BUY Up 41¢ $9 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET BUY Down 61¢ $13 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET BUY Up 46¢ $10 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET BUY Down 42¢ $10 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET BUY Up 50¢ $11 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET BUY Down 40¢ $8 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET BUY Up 65¢ $14 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET BUY Down 49¢ $11 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET BUY Up 48¢ $10 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET BUY Up 62¢ $13 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET BUY Down 49¢ $10 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET BUY Up 42¢ $10 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET BUY Down 49¢ $11 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET BUY Up 22¢ $1 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET BUY Down 71¢ $16 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET BUY Up 44¢ $10 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET BUY Up 43¢ $2 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET BUY Up 43¢ $1 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET BUY Up 43¢ $0 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET BUY Up 43¢ $2 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET BUY Up 43¢ $4 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET BUY Down 50¢ $11 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET BUY Up 50¢ $11 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET BUY Down 51¢ $11 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET BUY Down 54¢ $4 9h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records